Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.996556487594152 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 126.81 | 126.64 | 0.170000000000002 |
3 | 125.84 | 126.809414602891 | -0.969414602891007 |
4 | 126.77 | 125.843338191211 | 0.926661808788523 |
5 | 124.34 | 126.766809028565 | -2.4268090285654 |
6 | 124.4 | 124.348356746996 | 0.0516432530035189 |
7 | 120.48 | 124.399822165818 | -3.91982216581761 |
8 | 118.54 | 120.493497956257 | -1.95349795625671 |
9 | 117.66 | 118.546726894447 | -0.886726894447179 |
10 | 116.97 | 117.663053455062 | -0.69305345506163 |
11 | 120.11 | 116.972386538170 | 3.13761346182957 |
12 | 119.16 | 120.099195589119 | -0.939195589119436 |
13 | 116.9 | 119.163234131663 | -2.26323413166264 |
14 | 116.11 | 116.907793474810 | -0.797793474809723 |
15 | 114.98 | 116.112747211728 | -1.13274721172780 |
16 | 113.65 | 114.983900629076 | -1.33390062907627 |
17 | 115.82 | 113.654593303364 | 2.1654066966356 |
18 | 117.59 | 115.812543395176 | 1.77745660482358 |
19 | 118.57 | 117.583879306130 | 0.986120693869552 |
20 | 118.07 | 118.566604281157 | -0.496604281156991 |
21 | 114.98 | 118.071710063003 | -3.09171006300295 |
22 | 114.04 | 114.990646341957 | -0.950646341957238 |
23 | 115.02 | 114.043273562472 | 0.976726437527887 |
24 | 114.28 | 115.016636630395 | -0.736636630395253 |
25 | 115.04 | 114.282536617375 | 0.757463382624636 |
26 | 116.7 | 115.037391665445 | 1.66260833455505 |
27 | 119.21 | 116.694274787574 | 2.51572521242609 |
28 | 118.39 | 119.201337069021 | -0.811337069021306 |
29 | 116.5 | 118.392793849263 | -1.89279384926250 |
30 | 115.46 | 116.506517859102 | -1.04651785910166 |
31 | 117.59 | 115.463603697231 | 2.12639630276925 |
32 | 117.33 | 117.582677727952 | -0.252677727951664 |
33 | 116.2 | 117.330870098891 | -1.13087009889088 |
34 | 116.83 | 116.203894165215 | 0.626105834785065 |
35 | 118.99 | 116.827843996791 | 2.16215600320945 |
36 | 118.62 | 118.982554588980 | -0.362554588979563 |
37 | 121.09 | 118.621248461225 | 2.46875153877505 |
38 | 122.4 | 121.081498823449 | 1.31850117655073 |
39 | 123.76 | 122.395459724841 | 1.36454027515857 |
40 | 125.33 | 123.755301188634 | 1.57469881136578 |
41 | 123.23 | 125.324577505108 | -2.09457750510758 |
42 | 122.52 | 123.237212703624 | -0.717212703623858 |
43 | 123.64 | 122.522469730843 | 1.11753026915744 |
44 | 124.67 | 123.636151770654 | 1.03384822934575 |
45 | 124.71 | 124.666439930796 | 0.0435600692035081 |
46 | 122.53 | 124.709850000361 | -2.17985000036128 |
47 | 124.4 | 122.537506340519 | 1.86249365948088 |
48 | 125.45 | 124.393586479978 | 1.05641352002223 |
49 | 125.35 | 125.446362226938 | -0.096362226938112 |
50 | 124.3 | 125.350331824524 | -1.05033182452391 |
51 | 127.03 | 124.303616830668 | 2.72638316933200 |
52 | 128.51 | 127.020611665733 | 1.48938833426668 |
53 | 128.1 | 128.504871272794 | -0.404871272793827 |
54 | 128.94 | 128.101394179251 | 0.838605820749365 |
55 | 129.67 | 128.937112250453 | 0.732887749547359 |
56 | 129.87 | 129.667476291942 | 0.202523708057669 |
57 | 131.12 | 129.869302607099 | 1.25069739290117 |
58 | 132.68 | 131.115693208012 | 1.56430679198843 |
59 | 132.24 | 132.674613290155 | -0.434613290155227 |
60 | 133.63 | 132.241496596256 | 1.38850340374358 |
61 | 129.91 | 133.625218671304 | -3.71521867130366 |
62 | 127.93 | 129.922793401585 | -1.99279340158506 |
63 | 131.17 | 127.936862208801 | 3.23313779119933 |
