Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[33])
2765268-------
2865774-------
2966028-------
3067104-------
3168102-------
3269897-------
3372185-------
347353872827.66669422.829676080.27730.33430.650710.6507
357232572827.66666901.763278306.39790.42860.39970.99250.5909
367482072827.66665097.823979812.34990.28810.55610.94590.5716
377481372827.66663591.120881017.94390.31740.31680.87090.5611
387453372827.66662257.743482047.00640.35850.33650.73340.5543
397691672827.66661040.708982956.43270.21440.37070.54950.5495
408037172827.66659908.183883777.96480.08850.23220.44940.5458
418126172827.66658840.229784531.44530.07890.10320.53350.5429
428155772827.66657823.367285230.25330.08390.09130.37640.5404
438144672827.66656847.967585883.91270.09790.0950.38280.5384
448199572827.66655906.857786499.48630.09440.10830.40340.5367
457994872827.66654994.514487082.3820.16380.10370.2870.5352


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
340.02280.00980504574.385700
350.0384-0.00690.0083252673.1117378623.7487615.3241
360.04890.02740.01473969394.75121575547.41621255.2081
370.05740.02730.01783941551.07522167048.33091472.0898
380.06460.02340.01892908164.03752315271.47231521.6016
390.0710.05610.025116714474.86194715138.70392171.437
400.07670.10360.036356901887.773512170388.5713488.6084
410.0820.11580.046371121122.286119539230.28544420.3202
420.08690.11990.054576201272.011725835012.69945082.8154
430.09150.11830.060874275680.864630679079.51595538.8699
440.09580.12590.066884040012.592135530073.43195960.7108
450.09990.09780.069350699156.21336794163.66376065.8193