| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 493 | 480.818230902225 | 9.0016299974883 | 496.180139100287 | -12.1817690977750 |
| 2 | 514 | 504.680140347835 | 29.7643269514014 | 493.555532700764 | -9.31985965216523 |
| 3 | 522 | 525.94205240748 | 27.1270212912793 | 490.930926301241 | 3.94205240747965 |
| 4 | 490 | 491.662097950526 | 0.301846850505906 | 488.036055198968 | 1.66209795052595 |
| 5 | 484 | 483.382129116384 | -0.523313213078866 | 485.141184096695 | -0.61787088361632 |
| 6 | 506 | 517.825780203495 | 12.1543793146486 | 482.019840481857 | 11.8257802034945 |
| 7 | 501 | 501.269423840608 | 21.8320792923732 | 478.898496867019 | 0.269423840608226 |
| 8 | 462 | 475.876649257514 | -27.4751000466452 | 475.598450789131 | 13.8766492575139 |
| 9 | 465 | 474.683868008634 | -16.9822727198782 | 472.298404711244 | 9.68386800863408 |
| 10 | 454 | 456.726657374498 | -16.1842799895037 | 467.457622615006 | 2.72665737449779 |
| 11 | 464 | 472.56945654299 | -7.18629706175729 | 462.616840518768 | 8.5694565429896 |
| 12 | 427 | 430.176734517691 | -31.8300260244715 | 455.653291506781 | 3.17673451769059 |
| 13 | 460 | 462.308627507718 | 9.0016299974883 | 448.689742494794 | 2.30862750771757 |
| 14 | 473 | 475.182720107169 | 29.7643269514014 | 441.052952941429 | 2.18272010716925 |
| 15 | 465 | 469.456815320656 | 27.1270212912793 | 433.416163388064 | 4.45681532065618 |
| 16 | 422 | 417.478822971285 | 0.301846850505906 | 426.219330178209 | -4.52117702871487 |
| 17 | 415 | 411.500816244725 | -0.523313213078866 | 419.022496968353 | -3.49918375527454 |
| 18 | 413 | 401.218936839048 | 12.1543793146486 | 412.626683846303 | -11.7810631609519 |
| 19 | 420 | 411.937049983374 | 21.8320792923732 | 406.230870724253 | -8.0629500166263 |
| 20 | 363 | 352.952128596696 | -27.4751000466452 | 400.52297144995 | -10.0478714033045 |
| 21 | 376 | 374.167200544232 | -16.9822727198782 | 394.815072175646 | -1.83279945576817 |
| 22 | 380 | 386.745184002375 | -16.1842799895037 | 389.439095987128 | 6.74518400237542 |
| 23 | 384 | 391.123177263147 | -7.18629706175729 | 384.06311979861 | 7.12317726314711 |
| 24 | 346 | 344.949862429613 | -31.8300260244715 | 378.880163594859 | -1.05013757038745 |
| 25 | 389 | 395.301162611404 | 9.0016299974883 | 373.697207391108 | 6.30116261140398 |
| 26 | 407 | 415.966416741832 | 29.7643269514014 | 368.269256306766 | 8.96641674183223 |
| 27 | 393 | 396.031673486296 | 27.1270212912793 | 362.841305222425 | 3.03167348629563 |
| 28 | 346 | 334.609198693265 | 0.301846850505906 | 357.088954456229 | -11.390801306735 |
| 29 | 348 | 345.186709523046 | -0.523313213078866 | 351.336603690033 | -2.81329047695425 |
| 30 | 353 | 348.11330853846 | 12.1543793146486 | 345.732312146891 | -4.88669146153973 |
| 31 | 364 | 366.039900103878 | 21.8320792923732 | 340.128020603749 | 2.03990010387764 |
| 32 | 305 | 302.498470097238 | -27.4751000466452 | 334.976629949407 | -2.50152990276194 |
| 33 | 307 | 301.157033424813 | -16.9822727198782 | 329.825239295065 | -5.84296657518701 |
| 34 | 312 | 314.790843368745 | -16.1842799895037 | 325.393436620759 | 2.79084336874507 |
| 35 | 312 | 310.224663115305 | -7.18629706175729 | 320.961633946452 | -1.77533688469470 |
| 36 | 286 | 286.723896936261 | -31.8300260244715 | 317.106129088210 | 0.723896936261156 |
| 37 | 324 | 325.747745772543 | 9.0016299974883 | 313.250624229969 | 1.74774577254311 |
| 38 | 336 | 332.307479169094 | 29.7643269514014 | 309.928193879505 | -3.69252083090601 |
| 39 | 327 | 320.26721517968 | 27.1270212912793 | 306.605763529041 | -6.73278482031992 |
| 40 | 302 | 299.570618966688 | 0.301846850505906 | 304.127534182807 | -2.42938103331244 |
| 41 | 299 | 296.874008376506 | -0.523313213078866 | 301.649304836572 | -2.12599162349358 |
| 42 | 311 | 309.134005159677 | 12.1543793146486 | 300.711615525674 | -1.86599484032257 |
| 43 | 315 | 308.393994492851 | 21.8320792923732 | 299.773926214775 | -6.60600550714867 |
| 44 | 264 | 254.433114810935 | -27.4751000466452 | 301.04198523571 | -9.5668851890648 |
| 45 | 278 | 270.672228463234 | -16.9822727198782 | 302.310044256645 | -7.32777153676648 |
| 46 | 278 | 265.902654006528 | -16.1842799895037 | 306.281625982976 | -12.0973459934721 |
| 47 | 287 | 270.933089352450 | -7.18629706175729 | 310.253207709307 | -16.0669106475496 |
| 48 | 279 | 272.916242463392 | -31.8300260244715 | 316.913783561079 | -6.08375753660795 |
| 49 | 324 | 315.42401058966 | 9.0016299974883 | 323.574359412852 | -8.5759894103403 |
| 50 | 354 | 345.765151955643 | 29.7643269514014 | 332.470521092956 | -8.2348480443572 |
| 51 | 354 | 339.506295935661 | 27.1270212912793 | 341.366682773059 | -14.4937040643388 |
| 52 | 360 | 367.892328276689 | 0.301846850505906 | 351.805824872805 | 7.89232827668883 |
| 53 | 363 | 364.278346240528 | -0.523313213078866 | 362.244966972551 | 1.27834624052781 |
| 54 | 385 | 385.066107562783 | 12.1543793146486 | 372.779513122568 | 0.0661075627833725 |
| 55 | 412 | 418.853861435042 | 21.8320792923732 | 383.314059272585 | 6.85386143504178 |
| 56 | 370 | 373.520776035701 | -27.4751000466452 | 393.954324010944 | 3.52077603570092 |
| 57 | 389 | 390.387683970575 | -16.9822727198782 | 404.594588749304 | 1.38768397057459 |
| 58 | 395 | 390.921088565861 | -16.1842799895037 | 415.263191423643 | -4.07891143413906 |
| 59 | 417 | 415.254502963775 | -7.18629706175729 | 425.931794097982 | -1.74549703622461 |
| 60 | 404 | 403.243438185595 | -31.8300260244715 | 436.586587838876 | -0.756561814404563 |