64 | 130.86 | 131.158866649906 | -0.298866649906159 |
65 | 133.48 | 130.861029151017 | 2.61897084898334 |
66 | 134.08 | 133.470981541391 | 0.609018458609057 |
67 | 136.02 | 134.077902837382 | 1.94209716261761 |
68 | 132.8 | 136.013312364327 | -3.21331236432715 |
69 | 132.37 | 132.811065080990 | -0.441065080990427 |
70 | 133.05 | 132.371518813078 | 0.678481186921829 |
71 | 132.57 | 133.047663641616 | -0.47766364161572 |
72 | 130.7 | 132.571644840676 | -1.87164484067574 |
73 | 130.5 | 130.706445032228 | -0.206445032228203 |
74 | 129.67 | 130.500710896030 | -0.830710896029615 |
75 | 127.8 | 129.672860563276 | -1.87286056327615 |
76 | 126.82 | 127.806449218584 | -0.98644921858407 |
77 | 126.85 | 126.823396850122 | 0.0266031498780706 |
78 | 128.28 | 126.849908391723 | 1.43009160827664 |
79 | 128.3 | 128.275075461805 | 0.0249245381945968 |
80 | 126.82 | 128.299914172044 | -1.47991417204352 |
81 | 125.08 | 126.825096102811 | -1.74509610281102 |
82 | 128.53 | 125.086009260079 | 3.44399073992058 |
83 | 130.34 | 128.518140575161 | 1.82185942483855 |
84 | 131.52 | 130.333726404469 | 1.18627359553116 |
85 | 132.59 | 131.515915052157 | 1.07408494784295 |
86 | 131.17 | 132.586301375157 | -1.41630137515719 |
87 | 132.72 | 131.174877051356 | 1.54512294864423 |
88 | 133.36 | 132.714679349958 | 0.645320650042237 |
89 | 132.82 | 133.357777830336 | -0.537777830335841 |
90 | 132.9 | 132.821851844630 | 0.0781481553696608 |
91 | 130.9 | 132.899730895857 | -1.99973089585748 |
92 | 129.41 | 130.906886098148 | -1.49688609814825 |
93 | 128.67 | 129.415154545849 | -0.745154545849118 |
94 | 129.28 | 128.672565948923 | 0.607434051077121 |
95 | 130.91 | 129.277908293309 | 1.63209170669060 |
96 | 131.06 | 130.904379871961 | 0.155620128039487 |
97 | 130.84 | 131.059464120159 | -0.219464120158506 |
98 | 131.41 | 130.840755727420 | 0.569244272579596 |
99 | 133.22 | 131.408039800285 | 1.81196019971458 |
100 | 132.06 | 133.213760492573 | -1.15376049257338 |
101 | 132.48 | 132.063972988570 | 0.41602701143043 |
102 | 134.38 | 132.478567405825 | 1.90143259417502 |
103 | 135.22 | 134.373452393273 | 0.846547606726915 |
104 | 134.89 | 135.217084902814 | -0.327084902814107 |
105 | 136.09 | 134.891126320921 | 1.19887367907941 |
106 | 136.33 | 136.085871663613 | 0.24412833638695 |
107 | 136.32 | 136.329159341045 | -0.00915934104506277 |
108 | 137.48 | 136.320031540305 | 1.15996845969548 |
109 | 136.53 | 137.476005634219 | -0.946005634218636 |
110 | 136.8 | 136.533257582137 | 0.266742417862588 |
111 | 138.03 | 136.799081469175 | 1.23091853082508 |
112 | 137.39 | 138.025761316769 | -0.635761316768537 |
113 | 137.55 | 137.392189251981 | 0.157810748018562 |
114 | 136.08 | 137.549456576731 | -1.46945657673143 |
115 | 134.78 | 136.085060091952 | -1.30506009195184 |
116 | 133.28 | 134.784493990617 | -1.50449399061702 |
117 | 133.57 | 133.285180743721 | 0.28481925627878 |
118 | 134.84 | 133.569019221358 | 1.27098077864244 |
119 | 133.02 | 134.835623361921 | -1.81562336192115 |
120 | 133.49 | 133.026252121571 | 0.463747878428876 |
121 | 133.77 | 133.488403078427 | 0.281596921572543 |
122 | 134.34 | 133.769030317507 | 0.570969682492887 |
123 | 134.5 | 134.338033858815 | 0.161966141185019 |
124 | 134.03 | 134.499442267584 | -0.469442267583503 |
125 | 135.51 | 134.031616530272 | 1.47838346972773 |
