Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
CM[t] = -2.63961096398292 + 0.772391502321592DA[t] + 0.419767875666413PC[t] + 0.558040238534683PS[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-2.639610963982922.498439-1.05650.2923820.146191
DA0.7723915023215920.1303735.924500
PC0.4197678756664130.1359813.0870.0023960.001198
PS0.5580402385346830.0862926.466900


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.62120705296726
R-squared0.385898202656269
Adjusted R-squared0.374012361417358
F-TEST (value)32.4670500723958
F-TEST (DF numerator)3
F-TEST (DF denominator)155
p-value2.22044604925031e-16
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation4.52785891001842
Sum Squared Residuals3177.73347790015


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
12426.6040503013487-2.60405030134868
22523.1658445302531.83415546974703
31722.0940882113184-5.09408821131842
41820.5899946013665-2.58999460136646
51819.5943171833506-1.59431718335056
61620.2995644366609-4.29956443666092
72020.7143815252657-0.714381525265727
81623.3090676801828-7.30906768018284
91822.1437122579171-4.14371225791705
101720.5139157004478-3.51391570044783
112323.0414576063537-0.0414576063537089
123021.42953035269938.5704696473007
132316.10780338927426.89219661072581
141818.9158738857624-0.915873885762416
151522.0497640531836-7.0497640531836
161217.1961129884055-5.19611298840554
172120.36670868567220.63329131432785
181514.71022739940670.289772600593319
192018.75478143201771.24521856798227
203125.62624218714765.37375781285238
212725.55909793813641.44090206186361
223426.05494471472147.94505528527856
232120.37165947273380.628340527266247
243121.5767373674759.42326263252503
251920.3756433375796-1.37564333757956
261620.1523574218852-4.15235742188524
272020.781525774277-0.781525774276961
282118.69258797006812.3074120299319
292221.48278916274150.517210837258484
301719.1074050586729-2.10740505867291
312421.55391727659862.44608272340145
322530.9439852857269-5.94398528572692
332624.13870185739251.86129814260754
342524.33518381736460.664816182635437
351722.0408294012762-5.0408294012762
363228.42042724466683.57957275533316
373324.00042949452428.9995705054758
381321.3041765065842-8.30417650658423
393227.29142825084434.70857174915574
402525.7506291110469-0.750629111046883
412926.88059502708532.11940497291474
422222.0408294012762-0.0408294012761991
431816.25501040404991.74498959595014
441720.3617578986105-3.36175789861055
452022.9514932664661-2.95149326646606
461521.1480348399012-6.14803483990115
472022.4162731188078-2.41627311880779
483328.54976495562774.4502350443723
492922.39345302793146.60654697206862
502325.0632511615513-2.06325116155133
512624.23265006212591.76734993787409
521819.3889005714711-1.38890057147105
532019.6032518352580.396748164742037
541112.0444131306325-1.04441313063253
552828.6760857239586-0.676085723958564
562624.15258729636151.84741270363853
572222.9514932664661-0.951493266466062
581719.4510940334207-2.45109403342068
591216.7230863026969-4.7230863026969
601420.1169679156578-6.11696791565783
611721.4827891627415-4.48278916274152
622120.99587703806390.00412296193613052
631922.9604279183735-3.96042791837347
641824.5723551720279-6.57235517202789
651017.785907969724-7.78590796972404
662925.25478233446183.74521766553817
673119.174549307684111.8254506923159
681922.7371420026792-3.73714200267915
69920.5228503523552-11.5228503523552
702023.165844530253-3.16584453025297
712817.638700954948410.3612990450516
721918.96913269580460.0308673041953589
733023.15690987834566.84309012165443
742926.39863368946922.60136631053079
752620.7815257742775.21847422572304
762319.6032518352583.39674816474204
771322.4113223317462-9.4113223317462
782122.6838831926369-1.68388319263693
791922.8221555555052-3.8221555555052
802822.32630877892015.67369122107986
812326.3225547885506-3.32255478855057
821814.83956511036753.16043488963246
832120.58999460136650.410005398633535
842021.688205774621-1.68820577462102
852320.87547397901042.12452602098959
862119.95587546191311.04412453808686
872121.6921896394668-0.692189639466823
881524.3669385601484-9.36693856014838
892827.57292376364240.427076236357593
901917.50936324398751.4906367560125
912621.01869712894034.98130287105972
921014.3437183337825-4.34371833378249
931617.4422189949763-1.44221899497627
942219.87979656099452.1202034390055
951920.2284363228039-1.22843632280388
963127.97880620033983.02119379966019
973125.21540896338865.78459103661139
982924.15753808342314.84246191657693
991917.29501198020061.70498801979941
1002218.48717135818863.5128286418114
1012322.11690830219480.883091697805162
1021515.8885013384257-0.888501338425677
1032019.67039608426920.329603915730803
1041819.4560448204823-1.45604482048229
1052323.5323535958772-0.532353595877158
1062519.7593935019415.24060649805895
1072116.5226204778794.477379522121
1082419.11235584573454.88764415426549
1092525.0682019486129-0.0682019486129373
1101719.0630809005381-2.06308090053809
