| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1311 | 0 | 132 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 6.4 | 3.93875305673375 | -0.215801958110081 | 9.07704890137633 | -2.46124694326625 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 7.22063018394759 | -0.473503346178176 | 8.65287316223059 | -0.479369816052415 |
| 3 | 9.2 | 10.2570539951293 | -0.0857514182141423 | 8.22869742308485 | 1.05705399512929 |
| 4 | 8.6 | 9.7554926094968 | -0.335310164495763 | 7.77981755499897 | 1.15549260949680 |
| 5 | 7.4 | 7.23574872124882 | 0.233313591838099 | 7.33093768691308 | -0.164251278751181 |
| 6 | 8.6 | 10.1222880196063 | 0.219546022093760 | 6.85816595829996 | 1.52228801960628 |
| 7 | 6.2 | 5.8179174970845 | 0.196688273228663 | 6.38539422968684 | -0.382082502915501 |
| 8 | 6 | 5.71307219917668 | 0.416253200419578 | 5.87067460040374 | -0.286927800823317 |
| 9 | 6.6 | 7.38095269982601 | 0.46309232905335 | 5.35595497112064 | 0.780952699826009 |
| 10 | 5.1 | 5.71947426302595 | -0.0705110760564296 | 4.55103681303048 | 0.619474263025952 |
| 11 | 4.7 | 5.49436108901322 | 0.159520256046462 | 3.74611865494031 | 0.794361089013225 |
| 12 | 5 | 7.92831492150629 | -0.507535109077162 | 2.57922018757087 | 2.92831492150629 |
| 13 | 3.6 | 6.00348023790865 | -0.215801958110081 | 1.41232172020143 | 2.40348023790865 |
| 14 | 1.9 | 4.24919182660465 | -0.473503346178176 | 0.0243115195735274 | 2.34919182660465 |
| 15 | -0.1 | 1.24945009926852 | -0.0857514182141423 | -1.36369868105438 | 1.34945009926852 |
| 16 | -5.7 | -8.07685703837869 | -0.335310164495763 | -2.98783279712555 | -2.37685703837869 |
| 17 | -5.6 | -6.82134667864137 | 0.233313591838099 | -4.61196691319673 | -1.22134667864137 |
| 18 | -6.4 | -6.87225125899635 | 0.219546022093760 | -6.14729476309741 | -0.472251258996351 |
| 19 | -7.7 | -7.91406566023057 | 0.196688273228663 | -7.6826226129981 | -0.214065660230569 |
| 20 | -8 | -7.73530152845088 | 0.416253200419578 | -8.6809516719687 | 0.264698471549124 |
| 21 | -11.9 | -14.5838115981140 | 0.46309232905335 | -9.6792807309393 | -2.68381159811404 |
| 22 | -15.4 | -20.7417955633366 | -0.0705110760564296 | -9.987693360607 | -5.34179556333657 |
| 23 | -15.5 | -20.8634142657718 | 0.159520256046462 | -10.2961059902747 | -5.36341426577178 |
| 24 | -13.4 | -16.1343427560431 | -0.507535109077162 | -10.1581221348797 | -2.73434275604314 |
| 25 | -10.9 | -11.5640597624052 | -0.215801958110081 | -10.0201382794847 | -0.664059762405218 |
| 26 | -10.8 | -11.4583687287859 | -0.473503346178176 | -9.66812792503596 | -0.658368728785867 |
| 27 | -7.3 | -5.19813101119864 | -0.0857514182141423 | -9.31611757058722 | 2.10186898880136 |
| 28 | -6.5 | -3.76810977520524 | -0.335310164495763 | -8.896580060299 | 2.73189022479476 |
| 29 | -5.1 | -1.95627104182733 | 0.233313591838099 | -8.47704255001077 | 3.14372895817267 |
| 30 | -5.3 | -2.53061302746718 | 0.219546022093760 | -8.28893299462658 | 2.76938697253282 |
| 31 | -6.8 | -5.69586483398627 | 0.196688273228663 | -8.1008234392424 | 1.10413516601373 |
| 32 | -8.4 | -8.84234757698416 | 0.416253200419578 | -8.37390562343542 | -0.442347576984162 |