126 | 136.53 | 135.504909168181 | 1.02509083181863 |
127 | 135.95 | 136.526470087004 | -0.576470087003514 |
128 | 134.32 | 135.951985081896 | -1.63198508189620 |
129 | 132.44 | 134.325619760876 | -1.88561976087567 |
130 | 133.61 | 132.446493155039 | 1.16350684496072 |
131 | 131.02 | 133.605993449745 | -2.58599344974510 |
132 | 130.05 | 131.028904900526 | -0.978904900525635 |
133 | 128.21 | 130.053370871169 | -1.8433708711691 |
134 | 129.03 | 128.216347670463 | 0.813652329536552 |
135 | 130.34 | 129.027198178109 | 1.31280182189082 |
136 | 131.57 | 130.33547935064 | 1.23452064936009 |
137 | 132.63 | 131.565748912829 | 1.06425108717136 |
138 | 132.06 | 132.626335238178 | -0.566335238178368 |
139 | 134.44 | 132.061950182419 | 2.37804981758146 |
140 | 134.1 | 134.431811155951 | -0.331811155951442 |
141 | 132.49 | 134.101142595832 | -1.61114259583189 |
142 | 134.23 | 132.495547989516 | 1.73445201048364 |
143 | 134.92 | 134.224027392985 | 0.695972607015449 |
144 | 135.61 | 134.917603409694 | 0.692396590306402 |
145 | 134.53 | 135.607615723752 | -1.07761572375153 |
146 | 133.86 | 134.533710783113 | -0.67371078311345 |
147 | 133.89 | 133.862319931440 | 0.0276800685603575 |
148 | 135.33 | 133.889904683341 | 1.44009531665949 |
149 | 135.86 | 135.325041013911 | 0.534958986088526 |
150 | 136.22 | 135.858157862095 | 0.361842137905199 |
151 | 137.38 | 136.218753992109 | 1.16124600789084 |
152 | 137.31 | 137.376001234966 | -0.0660012349655688 |
153 | 136.89 | 137.310227276071 | -0.420227276071415 |
154 | 138.01 | 136.891447057838 | 1.11855294216159 |
155 | 136.72 | 138.006148249067 | -1.28614824906705 |
156 | 135.77 | 136.724428867451 | -0.954428867451412 |
157 | 137.52 | 135.773286587646 | 1.74671341235444 |
158 | 135.61 | 137.513985170695 | -1.90398517069508 |
159 | 132.94 | 135.616556396556 | -2.67655639655587 |
160 | 134.12 | 132.949216755156 | 1.17078324484351 |
161 | 132.55 | 134.115968393372 | -1.56596839337180 |
162 | 134.11 | 132.555392431590 | 1.55460756841026 |
163 | 134.19 | 134.104646689552 | 0.0853533104480277 |
164 | 135.57 | 134.189706084817 | 1.38029391518342 |
165 | 135.05 | 135.565246940779 | -0.515246940779321 |
166 | 134.32 | 135.051774259233 | -0.73177425923268 |
167 | 133.61 | 134.32251987374 | -0.712519873739922 |
168 | 134.75 | 133.612453571025 | 1.13754642897536 |
169 | 133.1 | 134.746082844760 | -1.64608284475960 |
170 | 133.26 | 133.105668306697 | 0.154331693303021 |
171 | 131.63 | 133.259468556899 | -1.62946855689950 |
172 | 132.47 | 131.635611095191 | 0.834388904809373 |
173 | 132.45 | 132.467126771455 | -0.0171267714549970 |
174 | 133.33 | 132.45005897625 | 0.879941023750035 |
175 | 133.57 | 133.326969912168 | 0.24303008783167 |
176 | 134.13 | 133.569163122878 | 0.560836877122455 |
177 | 133.92 | 134.128068751256 | -0.208068751255979 |
178 | 132.62 | 133.920716487326 | -1.30071648732621 |
179 | 132.3 | 132.624479033361 | -0.324479033360603 |
180 | 133.26 | 132.301117347577 | 0.95888265242317 |
181 | 132.6 | 133.256698075691 | -0.656698075690628 |
182 | 134.38 | 132.602261347971 | 1.77773865202946 |
183 | 134.17 | 134.373878334897 | -0.203878334897382 |
184 | 135.46 | 134.170702057575 | 1.28929794242453 |
185 | 135.09 | 135.455560286540 | -0.365560286540443 |
186 | 134.96 | 135.091258811382 | -0.131258811381770 |
187 | 133.85 | 134.960451991345 | -1.11045199134537 |
188 | 132.59 | 133.853823855208 | -1.2638238552083 |
