Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[91])
87	16.021	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	17.952	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	15.954	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	17.762	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	16.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	17.751	18.1077	16.2497	19.9657	0.3534	0.9429	0.5652	0.9429
93	15.458	15.5441	13.5384	17.5498	0.4665	0.0155	0.3444	0.1488
94	18.106	17.7664	15.7098	19.8229	0.3731	0.9861	0.5017	0.8648
95	15.99	16.8797	14.7924	18.9671	0.2017	0.1248	0.6	0.6
96	15.349	18.1933	15.9215	20.4651	0.0071	0.9713	0.6486	0.914
97	13.185	15.4581	13.1285	17.7877	0.0279	0.5366	0.5	0.1662
98	15.409	17.787	15.4218	20.1522	0.0244	0.9999	0.3958	0.8353
99	16.007	16.97	14.5777	19.3623	0.2151	0.8995	0.789	0.616
100	16.633	18.2322	15.7747	20.6897	0.1011	0.962	0.9893	0.9021
101	14.8	15.4493	12.9624	17.9362	0.3044	0.1754	0.9628	0.1802
102	15.974	17.8061	15.2964	20.3159	0.0762	0.9906	0.9694	0.8249
103	15.693	17.0071	14.4789	19.5352	0.1542	0.7884	0.7809	0.6209

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
92	0.0524	-0.0197	0	0.1272	0	0
93	0.0658	-0.0055	0.0126	0.0074	0.0673	0.2595
94	0.0591	0.0191	0.0148	0.1154	0.0833	0.2887
95	0.0631	-0.0527	0.0243	0.7916	0.2604	0.5103
96	0.0637	-0.1563	0.0507	8.0902	1.8264	1.3514
97	0.0769	-0.147	0.0667	5.167	2.3831	1.5437
98	0.0678	-0.1337	0.0763	5.6549	2.8505	1.6884
99	0.0719	-0.0567	0.0739	0.9273	2.6101	1.6156
100	0.0688	-0.0877	0.0754	2.5576	2.6043	1.6138
101	0.0821	-0.042	0.0721	0.4216	2.386	1.5447
102	0.0719	-0.1029	0.0749	3.3567	2.4743	1.573
103	0.0758	-0.0773	0.0751	1.7268	2.412	1.5531