| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5346 | 0.0592 | -0.1674 | -1 | -1.0316 | -0.0802 | 0.7583 |
| (p-val) | (5e-04 ) | (0.7176 ) | (0.2622 ) | (0 ) | (0.0509 ) | (0.8161 ) | (0.2287 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5341 | 0.066 | -0.1762 | -1 | -0.9145 | 0 | 0.6477 |
| (p-val) | (5e-04 ) | (0.681 ) | (0.2222 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0681 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5567 | 0 | -0.1536 | -1 | -0.9125 | 0 | 0.657 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.2458 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0764 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.5156 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8501 | 0 | 0.5176 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.142 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.4738 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.517 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.280585724911 |
| 883.125488601703 |
| 1003.03330116253 |
| 271.904407345996 |
| 677.755570153788 |
| -21.7980045286806 |
| 159.935518659290 |
| 119.185484208708 |
| 91.0060565547699 |
| -257.060785380386 |
| -96.7241006117712 |
| 571.695482654745 |
| 220.534689961848 |
| 231.627704806113 |
| 219.75346827961 |
| 198.599597291856 |
| -162.891877823679 |
| -33.1497972189062 |
| 291.435494308852 |
| 15.4765279943252 |
| 124.580479316824 |
| 461.872880402987 |
| -264.653968529987 |
| 691.075456668285 |
| -697.154219614204 |
| 503.232458493765 |
| 71.87662664503 |
| 281.911849388512 |
| -489.032016494618 |
| 193.076676888894 |
| -25.2498303155063 |
| 323.896824876893 |
| 244.967277163432 |
| 103.610230114690 |
| 174.913113597548 |
| 388.326012528079 |
| -707.55216303312 |
| -337.295890353841 |
| -168.827439144446 |
| -436.186854161779 |
| 141.893443168281 |
| -78.8848565398545 |
| -166.345604080807 |
| -498.627613769595 |
| 20.2462607785724 |
| -174.847738087275 |
| -105.246318313975 |
| -449.981265811037 |
| 630.00102038713 |
| 705.330604290795 |
| 850.019600046071 |
| -824.730104188337 |
| 265.346922705391 |
| -48.914946832813 |
| -565.095182576349 |
| -330.293800830595 |
| -93.106348999614 |
| 141.070839694021 |
| -232.553838557796 |
| -367.935768298412 |