189 | 131.15 | 132.594351993124 | -1.4443519931242 |
190 | 130.91 | 131.154973644007 | -0.244973644006734 |
191 | 131.07 | 130.910843569782 | 0.159156430217763 |
192 | 130.78 | 131.069451942858 | -0.289451942858079 |
193 | 129.95 | 130.780996731356 | -0.830996731356151 |
194 | 131.41 | 129.952861547554 | 1.45713845244637 |
195 | 131.21 | 131.404982325662 | -0.194982325661954 |
196 | 130.68 | 131.210671424057 | -0.530671424057346 |
197 | 130.46 | 130.681827373632 | -0.221827373632181 |
198 | 131.12 | 130.460763865313 | 0.65923613468695 |
199 | 132.99 | 131.117729912192 | 1.87227008780818 |
200 | 133.02 | 132.983552814726 | 0.0364471852744543 |
201 | 133.39 | 133.019874493665 | 0.370125506334631 |
202 | 134.07 | 133.388725468227 | 0.6812745317728 |
203 | 135.6 | 134.067654022698 | 1.53234597730196 |
204 | 135.66 | 135.594723347617 | 0.0652766523828916 |
205 | 135.53 | 135.659775219038 | -0.129775219037697 |
206 | 135.82 | 135.530446882577 | 0.289553117423253 |
207 | 136.9 | 135.819002920248 | 1.08099707975202 |
208 | 137.97 | 136.896277573145 | 1.0737224268548 |
209 | 138.09 | 137.966302623503 | 0.123697376497319 |
210 | 136.91 | 138.089574046549 | -1.17957404654948 |
211 | 134.76 | 136.914061877863 | -2.15406187786292 |
212 | 135.13 | 134.767417538799 | 0.362582461200617 |
213 | 134.66 | 135.128751442797 | -0.468751442796702 |
214 | 132.95 | 134.661614151409 | -1.71161415140853 |
215 | 132.25 | 132.955893964564 | -0.705893964564382 |
216 | 134.3 | 132.252430754624 | 2.04756924537583 |
217 | 134.3 | 134.292949169902 | 0.00705083009827945 |
218 | 134.76 | 134.299975720379 | 0.460024279620882 |
219 | 134.81 | 134.758415900686 | 0.0515840993138852 |
220 | 134.51 | 134.809822369514 | -0.299822369514089 |
221 | 135.11 | 134.511032442049 | 0.598967557951056 |
222 | 134.32 | 135.107937447784 | -0.78793744778352 |
223 | 133.51 | 134.322713272376 | -0.81271327237647 |
224 | 134.02 | 133.512798588236 | 0.507201411764186 |
225 | 132.76 | 134.018253445646 | -1.25825344564635 |
226 | 133.39 | 132.764332811350 | 0.625667188650198 |
227 | 132.05 | 133.387845507274 | -1.33784550727393 |
228 | 131.87 | 132.054606887601 | -0.184606887601404 |
229 | 133.03 | 131.870635696108 | 1.15936430389235 |
230 | 132.57 | 133.026007714637 | -0.456007714636655 |
231 | 132.1 | 132.571570268223 | -0.471570268222507 |
232 | 130.7 | 132.101623858069 | -1.40162385806886 |
233 | 129.2 | 130.704826509144 | -1.50482650914358 |
234 | 129.77 | 129.205181888753 | 0.564818111247149 |
235 | 131.02 | 129.768055041827 | 1.25194495817314 |
236 | 131.55 | 131.015688912005 | 0.534311087994922 |
237 | 133.17 | 131.54816009314 | 1.62183990686006 |
238 | 133.08 | 133.164415174160 | -0.084415174160398 |
239 | 133.24 | 133.080290684699 | 0.159709315300546 |
240 | 130.74 | 133.239450038991 | -2.49945003899143 |
241 | 129.91 | 130.748606887217 | -0.838606887217082 |
242 | 130.03 | 129.912887753220 | 0.117112246780238 |
243 | 131.13 | 130.029596722525 | 1.10040327747467 |
244 | 129.55 | 131.126210747663 | -1.57621074766257 |
245 | 130.22 | 129.555427701264 | 0.664572298736175 |
246 | 130.61 | 130.217711537045 | 0.392288462955293 |
247 | 129.27 | 130.608649149811 | -1.33864914981115 |
248 | 129.68 | 129.274609654954 | 0.405390345045532 |
249 | 130.1 | 129.678604033318 | 0.421395966682354 |
250 | 130.83 | 130.098548917761 | 0.731451082239062 |
