Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	106.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	110.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	114.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	125.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	124.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	120.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	120.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	111.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	124.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	120.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	125.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	117	117.6491	107.8528	127.4454	0.4483	0.6293	0.9237	0.6293
50	105.7	117.6491	107.8468	127.4514	0.0084	0.5516	0.7909	0.6292
51	102	117.6491	107.8408	127.4574	9e-04	0.9915	0.7547	0.6291
52	106.4	117.6491	107.8348	127.4634	0.0123	0.9991	0.0608	0.6291
53	96.9	117.6491	107.8288	127.4694	0	0.9876	0.0827	0.629
54	107.6	117.6491	107.8228	127.4754	0.0225	1	0.3054	0.6289
55	98.8	117.6491	107.8168	127.4814	1e-04	0.9774	0.265	0.6288
56	101.1	117.6491	107.8108	127.4874	5e-04	0.9999	0.8934	0.6287
57	105.7	117.6491	107.8048	127.4934	0.0087	0.9995	0.0995	0.6287
58	104.6	117.6491	107.7988	127.4994	0.0047	0.9913	0.3059	0.6286
59	103.2	117.6491	107.7928	127.5054	0.002	0.9953	0.0592	0.6285
60	101.6	117.6491	107.7869	127.5114	7e-04	0.998	0.6284	0.6284

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0425	-0.0055	0	0.4214	0	0
50	0.0425	-0.1016	0.0535	142.7814	71.6014	8.4618
51	0.0425	-0.133	0.08	244.8949	129.3659	11.3739
52	0.0426	-0.0956	0.0839	126.5426	128.6601	11.3428
53	0.0426	-0.1764	0.1024	430.5259	189.0332	13.7489
54	0.0426	-0.0854	0.0996	100.9848	174.3585	13.2045
55	0.0426	-0.1602	0.1082	355.2892	200.2057	14.1494
56	0.0427	-0.1407	0.1123	273.8733	209.4142	14.4711
57	0.0427	-0.1016	0.1111	142.7814	202.0105	14.213
58	0.0427	-0.1109	0.1111	170.2795	198.8374	14.101
59	0.0427	-0.1228	0.1122	208.777	199.741	14.133
60	0.0428	-0.1364	0.1142	257.5742	204.5605	14.3025