| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7685 | 0.2713 | -0.1252 | -0.7896 | -0.4574 | -0.2801 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0129 ) | (0.2375 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6567 | 0.2148 | 0 | -0.6969 | -0.4392 | -0.2778 |
| (p-val) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0316 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0024 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -769.912861553294 |
| 1231.74727399615 |
| -3786.51231097315 |
| 3857.06302324878 |
| 1137.67707676976 |
| 650.559322937789 |
| 1448.38740717346 |
| -785.54974621505 |
| -320.404796754846 |
| 2132.00567503766 |
| 427.225666337859 |
| -3403.28245110406 |
| 2733.9958385884 |
| 3258.62107497866 |
| 2037.74330480893 |
| 2990.71308821088 |
| 1208.25095630911 |
| 1494.87512020676 |
| -519.740656933977 |
| -4402.27545296717 |
| 17871.9777276773 |
| 5459.4442749815 |
| -5409.31434925441 |
| -563.209150590502 |
| -2049.06740545281 |
| 389.225408935284 |
| 455.520730143003 |
| -3060.66833871189 |
| -298.057771183623 |
| 2045.44039472676 |
| 10127.8475449953 |
| -8097.8777878039 |
| -3333.40327155713 |
| 2225.00884231747 |
| 5836.70857941023 |
| -2191.13607277713 |
| 117.796122676524 |
| -683.859351838109 |
| -432.910789633781 |
| 3407.87948222386 |
| -394.428965424131 |
| 4298.03229825826 |
| 5898.49600861374 |
| -3706.42151145838 |
| -3704.91984864148 |
| -2629.45394633622 |
| -4621.33075594125 |
| 2273.65526374444 |
| 703.400966343876 |
| 1079.83333465661 |
| -610.322967529709 |
| -3999.42824209712 |
| -422.142154253448 |
| 1083.44977604587 |
| 729.739555603923 |
| 7156.13682323652 |
| -4265.30986985137 |
| 7221.0715912018 |
| -2196.14665584382 |
| -2769.16480619819 |
| -4656.64255981166 |
| -2067.48870068473 |
| 1444.30476148427 |
| -216.907171108237 |
| -799.035835352519 |
| -418.391423189224 |
| -1416.53473009083 |
| -4989.98362443183 |
| -732.204636348123 |
| -2920.54765977996 |
| -2787.64159309918 |
| 914.006992242599 |
| -11233.6349440327 |
| 5322.0219330074 |
| 1006.13446350816 |
| 6724.49457140983 |
| 2437.70541039257 |
| -3692.29845765851 |
| -9582.62183266141 |
| -10126.8392223392 |
| 9470.16153033314 |
| -11318.1168512311 |
| -346.67857077627 |
| -1946.71363322788 |
| 7900.62082962249 |
| -4087.10265077699 |
| -2372.43353204679 |
| -1569.67490782501 |
| 193.278050464140 |
| 1343.44384647435 |
| 3126.47440602592 |
| -5889.71854343926 |
| -6272.39742084878 |
| 6060.81397314111 |
| 6785.70940167172 |
| 5595.32533841795 |
| 1005.55582909575 |
| -351.142511607872 |
| 3455.97570243333 |
| 1522.07816484521 |
| -5010.20361793405 |
| 4972.43114296327 |
| -5017.73496517926 |
| -4012.76939976593 |
| 5476.81189004498 |
| 6563.84298961209 |
| 5636.18251808457 |
| 6859.90756128148 |
| 10643.0907987134 |
| 4503.09204559672 |
| 2275.00351567424 |
| -4863.71281891787 |
| -232.977390916871 |
| 3305.72195329342 |
| -3821.61291124252 |
| -93.0337763798603 |
| -817.916844930417 |
| 1217.94461905745 |
| 1959.02518379571 |
| 8202.10905626621 |
| -11932.8528671436 |
| -3576.00245277966 |
| -4461.26102632261 |
| -863.382669907556 |
| -868.722858129936 |
| -3542.78439423715 |
| 1144.34409084334 |
| -378.830468654809 |
| -2636.61675293480 |
| -329.400170784795 |
| -2944.13784321281 |
