Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	85.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	85.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	85.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	86.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	85.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	85.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	85.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	86.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	85.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	83.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	85.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	85.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	84.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	83.13	84.4162	83.0751	85.7572	0.0301	0.5846	0.0265	0.5846
98	83.79	84.7581	82.949	86.5672	0.1471	0.9611	0.11	0.7015
99	83.7	84.6412	82.659	86.6233	0.176	0.8	0.0774	0.6432
100	83.76	84.4803	82.281	86.6795	0.2605	0.7566	0.1841	0.5743
101	83.47	84.5383	82.0716	87.0049	0.198	0.7319	0.1276	0.5844
102	83.78	84.5465	81.8522	87.2408	0.2886	0.7832	0.1734	0.5797
103	84.83	84.5535	81.6556	87.4513	0.4258	0.6996	0.0714	0.576
104	84.43	84.4637	81.3589	87.5684	0.4915	0.4086	0.273	0.5487
105	84.9	84.3792	81.0699	87.6884	0.3789	0.488	0.6185	0.5258
106	85.36	84.4492	80.9447	87.9538	0.3053	0.4005	0.2878	0.5399
107	85.49	84.4288	80.7345	88.1232	0.2867	0.3106	0.3125	0.5336
108	85.29	84.3621	80.4811	88.2431	0.3197	0.2845	0.5186	0.5186

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0081	-0.0152	0	1.6542	0	0
98	0.0109	-0.0114	0.0133	0.9372	1.2957	1.1383
99	0.0119	-0.0111	0.0126	0.8858	1.1591	1.0766
100	0.0133	-0.0085	0.0116	0.5188	0.999	0.9995
101	0.0149	-0.0126	0.0118	1.1412	1.0274	1.0136
102	0.0163	-0.0091	0.0113	0.5875	0.9541	0.9768
103	0.0175	0.0033	0.0102	0.0765	0.8287	0.9104
104	0.0188	-4e-04	0.009	0.0011	0.7253	0.8516
105	0.02	0.0062	0.0086	0.2712	0.6748	0.8215
106	0.0212	0.0108	0.0089	0.8295	0.6903	0.8308
107	0.0223	0.0126	0.0092	1.1261	0.7299	0.8544
108	0.0235	0.011	0.0093	0.861	0.7408	0.8607