251 | 130.95 | 130.827481239124 | 0.122518760875948 |
252 | 131.73 | 130.949578105127 | 0.78042189487303 |
253 | 131.86 | 131.727312607523 | 0.132687392476811 |
254 | 132.44 | 131.859543089318 | 0.580456910682074 |
255 | 132.35 | 132.438001189427 | -0.0880011894270183 |
256 | 133.16 | 132.350303033188 | 0.809696966812481 |
257 | 133.62 | 133.157211798450 | 0.462788201550211 |
258 | 132.54 | 133.618406383087 | -1.07840638308670 |
259 | 132.69 | 132.543713505759 | 0.146286494241309 |
260 | 133.5 | 132.689496260642 | 0.810503739357728 |
261 | 133.36 | 133.497209020319 | -0.137209020318522 |
262 | 134.23 | 133.360472480964 | 0.869527519036325 |
263 | 132.41 | 134.227005771201 | -1.81700577120097 |
264 | 133.02 | 132.416256881915 | 0.60374311808539 |
265 | 132.88 | 133.017921003083 | -0.137921003082937 |
266 | 130.76 | 132.880474932685 | -2.12047493268514 |
267 | 130.33 | 130.767301881737 | -0.437301881736971 |
268 | 129.79 | 130.331505854455 | -0.541505854454869 |
269 | 128.65 | 129.791864682128 | -1.14186468212765 |
270 | 129.14 | 128.653932025199 | 0.486067974801273 |
271 | 127.35 | 129.138326218899 | -1.78832621889867 |
272 | 127.74 | 127.356158123520 | 0.383841876479522 |
273 | 126.31 | 127.738678235736 | -1.42867823573646 |
274 | 125.95 | 126.314919671229 | -0.364919671228719 |
275 | 126.36 | 125.951256605415 | 0.408743394584988 |
276 | 126.15 | 126.35859248705 | -0.208592487049927 |
277 | 125.6 | 126.150718290817 | -0.550718290816931 |
278 | 126.2 | 125.601896405267 | 0.598103594733459 |
279 | 126.73 | 126.197940422852 | 0.532059577148445 |
280 | 125.68 | 126.728167846245 | -1.04816784624543 |
281 | 122.49 | 125.683609378982 | -3.19360937898198 |
282 | 122.07 | 122.500997233516 | -0.430997233515953 |
283 | 123.4 | 122.071484144320 | 1.32851585567951 |
284 | 123.01 | 123.395425239170 | -0.385425239169606 |
285 | 123.03 | 123.011327216593 | 0.0186727834073821 |
286 | 122.33 | 123.029935700039 | -0.699935700038694 |
287 | 122.42 | 122.332410237266 | 0.0875897627336286 |
288 | 122.68 | 122.419698383565 | 0.260301616434603 |
289 | 124.69 | 122.679103648155 | 2.01089635184545 |
290 | 123.3 | 124.683075453466 | -1.38307545346555 |
291 | 124.17 | 123.304762637482 | 0.865237362517774 |
292 | 124.38 | 124.167020544408 | 0.212979455591821 |
293 | 123.19 | 124.379266602602 | -1.18926660260247 |
294 | 122.16 | 123.1940952543 | -1.03409525429993 |
295 | 120.66 | 122.163560919837 | -1.50356091983701 |
296 | 120.92 | 120.665177530680 | 0.254822469319592 |
297 | 120.67 | 120.919122515666 | -0.249122515665604 |
298 | 120.68 | 120.670857856473 | 0.0091421435267307 |
299 | 121.1 | 120.679968518915 | 0.420031481084635 |
300 | 120.86 | 121.098553616384 | -0.238553616384038 |
301 | 121.48 | 120.860821462337 | 0.61917853766252 |
302 | 123.48 | 121.477867851024 | 2.00213214897587 |
303 | 121.72 | 123.473105633107 | -1.75310563310686 |
304 | 123.16 | 121.726036840996 | 1.43396315900364 |
305 | 123.84 | 123.155062130072 | 0.684937869927566 |
306 | 124.57 | 123.837641407948 | 0.732358592052321 |
307 | 124.3 | 124.567478114103 | -0.267478114102730 |
308 | 124.22 | 124.300921064204 | -0.0809210642042046 |
309 | 124.43 | 124.220278652688 | 0.209721347311529 |
310 | 123.33 | 124.429277821939 | -1.09927782193877 |
311 | 122.86 | 123.333785376817 | -0.473785376817318 |
312 | 121.25 | 122.861631485823 | -1.61163148582278 |
