Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	15572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	11509	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	25447	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	24090	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	27786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	26195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	20516	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	22759	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	19028	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	16971	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	20036	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	22485	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	18730	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	14538	12149.186	8023.1704	16275.2017	0.1282	9e-04	0.6195	9e-04
86	27561	30005.2718	25641.8913	34368.6523	0.1361	1	0.9797	1
87	25985	27547.8245	22810.461	32285.188	0.2589	0.4978	0.9237	0.9999
88	34670	31215.6873	26155.8406	36275.5341	0.0904	0.9786	0.908	1
89	32066	28046.0937	22679.5642	33412.6233	0.071	0.0078	0.7505	0.9997
90	27186	23744.0275	18087.955	29400.1	0.1165	0.002	0.8683	0.9589
91	29586	24974.019	19042.4392	30905.5988	0.0638	0.2324	0.7679	0.9805
92	21359	19433.7502	13238.9174	25628.5829	0.2712	7e-04	0.5511	0.5881
93	21553	17954.4109	11507.0556	24401.7661	0.137	0.1503	0.6175	0.4068
94	19573	20078.647	13388.3405	26768.9535	0.4411	0.3329	0.505	0.6536
95	24256	22741.7338	15816.7168	29666.7509	0.3341	0.8151	0.529	0.8719
96	22380	18212.6768	11062.505	25362.8486	0.1267	0.0488	0.4436	0.4436

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.1733	0.1966	0	5706432.2265	0	0
86	0.0742	-0.0815	0.139	5974464.6595	5840448.443	2416.702
87	0.0877	-0.0567	0.1116	2442420.4196	4707772.4352	2169.7402
88	0.0827	0.1107	0.1114	11932275.91	6513898.3039	2552.234
89	0.0976	0.1433	0.1178	16159646.2726	8443047.8976	2905.6923
90	0.1215	0.145	0.1223	11847174.662	9010402.3584	3001.7332
91	0.1212	0.1847	0.1312	21270369.0315	10761826.1688	3280.5222
92	0.1626	0.0991	0.1272	3706586.8827	9879921.258	3143.2342
93	0.1832	0.2004	0.1353	12949843.8547	10221023.7688	3197.0336
94	0.17	-0.0252	0.1243	255678.8886	9224489.2808	3037.1844
95	0.1554	0.0666	0.1191	2293001.983	8594354.0719	2931.6129
96	0.2003	0.2288	0.1282	17366582.9863	9325373.1481	3053.7474