Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[56])
44	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	115.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	99.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	94.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	93.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	103.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	94.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	91.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	82.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	89.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	104.5	103.1224	94.1684	112.0765	0.3815	0.9989	0.0014	0.9989
58	105.1	105.226	96.1718	114.2802	0.4891	0.5624	0.0117	0.9998
59	95.1	93.5378	83.6479	103.4277	0.3784	0.011	0.1227	0.8104
60	88.7	86.2764	74.4643	98.0885	0.3438	0.0716	0.0915	0.3197
61	86.3	87.4499	75.2814	99.6184	0.4265	0.4202	0.2837	0.3952
62	91.8	88.9664	75.7709	102.1619	0.3369	0.654	0.2647	0.4921
63	111.5	96.1032	81.8746	110.3318	0.017	0.7233	0.1676	0.8327
64	99.7	90.9526	76.1756	105.7295	0.123	0.0032	0.3382	0.5971
65	97.5	88.3519	72.6716	104.0322	0.1264	0.078	0.3332	0.4627
66	111.7	97.3764	80.9413	113.8116	0.0438	0.4941	0.2628	0.8382
67	86.2	77.067	60.0124	94.1216	0.1469	0	0.2624	0.0833
68	95.4	83.7508	65.9373	101.5643	0.1	0.3938	0.2781	0.2781

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
57	0.0443	0.0134	0	1.8977	0	0
58	0.0439	-0.0012	0.0073	0.0159	0.9568	0.9782
59	0.0539	0.0167	0.0104	2.4406	1.4514	1.2047
60	0.0699	0.0281	0.0148	5.874	2.557	1.5991
61	0.071	-0.0131	0.0145	1.3222	2.3101	1.5199
62	0.0757	0.0319	0.0174	8.0292	3.2633	1.8065
63	0.0755	0.1602	0.0378	237.0617	36.663	6.055
64	0.0829	0.0962	0.0451	76.5175	41.6449	6.4533
65	0.0905	0.1035	0.0516	83.6886	46.3164	6.8056
66	0.0861	0.1471	0.0611	205.1652	62.2013	7.8868
67	0.1129	0.1185	0.0664	83.4117	64.1295	8.0081
68	0.1085	0.1391	0.0724	135.7041	70.094	8.3722