313 | 122.16 | 121.255549673015 | 0.904450326984914 |
314 | 122.62 | 122.156885514079 | 0.463114485921452 |
315 | 123.44 | 122.618405259522 | 0.821594740477593 |
316 | 124 | 123.437170828319 | 0.562829171681415 |
317 | 124.75 | 123.998061890765 | 0.751938109235056 |
318 | 124.8 | 124.747410691792 | 0.0525893082075726 |
319 | 125.93 | 124.799818908065 | 1.13018109193524 |
320 | 126.28 | 125.926108207389 | 0.353891792610924 |
321 | 126.04 | 126.278781369222 | -0.238781369221812 |
322 | 125.04 | 126.040822246607 | -1.0008222466072 |
323 | 123.76 | 125.043446343822 | -1.28344634382225 |
324 | 125.34 | 123.764419563407 | 1.5755804365928 |
325 | 126.99 | 125.334574469220 | 1.65542553077981 |
326 | 126.34 | 126.984299521648 | -0.644299521647795 |
327 | 127.42 | 126.342218653396 | 1.07778134660413 |
328 | 126.18 | 127.416288646562 | -1.23628864656217 |
329 | 125.3 | 126.184257175292 | -0.884257175291651 |
330 | 123.5 | 125.303044950553 | -1.80304495055307 |
331 | 125.32 | 123.506208807656 | 1.81379119234447 |
332 | 124.65 | 125.313754187528 | -0.66375418752753 |
333 | 124.03 | 124.652285645779 | -0.622285645779186 |
334 | 125.11 | 124.032142848341 | 1.07785715165878 |
335 | 125.46 | 125.106288385527 | 0.353711614473468 |
336 | 124.7 | 125.458781989667 | -0.758781989667455 |
337 | 124.48 | 124.702612875195 | -0.222612875194756 |
338 | 124.76 | 124.480766570197 | 0.279233429802574 |
339 | 125.81 | 124.759038456220 | 1.05096154377965 |
340 | 124.95 | 125.806381000886 | -0.856381000885932 |
341 | 123.66 | 124.952948958601 | -1.29294895860069 |
342 | 122.66 | 123.664452285779 | -1.00445228577907 |
343 | 119.34 | 122.663458843907 | -3.32345884390716 |
344 | 117.84 | 119.351444371759 | -1.51144437175932 |
345 | 120.97 | 117.845204677445 | 3.12479532255509 |
346 | 117.38 | 120.959239728541 | -3.57923972854105 |
347 | 118.06 | 117.392325156409 | 0.667674843591271 |
348 | 116.99 | 118.057700853393 | -1.06770085339303 |
349 | 115.55 | 116.993676641134 | -1.44367664113439 |
350 | 114.17 | 115.554971318424 | -1.38497131842378 |
351 | 115.32 | 114.174769165917 | 1.14523083408325 |
352 | 112.49 | 115.316056383415 | -2.82605638341528 |
353 | 111.93 | 112.499731560216 | -0.5697315602159 |
354 | 112.08 | 111.931961877696 | 0.148038122304385 |
355 | 111.63 | 112.079490228889 | -0.449490228889303 |
356 | 109.53 | 111.631547825179 | -2.10154782517948 |
357 | 111.35 | 109.537236706007 | 1.81276329399250 |
358 | 110.79 | 111.343757727108 | -0.553757727108263 |
359 | 113.06 | 110.791906871603 | 2.26809312839687 |
360 | 112.62 | 113.052189793175 | -0.432189793174743 |
361 | 110.65 | 112.621488250914 | -1.97148825091448 |
362 | 112.36 | 110.65678884425 | 1.70321115574998 |
363 | 113.74 | 112.354134971255 | 1.38586502874460 |
364 | 111.73 | 113.735227756581 | -2.00522775658068 |
365 | 109.86 | 111.736905026656 | -1.87690502665635 |
366 | 109.32 | 109.866463145744 | -0.5464631457439 |
367 | 109.99 | 109.321881752622 | 0.668118247378288 |
368 | 109.84 | 109.987699326527 | -0.147699326526578 |
369 | 111.13 | 109.840508604463 | 1.28949139553676 |
370 | 112.43 | 111.125559620382 | 1.30444037961777 |
371 | 111.77 | 112.42550814337 | -0.655508143370113 |
372 | 112.15 | 111.772257250424 | 0.377742749576186 |
373 | 112.89 | 112.148699238156 | 0.741300761844386 |
374 | 112.12 | 112.887447321630 | -0.767447321630115 |
