Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
log(ps)[t] = + 1.05564493461236 -0.111130772358259D[t] -0.288386163160629`log(tg)`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 1.05564493461236 | 0.102597 | 10.2892 | 0 | 0 |
D | -0.111130772358259 | 0.018317 | -6.0671 | 0 | 0 |
`log(tg)` | -0.288386163160629 | 0.057288 | -5.034 | 5e-06 | 3e-06 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.816150866613737 |
R-squared | 0.666102237074354 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.654386526094507 |
F-TEST (value) | 56.8554685430659 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 2 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 57 |
p-value | 2.65343302885412e-14 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.183658482395704 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 1.9226349748859 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 0.30102999566398 | 0.254129982826525 | 0.0469000128374553 |
2 | 0.25527250510331 | -0.194970713964902 | 0.450243219068212 |
3 | -0.15490195998574 | -0.0392675394490752 | -0.115634420536665 |
4 | 0.5910646070265 | 0.499226303284992 | 0.0918383037415081 |
5 | 0 | -0.13674597366662 | 0.13674597366662 |
6 | 0.55630250076729 | 0.425609244977849 | 0.130693255789441 |
7 | 0.14612803567824 | 0.263424533195337 | -0.117296497517097 |
8 | 0.17609125905568 | 0.0201557221418644 | 0.155935536913816 |
9 | -0.15490195998574 | -0.20618194748354 | 0.0512799874978002 |
10 | 0.32221929473392 | 0.476391527543041 | -0.154172232809121 |
11 | 0.61278385671974 | 0.365260755184782 | 0.247523101534958 |
12 | 0.07918124604762 | 0.233776287832637 | -0.154595041785017 |
13 | -0.52287874528034 | -0.25040702439178 | -0.27247172088856 |
14 | -0.30102999566398 | -0.125882376336088 | -0.175147619327892 |
15 | 0.53147891704226 | 0.486131848112663 | 0.0453470689295974 |
16 | 0.17609125905568 | 0.226039922323874 | -0.0499486632681937 |
17 | 0.53147891704226 | 0.304912265391715 | 0.226566651650545 |
18 | -0.09691001300806 | 0.08265163088632 | -0.17956164389438 |
19 | -0.09691001300806 | -0.228570218227382 | 0.131660205219322 |
20 | 0.14612803567824 | 0.226865030076609 | -0.0807369943983685 |
21 | 0.30102999566398 | 0.454554721378643 | -0.153524725714663 |
22 | 0.27875360095283 | 0.244741889723118 | 0.034011711229712 |
23 | 0.38021124171161 | 0.518532831082488 | -0.138321589370878 |
24 | 0.44715803134222 | 0.245489003800779 | 0.201669027541441 |
25 | 0.11394335230684 | 0.353477772930963 | -0.239534420624123 |
26 | 0.30102999566398 | 0.296271286365971 | 0.00475870929800931 |
27 | 0.7481880270062 | 0.633293223351525 | 0.114894803654675 |
28 | 0.49136169383427 | 0.344907060190896 | 0.146454633643374 |
29 | 0 | -0.262344102047478 | 0.262344102047478 |
30 | 0.25527250510331 | 0.214469760035141 | 0.0408027450681692 |
31 | -0.04575749056068 | -0.0321087613827143 | -0.0136487291779657 |
32 | 0.25527250510331 | 0.478538946494433 | -0.223266441391123 |
33 | 0.27875360095283 | 0.0168451015663565 | 0.261908499386473 |
34 | -0.04575749056068 | 0.0699029960514682 | -0.115660486612148 |
35 | 0.41497334797082 | 0.34094286827232 | 0.0740304796985004 |
36 | 0.38021124171161 | 0.449642542012455 | -0.0694313003008446 |
37 | 0.07918124604762 | 0.194653070557446 | -0.115471824509826 |
38 | -0.04575749056068 | 0.155046498444204 | -0.200803989004884 |
39 | -0.30102999566398 | 0.0439157260859454 | -0.344945721749925 |
40 | -0.22184874961636 | -0.128395728624268 | -0.0934530209920923 |
41 | 0.36172783601759 | 0.320589173278433 | 0.0411386627391568 |
42 | -0.30102999566398 | 0.0586674057705332 | -0.359697401434513 |
43 | 0.41497334797082 | 0.353867038551911 | 0.0611063094189087 |
44 | -0.22184874961636 | -0.0585740672465687 | -0.163274682369791 |
45 | 0.81954393554187 | 0.613986695554029 | 0.205557239987841 |
46 | 0.30102999566398 | 0.254129982826523 | 0.0469000128374565 |
47 | 0.25527250510331 | -0.194970713964902 | 0.450243219068212 |
48 | -0.15490195998574 | -0.0392675394490753 | -0.115634420536665 |
49 | 0.5910646070265 | 0.499226303284992 | 0.0918383037415081 |