| 33 | -8.4 | -8.61610452142491 | 0.46309232905335 | -8.64698780762844 | -0.216104521424914 |
| 34 | -9.7 | -10.0049581412603 | -0.0705110760564296 | -9.3245307826833 | -0.304958141260265 |
| 35 | -8.8 | -7.75744649830829 | 0.159520256046462 | -10.0020737577382 | 1.04255350169171 |
| 36 | -9.6 | -7.90488399161076 | -0.507535109077162 | -10.7875808993121 | 1.69511600838924 |
| 37 | -11.5 | -11.2111100010039 | -0.215801958110081 | -11.5730880408860 | 0.288889998996066 |
| 38 | -11 | -9.44896831621618 | -0.473503346178176 | -12.0775283376056 | 1.55103168378382 |
| 39 | -14.9 | -17.1322799474605 | -0.0857514182141423 | -12.5819686343253 | -2.23227994746055 |
| 40 | -16.2 | -19.4433872105998 | -0.335310164495763 | -12.6213026249044 | -3.24338721059984 |
| 41 | -14.4 | -16.3726769763546 | 0.233313591838099 | -12.6606366154835 | -1.97267697635462 |
| 42 | -17.3 | -22.5901534155123 | 0.219546022093760 | -12.2293926065815 | -5.29015341551229 |
| 43 | -15.7 | -19.7985396755492 | 0.196688273228663 | -11.7981485976795 | -4.09853967554921 |
| 44 | -12.6 | -14.6862190030911 | 0.416253200419578 | -10.9300341973285 | -2.08621900309112 |
| 45 | -9.4 | -9.20117253207588 | 0.46309232905335 | -10.0619197969775 | 0.198827467924117 |
| 46 | -8.1 | -7.29195941577546 | -0.0705110760564296 | -8.8375295081681 | 0.808040584224536 |
| 47 | -5.4 | -3.34638103668772 | 0.159520256046462 | -7.61313921935874 | 2.05361896331228 |
| 48 | -4.6 | -2.41107625730022 | -0.507535109077162 | -6.28138863362262 | 2.18892374269978 |
| 49 | -4.9 | -4.63455999400342 | -0.215801958110081 | -4.9496380478865 | 0.265440005996577 |
| 50 | -4 | -3.67906891492706 | -0.473503346178176 | -3.84742773889476 | 0.320931085072940 |
| 51 | -3.1 | -3.36903115188283 | -0.0857514182141423 | -2.74521742990303 | -0.269031151882828 |
| 52 | -1.3 | -0.197844358175629 | -0.335310164495763 | -2.06684547732861 | 1.10215564182437 |
| 53 | 0 | 1.15515993291609 | 0.233313591838099 | -1.38847352475418 | 1.15515993291609 |
| 54 | -0.4 | 0.0611368470729622 | 0.219546022093760 | -1.08068286916672 | 0.461136847072962 |
| 55 | 3 | 6.5762039403506 | 0.196688273228663 | -0.772892213579259 | 3.57620394035060 |
| 56 | 0.4 | 1.16858215886725 | 0.416253200419578 | -0.784835359286826 | 0.768582158867248 |
| 57 | 1.2 | 2.73368617594104 | 0.46309232905335 | -0.796778504994392 | 1.53368617594104 |
| 58 | 0.6 | 2.47164671475213 | -0.0705110760564296 | -1.20113563869570 | 1.87164671475213 |
| 59 | -1.3 | -1.15402748364945 | 0.159520256046462 | -1.60549277239701 | 0.145972516350549 |
| 60 | -3.2 | -3.57879764346402 | -0.507535109077162 | -2.31366724745882 | -0.378797643464023 |
| 61 | -1.8 | -0.362356319369298 | -0.215801958110081 | -3.02184172252062 | 1.43764368063070 |
| 62 | -3.6 | -3.02603356136981 | -0.473503346178176 | -3.70046309245202 | 0.573966438630192 |
| 63 | -4.2 | -3.93516411940245 | -0.0857514182141423 | -4.37908446238341 | 0.264835880597554 |
| 64 | -6.9 | -8.78371179204647 | -0.335310164495763 | -4.68097804345777 | -1.88371179204647 |
| 65 | -8 | -11.2504419673060 | 0.233313591838099 | -4.98287162453213 | -3.25044196730597 |