1111314.2904595237403-1.29045952374027
1122818.62145985621119.37854014378894
1132121.5499334117528-0.54993341175275
1142526.9159845333127-1.91598453331267
115922.795351599783-13.795351599783
1161617.3572054421502-1.35720544215022
1171919.303887018645-0.303887018645008
1181719.5361075862467-2.53610758624673
1192524.22866619728010.771333802719888
1202014.79029016517115.20970983482888
1212922.0448132661226.955186733878
1221418.2817547463091-4.28175474630909
1232226.742322664217-4.74232266421699
1241517.218933079282-2.21893307928195
1251926.3493587442728-7.34935874427279
1262020.9336835761142-0.933683576114239
1271517.4954778050185-2.49547780501849
1282022.6078042917183-2.60780429171829
1291820.5810599494591-2.58105994945906
1303326.04105927575246.95894072424757
1312223.8671079187175-1.86710791871753
1321616.5986993787976-0.59869937879764
1331719.2456774215412-2.24567742154118
1341615.26331685087980.736683149120239
1352117.37109088111923.62890911888077
1362626.1082035247637-0.108203524763664
1371820.5228503523552-2.52285035235523
1381822.1258429541022-4.12584295410224
1391719.0362769448159-2.03627694481587
1402225.1353461976242-3.13534619762417
1413024.78670643581485.2132935641852
1423027.00993273804612.99006726195388
1432428.288072591076-4.28807259107597
1442122.7639459584014-1.76394595840137
1452124.853850684826-3.85385068482603
1462927.30434676759751.69565323240253
1473122.04082940127628.9591705987238
1482018.96913269580461.03086730419536
1491613.6702258232562.32977417674405
1502218.89800458194763.1019954180524
1512021.0540866351677-1.0540866351677
1522826.46976180332631.53023819667375
1533824.978237608725313.0217623912747
1542217.43328434306894.56671565693114
1552024.7066436700504-4.70664367005035
1561717.4332843430689-0.433284343068862
1572824.92497879868313.07502120131693
1582223.8760425706249-1.87604257062493
1593125.92162313891485.07837686108523


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
70.2494454926883990.4988909853767970.750554507311601
80.2489135378199180.4978270756398360.751086462180082
90.1955654580817610.3911309161635220.80443454191824
100.1137537322191480.2275074644382970.886246267780852
110.1185198660072890.2370397320145790.88148013399271
120.5786517028245710.8426965943508580.421348297175429
130.5328396152491570.9343207695016860.467160384750843
140.4602275087526180.9204550175052360.539772491247382
150.4711191692527940.9422383385055880.528880830747206
160.4099401107668880.8198802215337760.590059889233112
170.3360909365220850.672181873044170.663909063477915
180.2982215458058880.5964430916117760.701778454194112
190.2548809413165530.5097618826331070.745119058683447
200.3661822394313120.7323644788626230.633817760568688
210.3341717345970870.6683434691941750.665828265402913
220.4523744925729730.9047489851459470.547625507427027
230.3935067024532090.7870134049064180.606493297546791
240.5680746414365030.8638507171269930.431925358563497
250.5079188808386880.9841622383226230.492081119161312
260.4694073277000540.9388146554001080.530592672299946
270.4193917822947580.8387835645895160.580608217705242
280.3706988198909910.7413976397819830.629301180109008
290.3221864167330260.6443728334660510.677813583266974
300.2704954167668110.5409908335336230.729504583233189
310.2726512164782150.545302432956430.727348783521785
320.3171818138437370.6343636276874740.682818186156263
330.3162050831692980.6324101663385960.683794916830702
340.3122984603020820.6245969206041650.687701539697918
350.3004602815158260.6009205630316520.699539718484174
360.280113328678690.560226657357380.71988667132131
370.4607407350064780.9214814700129570.539259264993522
380.6799637178745540.6400725642508920.320036282125446
390.6811926261820620.6376147476358750.318807373817938
400.632580956578670.7348380868426590.367419043421329
410.588149836935560.823700326128880.41185016306444
420.5357950383035610.9284099233928780.464204961696439
430.491160897503270.982321795006540.50883910249673
440.4596476755181130.9192953510362270.540352324481887
450.425933434943740.851866869887480.57406656505626
460.4693597098500480.9387194197000960.530640290149952
470.4369731243559420.8739462487118840.563026875644058
480.4304584855447680.8609169710895360.569541514455232
490.4918327431349360.9836654862698720.508167256865064
500.4548157773659180.9096315547318360.545184222634082
510.4110626162914250.822125232582850.588937383708575
520.3657574864114240.7315149728228480.634242513588576
530.3211046548087230.6422093096174450.678895345191277
540.2806188429710230.5612376859420450.719381157028977
550.24145339335190.4829067867038010.7585466066481
560.209636175609060.419272351218120.79036382439094
570.1770783607629390.3541567215258780.822921639237061
580.1531871776433390.3063743552866790.84681282235666
590.1489917355438920.2979834710877850.851008264456108
600.1758750192959150.3517500385918290.824124980704085
610.1722898908404930.3445797816809870.827710109159506
620.1437750967318640.2875501934637270.856224903268136
