Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	85.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	85.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	85.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	86.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	85.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	85.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	85.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	86.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	85.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	83.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	85.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	85.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	84.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	83.13	84.4141	83.0673	85.761	0.0308	0.5831	0.0268	0.5831
98	83.79	84.7768	82.9604	86.5932	0.1435	0.9622	0.1148	0.7078
99	83.7	84.7145	82.7306	86.6985	0.1581	0.8195	0.0887	0.6697
100	83.76	84.5592	82.3885	86.7299	0.2353	0.7811	0.2003	0.603
101	83.47	84.636	82.2426	87.0293	0.1698	0.7634	0.1373	0.6178
102	83.78	84.655	82.0731	87.237	0.2533	0.8158	0.1842	0.615
103	84.83	84.7159	81.971	87.4609	0.4675	0.748	0.0762	0.6249
104	84.43	84.5963	81.6923	87.5003	0.4553	0.4373	0.2891	0.5872
105	84.9	84.469	81.411	87.5271	0.3912	0.51	0.6495	0.5508
106	85.36	84.6065	81.4036	87.8093	0.3224	0.4287	0.3029	0.5816
107	85.49	84.5959	81.2553	87.9365	0.2999	0.327	0.3291	0.5758
108	85.29	84.503	81.0295	87.9765	0.3285	0.2888	0.5523	0.5523

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0081	-0.0152	0	1.649	0	0
98	0.0109	-0.0116	0.0134	0.9738	1.3114	1.1452
99	0.0119	-0.012	0.0129	1.0293	1.2174	1.1033
100	0.0131	-0.0095	0.0121	0.6387	1.0727	1.0357
101	0.0144	-0.0138	0.0124	1.3595	1.1301	1.063
102	0.0156	-0.0103	0.0121	0.7657	1.0693	1.0341
103	0.0165	0.0013	0.0105	0.013	0.9184	0.9583
104	0.0175	-0.002	0.0095	0.0277	0.8071	0.8984
105	0.0185	0.0051	0.009	0.1857	0.738	0.8591
106	0.0193	0.0089	0.009	0.5678	0.721	0.8491
107	0.0201	0.0106	0.0091	0.7993	0.7281	0.8533
108	0.021	0.0093	0.0091	0.6194	0.7191	0.848