50 | 0 | -0.13674597366662 | 0.13674597366662 |
51 | 0.55630250076729 | 0.425609244977849 | 0.130693255789441 |
52 | 0.14612803567824 | 0.263424533195337 | -0.117296497517097 |
53 | 0.17609125905568 | 0.0201557221418644 | 0.155935536913816 |
54 | -0.15490195998574 | -0.20618194748354 | 0.0512799874978002 |
55 | 0.32221929473392 | 0.476391527543041 | -0.154172232809121 |
56 | 0.61278385671974 | 0.365260755184782 | 0.247523101534958 |
57 | 0.07918124604762 | 0.233776287832637 | -0.154595041785017 |
58 | -0.52287874528034 | -0.25040702439178 | -0.27247172088856 |
59 | -0.30102999566398 | -0.125882376336088 | -0.175147619327892 |
60 | 0.53147891704226 | 0.486131848112663 | 0.0453470689295974 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
6 | 0.549953344284421 | 0.900093311431158 | 0.450046655715579 |
7 | 0.773293546630813 | 0.453412906738373 | 0.226706453369187 |
8 | 0.667620163172466 | 0.664759673655068 | 0.332379836827534 |
9 | 0.580627912176499 | 0.838744175647001 | 0.419372087823501 |
10 | 0.536695460319885 | 0.92660907936023 | 0.463304539680115 |
11 | 0.595999542375127 | 0.808000915249747 | 0.404000457624873 |
12 | 0.606342471090122 | 0.787315057819756 | 0.393657528909878 |
13 | 0.80158235658626 | 0.39683528682748 | 0.19841764341374 |
14 | 0.796966655339143 | 0.406066689321714 | 0.203033344660857 |
15 | 0.728290469283351 | 0.543419061433298 | 0.271709530716649 |
16 | 0.660006206809658 | 0.679987586380685 | 0.339993793190342 |
17 | 0.664885561011916 | 0.670228877976167 | 0.335114438988084 |
18 | 0.671821564490139 | 0.656356871019723 | 0.328178435509861 |
19 | 0.625949095573685 | 0.74810180885263 | 0.374050904426315 |
20 | 0.563545172446956 | 0.872909655106087 | 0.436454827553044 |
21 | 0.53958883858185 | 0.9208223228363 | 0.46041116141815 |
22 | 0.459346342879056 | 0.918692685758113 | 0.540653657120944 |
23 | 0.419407585587552 | 0.838815171175104 | 0.580592414412448 |
24 | 0.428419898662231 | 0.856839797324461 | 0.57158010133777 |
25 | 0.472671360075844 | 0.945342720151688 | 0.527328639924156 |
26 | 0.395293515529204 | 0.79058703105841 | 0.604706484470796 |
27 | 0.352619754935329 | 0.705239509870659 | 0.647380245064671 |
28 | 0.322941804306394 | 0.645883608612787 | 0.677058195693606 |
29 | 0.386162895909316 | 0.772325791818632 | 0.613837104090684 |
30 | 0.319167735782977 | 0.638335471565954 | 0.680832264217023 |
31 | 0.25594133700818 | 0.51188267401636 | 0.74405866299182 |
32 | 0.291207127207087 | 0.582414254414174 | 0.708792872792913 |
33 | 0.362448249486625 | 0.724896498973249 | 0.637551750513375 |
34 | 0.329812170711065 | 0.659624341422129 | 0.670187829288935 |
35 | 0.270959227037289 | 0.541918454074578 | 0.72904077296271 |
36 | 0.217820542533172 | 0.435641085066343 | 0.782179457466828 |
37 | 0.181788400707917 | 0.363576801415834 | 0.818211599292083 |
38 | 0.181403840673714 | 0.362807681347428 | 0.818596159326286 |
39 | 0.314858582179221 | 0.629717164358442 | 0.685141417820779 |
40 | 0.25978192300615 | 0.5195638460123 | 0.74021807699385 |
41 | 0.198649437717946 | 0.397298875435892 | 0.801350562282054 |
42 | 0.37712789222006 | 0.75425578444012 | 0.62287210777994 |
43 | 0.301635478000294 | 0.603270956000588 | 0.698364521999706 |
44 | 0.283881902926098 | 0.567763805852196 | 0.716118097073902 |
45 | 0.271709530716649 | 0.543419061433298 | 0.728290469283351 |
46 | 0.202771298428498 | 0.405542596856996 | 0.797228701571502 |
47 | 0.672830610803683 | 0.654338778392634 | 0.327169389196317 |
48 | 0.597592237504583 | 0.804815524990834 | 0.402407762495417 |
49 | 0.498118233000414 | 0.996236466000828 | 0.501881766999586 |
50 | 0.556020206631101 | 0.887959586737798 | 0.443979793368899 |
51 | 0.512349510089089 | 0.975300979821822 | 0.487650489910911 |
52 | 0.409181469314624 | 0.818362938629248 | 0.590818530685376 |
53 | 0.400839502839722 | 0.801679005679445 | 0.599160497160278 |
54 | 0.444998155883224 | 0.889996311766447 | 0.555001844116776 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
10% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |