Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	39.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	39.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	39.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	39.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	39.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	39.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	39.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	40.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	40.01	40.08	39.863	40.297	0.2636	0.7364	0.9999	0.7364
46	40.01	40.0811	39.7581	40.404	0.3331	0.6669	0.9937	0.6669
47	40	40.1032	39.6854	40.521	0.3142	0.669	0.9946	0.669
48	39.91	40.1258	39.5917	40.6599	0.2142	0.6778	0.9627	0.6645
49	39.86	40.1308	39.4929	40.7687	0.2027	0.7512	0.8909	0.6447
50	39.79	40.1401	39.405	40.8753	0.1753	0.7724	0.8797	0.6357
51	39.79	40.1481	39.3168	40.9795	0.1992	0.8008	0.8546	0.6277
52	39.8	40.1514	39.2301	41.0727	0.2273	0.779	0.8421	0.6182
53	39.64	40.1553	39.1489	41.1618	0.1578	0.7555	0.7793	0.6114
54	39.55	40.1584	39.0703	41.2465	0.1366	0.8248	0.6123	0.6054
55	39.36	40.1601	38.9945	41.3257	0.0893	0.8475	0.6317	0.5996
56	39.28	40.1617	38.9222	41.4012	0.0816	0.8976	0.5948	0.5948

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0028	-0.0017	0	0.0049	0	0
46	0.0041	-0.0018	0.0018	0.0051	0.005	0.0705
47	0.0053	-0.0026	0.002	0.0106	0.0069	0.0829
48	0.0068	-0.0054	0.0029	0.0466	0.0168	0.1296
49	0.0081	-0.0067	0.0036	0.0733	0.0281	0.1676
50	0.0093	-0.0087	0.0045	0.1226	0.0438	0.2094
51	0.0106	-0.0089	0.0051	0.1283	0.0559	0.2364
52	0.0117	-0.0088	0.0056	0.1235	0.0644	0.2537
53	0.0128	-0.0128	0.0064	0.2656	0.0867	0.2945
54	0.0138	-0.0152	0.0073	0.3702	0.1151	0.3392
55	0.0148	-0.0199	0.0084	0.6401	0.1628	0.4035
56	0.0157	-0.022	0.0095	0.7774	0.214	0.4626