630.1372990084284320.2745980168568650.862700991571568
640.1707792492894870.3415584985789740.829220750710513
650.2244700097132550.4489400194265090.775529990286745
660.2130908913705440.4261817827410870.786909108629457
670.4795843409340180.9591686818680350.520415659065982
680.4637214584483220.9274429168966440.536278541551678
690.6941741431305420.6116517137389160.305825856869458
700.6728774616437770.6542450767124450.327122538356223
710.8325238678218630.3349522643562730.167476132178137
720.8026104851504960.3947790296990080.197389514849504
730.8385701780436540.3228596439126920.161429821956346
740.8185345431454510.3629309137090970.181465456854549
750.8281822046318370.3436355907363250.171817795368163
760.8157433900440650.368513219911870.184256609955935
770.8994403851732650.2011192296534690.100559614826735
780.88085212605680.2382957478864010.1191478739432
790.8747228972772730.2505542054454540.125277102722727
800.8871843605903130.2256312788193740.112815639409687
810.8772558731566580.2454882536866840.122744126843342
820.8655806169531660.2688387660936690.134419383046834
830.8397011785584650.320597642883070.160298821441535
840.8144036875489520.3711926249020960.185596312451048
850.7906821538852530.4186356922294940.209317846114747
860.7579360684129360.4841278631741280.242063931587064
870.7217766089546890.5564467820906220.278223391045311
880.8415317302199130.3169365395601740.158468269780087
890.8121426079553770.3757147840892450.187857392044623
900.7829485483633370.4341029032733250.217051451636663
910.7878238915033640.4243522169932720.212176108496636
920.7863313514237520.4273372971524970.213668648576248
930.7585950782687570.4828098434624870.241404921731243
940.7272363735124610.5455272529750780.272763626487539
950.6897526999278620.6204946001442760.310247300072138
960.6687559772067090.6624880455865820.331244022793291
970.690049515868690.6199009682626210.309950484131311
980.6982479932412490.6035040135175020.301752006758751
990.660270546761350.6794589064773010.339729453238651
1000.6397674662367460.7204650675265070.360232533763254
1010.5956903907112350.808619218577530.404309609288765
1020.5524341049406030.8951317901187940.447565895059397
1030.504323617412250.99135276517550.49567638258775
1040.4604672095538480.9209344191076970.539532790446152
1050.4129681422015290.8259362844030590.587031857798471
1060.4179021294870510.8358042589741020.582097870512949
1070.4107272138138590.8214544276277170.589272786186141
1080.4194267057369740.8388534114739480.580573294263026
1090.3715885978371570.7431771956743140.628411402162843
1100.3387994336304770.6775988672609540.661200566369523
1110.2988847292036040.5977694584072090.701115270796396
1120.4840179021038630.9680358042077270.515982097896137
1130.4355008625674740.8710017251349480.564499137432526
1140.3904632610713460.7809265221426920.609536738928654
1150.7989048450159630.4021903099680740.201095154984037
1160.7707105779949180.4585788440101630.229289422005082
1170.7360442484636250.527911503072750.263955751536375
1180.7114282057013280.5771435885973430.288571794298672
1190.6645508851428050.670898229714390.335449114857195
1200.7024950866813280.5950098266373440.297504913318672
1210.7283843889617170.5432312220765670.271615611038283
1220.7139724933121340.5720550133757310.286027506687866
1230.7269951946256410.5460096107487180.273004805374359
1240.6984703719572450.6030592560855090.301529628042755
1250.7706828945077680.4586342109844650.229317105492232
1260.7283638046610940.5432723906778130.271636195338906
1270.7184880913902320.5630238172195370.281511908609768
1280.7059462305679850.588107538864030.294053769432015
1290.6799683983628550.640063203274290.320031601637145
1300.7107144728881550.578571054223690.289285527111845
1310.6723871486036610.6552257027926780.327612851396339
1320.6140126534801070.7719746930397870.385987346519893
1330.614038638855040.7719227222899190.38596136114496
1340.5571466467388970.8857067065222060.442853353261103
1350.522888232299670.954223535400660.47711176770033
1360.4609865068410440.9219730136820870.539013493158956
1370.4381027647732490.8762055295464980.561897235226751
1380.4606017152199030.9212034304398070.539398284780097
1390.4366347877867420.8732695755734840.563365212213258
1400.4024887820632430.8049775641264860.597511217936757
1410.3785809301951940.7571618603903870.621419069804806
1420.3086414042104430.6172828084208860.691358595789557
1430.267056737105740.5341134742114790.73294326289426
1440.2443597391242370.4887194782484740.755640260875763
1450.2716270885039090.5432541770078190.728372911496091
1460.2235954223814960.4471908447629930.776404577618504
1470.3029082348730740.6058164697461490.697091765126925
1480.2240380109713990.4480760219427980.7759619890286
1490.1606611315191450.3213222630382890.839338868480855
1500.1228244569557060.2456489139114120.877175543044294
1510.07650794476830910.1530158895366180.92349205523169
1520.06427578522215680.1285515704443140.935724214777843


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK