Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[59])
47	8683	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7829	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	6712	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	7354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	8402	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	8377	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	9133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	8301	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	5932	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9080	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9459	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	9647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	8646	7985.7407	6570.8925	9400.5889	0.1802	0.0107	0.5859	0.0107
61	7503	8376.1608	6793.2411	9959.0804	0.1398	0.3691	0.9803	0.0578
62	10000	8764.9328	7030.1493	10499.7163	0.0814	0.923	0.9445	0.1595
63	10441	11035.0916	9160.7083	12909.475	0.2672	0.8605	0.9971	0.9267
64	6435	9560.4905	7556.207	11564.7739	0.0011	0.1946	0.9065	0.4663
65	8102	10404.1672	8277.905	12530.4295	0.0169	0.9999	0.9692	0.7574
66	9983	10638.9973	8397.3839	12880.6106	0.2831	0.9867	0.906	0.8071
67	8662	9475.1821	7123.8698	11826.4944	0.2489	0.336	0.8362	0.4431
68	6575	7745.8234	5289.7069	10201.94	0.1751	0.2324	0.9261	0.0646
69	9088	9993.489	7436.8608	12550.1172	0.2438	0.9956	0.7581	0.6047
70	9336	11048.0052	8394.6701	13701.3403	0.103	0.9262	0.8798	0.8496
71	9089	11218.9302	8472.2911	13965.5692	0.0643	0.9105	0.869	0.869

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
60	0.0904	0.0827	0	435942.3753	0	0
61	0.0964	-0.1042	0.0935	762409.7384	599176.0569	774.0646
62	0.101	0.1409	0.1093	1525391.0958	907914.4032	952.8454
63	0.0867	-0.0538	0.0954	352944.8771	769172.0216	877.0245
64	0.107	-0.3269	0.1417	9768690.6462	2569075.7466	1602.8337
65	0.1043	-0.2213	0.155	5299973.9975	3024225.4551	1739.03
66	0.1075	-0.0617	0.1416	430332.4261	2653669.3081	1629.0087
67	0.1266	-0.0858	0.1347	661265.1918	2404618.7935	1550.6833
68	0.1618	-0.1512	0.1365	1370827.5064	2289753.095	1513.193
69	0.1305	-0.0906	0.1319	819910.3147	2142768.8169	1463.8199
70	0.1225	-0.155	0.134	2930961.7886	2214422.7234	1488.0937
71	0.1249	-0.1899	0.1387	4536602.4757	2407937.7028	1551.7531