| 66 | -7.5 | -10.3877615656838 | 0.219546022093760 | -4.83178445640993 | -2.88776156568383 |
| 67 | -8.2 | -11.9159909849409 | 0.196688273228663 | -4.68069728828774 | -3.71599098494092 |
| 68 | -7.6 | -11.5181560430799 | 0.416253200419578 | -4.09809715733969 | -3.91815604307988 |
| 69 | -3.7 | -4.3475953026617 | 0.46309232905335 | -3.51549702639165 | -0.647595302661703 |
| 70 | -1.7 | -0.813581416936879 | -0.0705110760564296 | -2.51590750700669 | 0.886418583063121 |
| 71 | -0.7 | -0.0432022684247254 | 0.159520256046462 | -1.51631798762174 | 0.656797731575275 |
| 72 | 0.2 | 1.21911050007992 | -0.507535109077162 | -0.31157539100276 | 1.01911050007992 |
| 73 | 0.6 | 0.522634752493866 | -0.215801958110081 | 0.893167205616216 | -0.0773652475061344 |
| 74 | 2.2 | 2.92633478746995 | -0.473503346178176 | 1.94716855870823 | 0.72633478746995 |
| 75 | 3.3 | 3.68458150641390 | -0.0857514182141423 | 3.00116991180024 | 0.384581506413905 |
| 76 | 5.3 | 7.19542051539937 | -0.335310164495763 | 3.7398896490964 | 1.89542051539937 |
| 77 | 5.5 | 6.28807702176934 | 0.233313591838099 | 4.47860938639256 | 0.788077021769345 |
| 78 | 6.3 | 7.41418986884367 | 0.219546022093760 | 4.96626410906257 | 1.11418986884367 |
| 79 | 7.7 | 9.74939289503875 | 0.196688273228663 | 5.45391883173258 | 2.04939289503875 |
| 80 | 6.5 | 6.89472958031133 | 0.416253200419578 | 5.6890172192691 | 0.394729580311325 |
| 81 | 5.5 | 4.61279206414104 | 0.46309232905335 | 5.92411560680561 | -0.88720793585896 |
| 82 | 6.9 | 7.88562514143878 | -0.0705110760564296 | 5.98488593461765 | 0.985625141438775 |
| 83 | 5.7 | 5.19482348152384 | 0.159520256046462 | 6.0456562624297 | -0.505176518476162 |
| 84 | 6.9 | 8.23439921948231 | -0.507535109077162 | 6.07313588959485 | 1.33439921948231 |
| 85 | 6.1 | 6.31518644135008 | -0.215801958110081 | 6.10061551676 | 0.215186441350077 |
| 86 | 4.8 | 4.02476393717814 | -0.473503346178176 | 6.04873940900004 | -0.775236062821863 |
| 87 | 3.7 | 1.48888811697407 | -0.0857514182141423 | 5.99686330124007 | -2.21111188302593 |
| 88 | 5.8 | 6.16392133660161 | -0.335310164495763 | 5.77138882789415 | 0.363921336601612 |
| 89 | 6.8 | 7.82077205361367 | 0.233313591838099 | 5.54591435454823 | 1.02077205361367 |
| 90 | 8.5 | 11.5906225156492 | 0.219546022093760 | 5.18983146225703 | 3.09062251564921 |
| 91 | 7.2 | 9.3695631568055 | 0.196688273228663 | 4.83374856996584 | 2.16956315680550 |
| 92 | 5 | 5.14434462526058 | 0.416253200419578 | 4.43940217431984 | 0.144344625260580 |
| 93 | 4.7 | 4.89185189227281 | 0.46309232905335 | 4.04505577867384 | 0.191851892272806 |
| 94 | 2.3 | 1.15112458061839 | -0.0705110760564296 | 3.51938649543804 | -1.14887541938161 |
| 95 | 2.4 | 1.6467625317513 | 0.159520256046462 | 2.99371721220224 | -0.753237468248701 |
| 96 | 0.1 | -1.59948626831758 | -0.507535109077162 | 2.30702137739474 | -1.69948626831758 |
| 97 | 1.9 | 2.39547641552283 | -0.215801958110081 | 1.62032554258725 | 0.495476415522833 |
| 98 | 1.7 | 3.08707286775725 | -0.473503346178176 | 0.786430478420922 | 1.38707286775725 |