375 | 113.1 | 112.122642714373 | 0.977357285627122 |
376 | 111.09 | 113.096634458062 | -2.00663445806198 |
377 | 110.76 | 111.096909870650 | -0.336909870650331 |
378 | 109.59 | 110.761160153319 | -1.17116015331924 |
379 | 109.99 | 109.594032904517 | 0.395967095482803 |
380 | 110.25 | 109.988636482394 | 0.261363517605602 |
381 | 108.31 | 110.249099991485 | -1.93909999148468 |
382 | 108.79 | 108.316677314877 | 0.473322685123151 |
383 | 108.14 | 108.788370107462 | -0.648370107461815 |
384 | 109.88 | 108.142232670509 | 1.73776732949138 |
385 | 109.93 | 109.874015976642 | 0.0559840233575954 |
386 | 110.46 | 109.929807218321 | 0.530192781678949 |
387 | 109.56 | 110.458174274579 | -0.898174274578793 |
388 | 111.49 | 109.563092874257 | 1.92690712574287 |
389 | 111.85 | 111.483364671408 | 0.366635328592409 |
390 | 111.35 | 111.848737486698 | -0.498737486697564 |
391 | 110.95 | 111.351717408723 | -0.401717408722689 |
392 | 112.49 | 110.951383318881 | 1.53861668111941 |
393 | 113.11 | 112.484701754371 | 0.625298245629281 |
394 | 112.54 | 113.107846777734 | -0.56784677773382 |
395 | 112.84 | 112.541955387424 | 0.298044612576248 |
396 | 111.5 | 112.838973679679 | -1.3389736796791 |
397 | 111.52 | 111.504610772477 | 0.0153892275229168 |
398 | 111.57 | 111.519947007004 | 0.0500529929958873 |
399 | 112.48 | 111.569827641898 | 0.910172358102344 |
400 | 112.31 | 112.476865810193 | -0.166865810193414 |
401 | 113.79 | 112.310574604488 | 1.47942539551249 |
402 | 114.01 | 113.784905580297 | 0.225094419702970 |
403 | 113.64 | 114.009224884573 | -0.369224884573271 |
404 | 112.62 | 113.641271430471 | -1.02127143047058 |
405 | 113.27 | 112.623516760841 | 0.646483239159423 |
406 | 113.51 | 113.267773826946 | 0.242226173054220 |
407 | 112.92 | 113.509165891168 | -0.589165891168065 |
408 | 113.66 | 112.922028800055 | 0.737971199944653 |
409 | 113.14 | 113.657458787018 | -0.51745878701783 |
410 | 113.48 | 113.141781875753 | 0.338218124247391 |
411 | 113.23 | 113.478835341693 | -0.248835341693265 |
412 | 110.56 | 113.230856867586 | -2.67085686758614 |
413 | 109.5 | 110.569197128758 | -1.06919712875778 |
414 | 109.78 | 109.503681793577 | 0.276318206422829 |
415 | 109.49 | 109.779048494828 | -0.289048494828222 |
416 | 109.66 | 109.490995342078 | 0.169004657922173 |
417 | 109.93 | 109.659418030364 | 0.270581969636211 |
418 | 109.82 | 109.929068247631 | -0.109068247630773 |
419 | 108.54 | 109.820375577864 | -1.28037557786379 |
420 | 108.23 | 108.544408989187 | -0.314408989186518 |
421 | 106.19 | 108.231082671255 | -2.04108267125478 |
422 | 106.49 | 106.197028493500 | 0.292971506500166 |
423 | 107.15 | 106.488991148983 | 0.6610088510172 |
424 | 107.74 | 107.147723807821 | 0.592276192178844 |
425 | 107.54 | 107.737960489585 | -0.197960489584531 |
426 | 107.07 | 107.540681679402 | -0.470681679401764 |
427 | 107.54 | 107.071620798202 | 0.468379201797788 |
428 | 107.81 | 107.538387130408 | 0.271612869592033 |
429 | 108.38 | 107.809064697714 | 0.570935302286017 |
430 | 108.42 | 108.378033977204 | 0.041966022796359 |
431 | 106.86 | 108.419855489480 | -1.55985548947987 |
432 | 106.41 | 106.865371381729 | -0.45537138172935 |
433 | 106.46 | 106.411568077002 | 0.0484319229977501 |
434 | 106.84 | 106.459833224072 | 0.380166775927691 |
435 | 107.69 | 106.838690890991 | 0.851309109009193 |
436 | 107.04 | 107.687068506522 | -0.647068506521904 |
