Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[72])
606981-------
618454-------
624960-------
634670-------
647638-------
654560-------
663980-------
676825.00000000001-------
683939-------
694079-------
708117.00000000001-------
715121-------
725167-------
7379609618.29297764.28511861.6430.07370.99990.84550.9999
7446705442.64434336.84516796.03260.13161e-040.75770.6551
7543974771.10693723.04856077.60240.28730.56030.56030.2763
7671918050.01666335.996610170.61270.21360.99960.64830.9961
7742935005.95943835.4416488.70790.1730.00190.72220.4157
7837474274.96773261.28085563.9050.2110.48910.67310.0875
7964257203.77815571.84169253.96220.22830.99950.64140.9742
8037094301.99983271.56725615.85010.18828e-040.70590.0985
8138404279.04923243.10335603.84970.2580.80050.61640.0945
8276428015.4486178.000910330.89330.3760.99980.46570.992
8348215677.56574334.19197384.71150.16270.01210.73860.7211
8448655694.24864339.34687418.67530.1730.83950.72550.7255


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
730.119-0.172402749935.35600
740.1269-0.1420.1572596979.25371673457.30491293.6218
750.1397-0.07840.1309139955.94331162290.18431078.0956
760.1344-0.10670.1249737909.51761056195.01771027.7135
770.1511-0.14240.1284508311.0401946618.2221972.9431
780.1538-0.12350.1276278749.8451835306.826913.9512
790.1452-0.10810.1248606495.3125802619.4669895.8903
800.1558-0.13780.1264351648.7615746248.1287863.8565
810.158-0.10260.1238192764.2375684749.9186827.4962
820.1474-0.04660.1161139463.4269630221.2694793.8648
830.1534-0.15090.1192733704.7283639628.8566799.768
840.1545-0.14560.1214687653.2479643630.8892802.2661