| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6038 | 0.3066 | -0.0351 | -0.7024 | -0.679 |
| (p-val) | (0.0022 ) | (0.0037 ) | (0.7732 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5646 | 0.2949 | 0 | -0.6692 | -0.6803 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.0022 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -379.757988900563 |
| 1241.0354595946 |
| 2241.50124874447 |
| 1207.12750954307 |
| 821.501947904502 |
| 362.067376367431 |
| -1688.1640021554 |
| -1028.57589657243 |
| 7967.08506436016 |
| 2774.83637679673 |
| -2148.36485860075 |
| 422.610713627592 |
| -987.7104818259 |
| 308.268874772065 |
| 957.949704601282 |
| -1969.86981160254 |
| -794.546789404751 |
| 511.65981359214 |
| 1652.61234073001 |
| -1875.30105033668 |
| -1565.59554750845 |
| 1382.16124174848 |
| 5037.60832003173 |
| -906.916748461226 |
| -557.880261121985 |
| 361.074686033048 |
| 309.649666259166 |
| 1237.38339065811 |
| -101.991599877773 |
| 1066.6345788555 |
| 68.1121571259719 |
| -739.230384624971 |
| -1205.54101814999 |
| 30.0180481219233 |
| -1463.01192130587 |
| 1097.11339666832 |
| 667.193679796504 |
| 599.658115605079 |
| 945.585919428443 |
| -876.455305095726 |
| -120.755823396225 |
| 437.029604429193 |
| -1277.08881883574 |
| 4751.41226144998 |
| 143.284325409644 |
| 5825.73057197777 |
| -1583.8815621231 |
| -1038.18653134978 |
| -2935.75719297185 |
| -1462.83102319817 |
| 204.232148201908 |
| -150.806436534166 |
| -352.977466818907 |
| -454.094653552572 |
| -1611.43709678373 |
| -3102.86333173426 |
| 1004.85539502573 |
| -698.096928743572 |
| -927.942907158746 |
| 493.047091189936 |
| -4623.11281574118 |
| 1495.64682996392 |
| 483.924489353112 |
| 3050.54846304544 |
| 1105.24106895635 |
| -947.489595329479 |
| -4458.20885510661 |
| -6384.17924652785 |
| 6127.26955120536 |
| -5556.44485157359 |
| -1794.46900460235 |
| -1383.99058102624 |
| 2172.87781107783 |
| -1289.20319728664 |
| -727.098776810152 |
| -538.000773933657 |
| -144.424999054607 |
| 21.3295634071992 |
| 2472.18501771356 |
| -2323.52721310319 |
| -407.789944477305 |
| 1362.16334205956 |
| 1497.47714471805 |
| 1389.98545003513 |
| 718.119845368922 |
| -299.207845468879 |
| 422.980376317561 |
| 1641.88120590551 |
| -2235.0023733686 |
| 1528.87807706302 |
| -386.388020062517 |
| -2876.61407157692 |
| 3090.12112195292 |
| 2843.53155052477 |
| 2079.87167310673 |
| 3041.80808791162 |
| 3822.68909275291 |
| 2069.43428355978 |
| 1752.19090198903 |
| -2053.05340358904 |
| -855.303041798431 |
| 1754.53646637946 |
| -2683.30488631671 |
| -2161.02560496658 |
| 926.539033709919 |
| -26.2386751852243 |
| 599.991690195714 |
| 4503.91906175728 |
| -3355.80016876026 |
| -1683.90834678012 |
| -1441.08906567313 |
| -750.598785852534 |
| -411.981077514924 |
| -852.682982007366 |
| 771.192757988392 |
| -1278.73106545025 |
| -2005.49138149402 |
| -2.36487528047451 |
| -746.523472664195 |
