Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	10443	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	10357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	8586	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	8892	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8329	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	8101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	7922	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	8120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	7838	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	7735	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	8406	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	8209	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	9451	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10041	9727.2855	8955.5665	10499.0046	0.2128	0.7586	0.0549	0.7586
62	9411	8486.7582	7623.6495	9349.8669	0.0179	2e-04	0.4108	0.0143
63	10405	8956.0809	8059.6796	9852.4823	8e-04	0.1599	0.5557	0.1396
64	8467	8535.7871	7619.9201	9451.6541	0.4415	0	0.6709	0.0251
65	8464	8065.2671	7134.2119	8996.3222	0.2006	0.1989	0.47	0.0018
66	8102	7849.9754	6905.2967	8794.654	0.3005	0.1013	0.4406	4e-04
67	7627	8022.1962	7064.5611	8979.8314	0.2093	0.4351	0.4207	0.0017
68	7513	8052.7718	7082.5263	9023.0173	0.1378	0.8051	0.6678	0.0024
69	7510	7770.0555	6787.4253	8752.6858	0.302	0.6959	0.5279	4e-04
70	8291	8295.9384	7301.1012	9290.7757	0.4961	0.9392	0.4142	0.0114
71	8064	8202.281	7195.3936	9209.1685	0.3939	0.4314	0.4948	0.0075
72	9383	9788.3288	8769.5369	10807.1208	0.2178	0.9995	0.7418	0.7418

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0405	0.0323	0	98416.7598	0	0
62	0.0519	0.1089	0.0706	854222.8906	476319.8252	690.1593
63	0.0511	0.1618	0.101	2099366.441	1017335.3638	1008.6304
64	0.0547	-0.0081	0.0777	4731.667	764184.4396	874.1764
65	0.0589	0.0494	0.0721	158987.948	643145.1413	801.9633
66	0.0614	0.0321	0.0654	63516.4054	546540.3519	739.2837
67	0.0609	-0.0493	0.0631	156180.0606	490774.596	700.5531
68	0.0615	-0.067	0.0636	291353.5751	465846.9684	682.5298
69	0.0645	-0.0335	0.0603	67628.8672	421600.5127	649.3077
70	0.0612	-6e-04	0.0543	24.388	379442.9003	615.9894
71	0.0626	-0.0169	0.0509	19121.6461	346686.4226	588.8008
72	0.0531	-0.0414	0.0501	164291.4662	331486.8429	575.7489