Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9.963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10.158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9.225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10.474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9.757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10.281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10.444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10.695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10.786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9.832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9.747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10.411	10.3477	9.7878	10.9717	0.4212	0.9704	0.7243	0.9704
86	9.511	9.4255	8.9492	9.9525	0.3752	1e-04	0.7721	0.1159
87	10.402	10.5541	9.9601	11.2193	0.327	0.9989	0.5933	0.9913
88	9.701	9.9456	9.4078	10.5449	0.2119	0.0678	0.7313	0.742
89	10.54	10.4985	9.898	11.1721	0.4519	0.9898	0.5098	0.9856
90	10.112	10.2777	9.6949	10.9309	0.3095	0.2157	0.4961	0.9444
91	10.915	10.6647	10.0349	11.3741	0.2446	0.9366	0.729	0.9944
92	11.183	10.7329	10.0901	11.4582	0.1119	0.3113	0.5991	0.9961
93	10.384	10.5771	9.9463	11.2886	0.2973	0.0476	0.3727	0.9889
94	10.834	10.71	10.0593	11.4456	0.3706	0.8075	0.4198	0.9949
95	9.886	9.8317	9.272	10.4592	0.4326	9e-04	0.4996	0.6043
96	10.216	9.9739	9.3951	10.6246	0.2329	0.6045	0.7529	0.7529

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0308	0.0061	0	0.004	0	0
86	0.0285	0.0091	0.0076	0.0073	0.0057	0.0752
87	0.0322	-0.0144	0.0099	0.0231	0.0115	0.1072
88	0.0307	-0.0246	0.0135	0.0598	0.0236	0.1535
89	0.0327	0.004	0.0116	0.0017	0.0192	0.1386
90	0.0324	-0.0161	0.0124	0.0275	0.0206	0.1435
91	0.0339	0.0235	0.014	0.0627	0.0266	0.1631
92	0.0345	0.0419	0.0175	0.2026	0.0486	0.2204
93	0.0343	-0.0183	0.0175	0.0373	0.0473	0.2176
94	0.035	0.0116	0.017	0.0154	0.0441	0.2101
95	0.0326	0.0055	0.0159	0.003	0.0404	0.201
96	0.0333	0.0243	0.0166	0.0586	0.0419	0.2047