Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613955.608838.552475.78060.05330.40810.33480.4081
624948.810832.873267.88810.49220.84330.23010.1726
635862.475143.842684.39860.34450.88580.65550.6555
644749.261632.879568.94420.41090.19210.47070.1921
654250.140933.599769.9820.21060.62180.46620.2188
666260.353342.048881.95630.44060.95210.74770.5845
673939.166124.705556.94360.49270.00590.59440.0189
684029.665617.236145.4490.09970.12320.82942e-04
697255.954638.098977.23120.06970.92920.5350.4253
707064.03944.643886.92340.30480.24770.30480.6975
715449.013832.108869.48070.31650.02220.10680.1947
726557.244838.693979.4170.24650.61290.47340.4734


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1851-0.29870275.852300
620.19940.00390.15130.0358137.944111.745
630.179-0.07160.124720.026798.63839.9317
640.2039-0.04590.1055.114975.25758.6751
650.2019-0.16240.116566.274273.46088.5709
660.18260.02730.10162.711761.66937.853
670.2316-0.00420.08770.027652.86337.2707
680.27150.34840.1203106.800359.60547.7205
690.1940.28680.1388257.45681.58889.0327
700.18230.09310.134235.533876.98338.774
710.2130.10170.131324.862472.24518.4997
720.19760.13550.131660.142571.23658.4402