Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	18746	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	19009	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	19211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	20547	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	19325	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	20605	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	20056	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	16141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	20359	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	19711	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	15638	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	14384	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	13855	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	14308	13612.442	11472.943	15751.9411	0.262	0.4121	0	0.4121
51	15290	13615.0908	11299.4955	15930.686	0.0781	0.2788	0	0.4195
52	14423	13315.7536	10434.1444	16197.3627	0.2257	0.0897	0	0.3569
53	13779	11919.4027	8156.1055	15682.6999	0.1664	0.0961	1e-04	0.1567
54	15686	12480.7136	8265.2201	16696.2072	0.0681	0.273	1e-04	0.2614
55	14733	10845.8258	5865.7949	15825.8568	0.063	0.0284	1e-04	0.1181
56	12522	6720.1285	1009.7824	12430.4746	0.0232	0.003	6e-04	0.0072
57	16189	10756.8632	4429.5001	17084.2262	0.0462	0.2923	0.0015	0.1686
58	16059	8963.1417	1871.9186	16054.3648	0.0249	0.0229	0.0015	0.0882
59	16007	4892.2825	-2889.4141	12673.9791	0.0026	0.0025	0.0034	0.012
60	15806	3257.2085	-5202.2791	11716.6961	0.0018	0.0016	0.005	0.007
61	15160	2036.6329	-7146.5895	11219.8553	0.0025	0.0016	0.0058	0.0058

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0802	0.0511	0	483800.8675	0	0
51	0.0868	0.123	0.0871	2805320.893	1644560.8803	1282.4043
52	0.1104	0.0832	0.0858	1225994.6955	1505038.8187	1226.8002
53	0.1611	0.156	0.1033	3458101.9861	1993304.6105	1411.8444
54	0.1723	0.2568	0.134	10273860.6925	3649415.8269	1910.3444
55	0.2343	0.3584	0.1714	15110123.0137	5559533.6914	2357.8663
56	0.4335	0.8634	0.2703	33661712.8879	9574130.7195	3094.2092
57	0.3001	0.505	0.2996	29508110.6534	12065878.2112	3473.5973
58	0.4036	0.7917	0.3543	50351204.9351	16319803.4027	4039.7776
59	0.8115	2.2719	0.546	123536945.1609	27041517.5786	5200.1459
60	1.3251	3.8526	0.8466	157472167.2654	38898849.3683	6236.8942
61	2.3005	6.4437	1.3131	172222764.7296	50009175.6484	7071.7166