437 | 111.04 | 107.042228188430 | 3.99777181157036 |
438 | 111.93 | 111.026233623171 | 0.903766376828898 |
439 | 111.98 | 111.926887869269 | 0.0531121307305966 |
440 | 112.07 | 111.979817107719 | 0.0901828922810637 |
441 | 112.05 | 112.069689454092 | -0.0196894540916333 |
442 | 113.14 | 112.050067800879 | 1.08993219912057 |
443 | 112.49 | 113.136246804951 | -0.646246804950806 |
444 | 113.2 | 112.49222535889 | 0.707774641109921 |
445 | 113.52 | 113.197562769243 | 0.322437230757203 |
446 | 113.22 | 113.518889683396 | -0.298889683395771 |
447 | 113.85 | 113.221029230333 | 0.628970769667248 |
448 | 113.68 | 113.847834131352 | -0.167834131351725 |
449 | 114.26 | 113.680577938913 | 0.579422061086561 |
450 | 114.1 | 114.258004752944 | -0.158004752944436 |
451 | 114.8 | 114.100544091327 | 0.699455908673059 |
452 | 114.98 | 114.797591414901 | 0.182408585098869 |
453 | 115.1 | 114.979371873774 | 0.120628126225711 |
454 | 114.21 | 115.099584615551 | -0.889584615550845 |
455 | 114.24 | 114.213063295660 | 0.0269367043403008 |
456 | 113.35 | 114.239907243124 | -0.889907243124426 |
457 | 114.23 | 113.353064406632 | 0.876935593368259 |
458 | 114.43 | 114.226980261405 | 0.203019738594890 |
459 | 114.28 | 114.429300899012 | -0.149300899011521 |
460 | 113 | 114.280514119498 | -1.28051411949795 |
461 | 113.16 | 113.004409466256 | 0.155590533743649 |
462 | 112.59 | 113.159464222067 | -0.569464222066813 |
463 | 113.65 | 112.591960957113 | 1.05803904288663 |
464 | 113.18 | 113.64635662943 | -0.466356629429953 |
465 | 113.21 | 113.181605904839 | 0.0283940951609907 |
466 | 113.11 | 113.209902224581 | -0.099902224581058 |
467 | 112.78 | 113.110344014550 | -0.330344014549709 |
468 | 112.57 | 112.781137543712 | -0.211137543712312 |
469 | 111.87 | 112.570727054751 | -0.700727054751098 |
470 | 111.94 | 111.872412962306 | 0.0675870376938406 |
471 | 113.18 | 111.939767263197 | 1.24023273680278 |
472 | 113.67 | 113.175729243185 | 0.494270756815311 |
473 | 115.15 | 113.668297972517 | 1.48170202748294 |
474 | 114.41 | 115.144897740687 | -0.734897740686606 |
475 | 112.88 | 114.412530629487 | -1.53253062948708 |
476 | 112.44 | 112.885277288235 | -0.445277288234976 |
477 | 113.48 | 112.441533317866 | 1.03846668213393 |
478 | 112.78 | 113.476424027097 | -0.69642402709701 |
479 | 112.59 | 112.782398144777 | -0.192398144777030 |
480 | 113.31 | 112.590662525398 | 0.719337474601602 |
481 | 113.21 | 113.307522952482 | -0.0975229524822225 |
482 | 112.5 | 113.210335821497 | -0.710335821496727 |
483 | 113.72 | 112.502446050214 | 1.21755394978635 |
484 | 114.09 | 113.715807337869 | 0.374192662130881 |
485 | 113.97 | 114.088711462926 | -0.118711462925774 |
486 | 112.5 | 113.970408784395 | -1.47040878439530 |
487 | 111.28 | 112.505063370891 | -1.22506337089074 |
488 | 111.35 | 111.284218520916 | 0.0657814790843787 |
489 | 110.92 | 111.349773480661 | -0.429773480660685 |
490 | 110.73 | 110.921479930312 | -0.191479930312354 |
491 | 109 | 110.730659363515 | -1.7306593635155 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
492 | 109.005959546989 | 106.671782214455 | 111.340136879522 |
493 | 109.005959546989 | 105.710612965732 | 112.301306128245 |
494 | 109.005959546989 | 104.972321689981 | 113.039597403997 |
495 | 109.005959546989 | 104.349656331736 | 113.662262762242 |
496 | 109.005959546989 | 103.800953792596 | 114.210965301381 |