| 99 | 2 | 4.13321600395955 | -0.0857514182141423 | -0.047464585745404 | 2.13321600395955 |
| 100 | -1.9 | -2.05811216119711 | -0.335310164495763 | -1.40657767430713 | -0.158112161197111 |
| 101 | 0.5 | 3.53237717103075 | 0.233313591838099 | -2.76569076286885 | 3.03237717103075 |
| 102 | -1.3 | 2.11541569441428 | 0.219546022093760 | -4.93496171650804 | 3.41541569441428 |
| 103 | -3.3 | 0.307544396918575 | 0.196688273228663 | -7.10423267014724 | 3.60754439691858 |
| 104 | -2.8 | 3.81741052200449 | 0.416253200419578 | -9.83366372242407 | 6.6174105220045 |
| 105 | -8 | -3.89999755435244 | 0.46309232905335 | -12.5630947747009 | 4.10000244564756 |
| 106 | -13.9 | -12.4595485141452 | -0.0705110760564296 | -15.2699404097983 | 1.44045148585477 |
| 107 | -21.9 | -25.9827342111507 | 0.159520256046462 | -17.9767860448958 | -4.08273421115068 |
| 108 | -28.8 | -36.9512370486469 | -0.507535109077162 | -20.141227842276 | -8.15123704864686 |
| 109 | -27.6 | -32.6785284022338 | -0.215801958110081 | -22.3056696396562 | -5.07852840223375 |
| 110 | -31.4 | -38.8698703815298 | -0.473503346178176 | -23.456626272292 | -7.46987038152982 |
| 111 | -31.8 | -38.906665676858 | -0.0857514182141423 | -24.6075829049278 | -7.10666567685802 |
| 112 | -29.4 | -34.1199665871678 | -0.335310164495763 | -24.3447232483364 | -4.71996658716784 |
| 113 | -27.6 | -31.3514500000931 | 0.233313591838099 | -24.0818635917450 | -3.75145000009314 |
| 114 | -23.6 | -24.872307766188 | 0.219546022093760 | -22.5472382559058 | -1.27230776618799 |
| 115 | -22.8 | -24.7840753531621 | 0.196688273228663 | -21.0126129200666 | -1.98407535316207 |
| 116 | -18.2 | -17.9462822986774 | 0.416253200419578 | -18.8699709017421 | 0.253717701322554 |
| 117 | -17.8 | -19.3357634456357 | 0.46309232905335 | -16.7273288834177 | -1.53576344563568 |
| 118 | -14.2 | -13.7288951971180 | -0.0705110760564296 | -14.6005937268255 | 0.471104802881968 |
| 119 | -8.8 | -5.28566168581306 | 0.159520256046462 | -12.4738585702334 | 3.51433831418694 |
| 120 | -7.9 | -4.46762878417405 | -0.507535109077162 | -10.8248361067488 | 3.43237121582595 |
| 121 | -7 | -4.60838439862574 | -0.215801958110081 | -9.17581364326418 | 2.39161560137426 |
| 122 | -7 | -5.32648291902813 | -0.473503346178176 | -8.20001373479369 | 1.67351708097187 |
| 123 | -3.6 | 0.109965244537344 | -0.0857514182141423 | -7.2242138263232 | 3.70996524453734 |
| 124 | -2.4 | 1.98467659902579 | -0.335310164495763 | -6.44936643453002 | 4.38467659902579 |
| 125 | -4.9 | -4.35879454910126 | 0.233313591838099 | -5.67451904273684 | 0.541205450898744 |
| 126 | -7.7 | -10.6775252519225 | 0.219546022093760 | -4.94202077017123 | -2.97752525192253 |
| 127 | -6.5 | -8.98716577562305 | 0.196688273228663 | -4.20952249760561 | -2.48716577562305 |
| 128 | -5.1 | -7.06651419370329 | 0.416253200419578 | -3.54973900671629 | -1.96651419370329 |
| 129 | -3.4 | -4.37313681322638 | 0.46309232905335 | -2.88995551582697 | -0.973136813226377 |
| 130 | -2.8 | -3.25591861377560 | -0.0705110760564296 | -2.27357031016797 | -0.455918613775596 |
| 131 | 0.8 | 3.09766484846251 | 0.159520256046462 | -1.65718510450898 | 2.29766484846251 |
