Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
CM[t] = -2.63961096398292 + 0.772391502321592DA[t] + 0.419767875666413PC[t] + 0.558040238534683PS[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -2.63961096398292 | 2.498439 | -1.0565 | 0.292382 | 0.146191 |
DA | 0.772391502321592 | 0.130373 | 5.9245 | 0 | 0 |
PC | 0.419767875666413 | 0.135981 | 3.087 | 0.002396 | 0.001198 |
PS | 0.558040238534683 | 0.086292 | 6.4669 | 0 | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.62120705296726 |
R-squared | 0.385898202656269 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.374012361417358 |
F-TEST (value) | 32.4670500723958 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 3 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 155 |
p-value | 2.22044604925031e-16 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 4.52785891001842 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 3177.73347790015 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 24 | 26.6040503013487 | -2.60405030134868 |
2 | 25 | 23.165844530253 | 1.83415546974703 |
3 | 17 | 22.0940882113184 | -5.09408821131842 |
4 | 18 | 20.5899946013665 | -2.58999460136646 |
5 | 18 | 19.5943171833506 | -1.59431718335056 |
6 | 16 | 20.2995644366609 | -4.29956443666092 |
7 | 20 | 20.7143815252657 | -0.714381525265727 |
8 | 16 | 23.3090676801828 | -7.30906768018284 |
9 | 18 | 22.1437122579171 | -4.14371225791705 |
10 | 17 | 20.5139157004478 | -3.51391570044783 |
11 | 23 | 23.0414576063537 | -0.0414576063537089 |
12 | 30 | 21.4295303526993 | 8.5704696473007 |
13 | 23 | 16.1078033892742 | 6.89219661072581 |
14 | 18 | 18.9158738857624 | -0.915873885762416 |
15 | 15 | 22.0497640531836 | -7.0497640531836 |
16 | 12 | 17.1961129884055 | -5.19611298840554 |
17 | 21 | 20.3667086856722 | 0.63329131432785 |
18 | 15 | 14.7102273994067 | 0.289772600593319 |
19 | 20 | 18.7547814320177 | 1.24521856798227 |
20 | 31 | 25.6262421871476 | 5.37375781285238 |
21 | 27 | 25.5590979381364 | 1.44090206186361 |
22 | 34 | 26.0549447147214 | 7.94505528527856 |
23 | 21 | 20.3716594727338 | 0.628340527266247 |
24 | 31 | 21.576737367475 | 9.42326263252503 |
25 | 19 | 20.3756433375796 | -1.37564333757956 |
26 | 16 | 20.1523574218852 | -4.15235742188524 |
27 | 20 | 20.781525774277 | -0.781525774276961 |
28 | 21 | 18.6925879700681 | 2.3074120299319 |
29 | 22 | 21.4827891627415 | 0.517210837258484 |
30 | 17 | 19.1074050586729 | -2.10740505867291 |
31 | 24 | 21.5539172765986 | 2.44608272340145 |
32 | 25 | 30.9439852857269 | -5.94398528572692 |
33 | 26 | 24.1387018573925 | 1.86129814260754 |
34 | 25 | 24.3351838173646 | 0.664816182635437 |
35 | 17 | 22.0408294012762 | -5.0408294012762 |
36 | 32 | 28.4204272446668 | 3.57957275533316 |
37 | 33 | 24.0004294945242 | 8.9995705054758 |
38 | 13 | 21.3041765065842 | -8.30417650658423 |
39 | 32 | 27.2914282508443 | 4.70857174915574 |
40 | 25 | 25.7506291110469 | -0.750629111046883 |
41 | 29 | 26.8805950270853 | 2.11940497291474 |
42 | 22 | 22.0408294012762 | -0.0408294012761991 |
43 | 18 | 16.2550104040499 | 1.74498959595014 |
44 | 17 | 20.3617578986105 | -3.36175789861055 |
45 | 20 | 22.9514932664661 | -2.95149326646606 |
46 | 15 | 21.1480348399012 | -6.14803483990115 |
47 | 20 | 22.4162731188078 | -2.41627311880779 |
48 | 33 | 28.5497649556277 | 4.4502350443723 |
49 | 29 | 22.3934530279314 | 6.60654697206862 |
50 | 23 | 25.0632511615513 | -2.06325116155133 |
51 | 26 | 24.2326500621259 | 1.76734993787409 |
52 | 18 | 19.3889005714711 | -1.38890057147105 |
53 | 20 | 19.603251835258 | 0.396748164742037 |
54 | 11 | 12.0444131306325 | -1.04441313063253 |
55 | 28 | 28.6760857239586 | -0.676085723958564 |
56 | 26 | 24.1525872963615 | 1.84741270363853 |
57 | 22 | 22.9514932664661 | -0.951493266466062 |
58 | 17 | 19.4510940334207 | -2.45109403342068 |
59 | 12 | 16.7230863026969 | -4.7230863026969 |
60 | 14 | 20.1169679156578 | -6.11696791565783 |
61 | 17 | 21.4827891627415 | -4.48278916274152 |
62 | 21 | 20.9958770380639 | 0.00412296193613052 |
63 | 19 | 22.9604279183735 | -3.96042791837347 |
64 | 18 | 24.5723551720279 | -6.57235517202789 |
65 | 10 | 17.785907969724 | -7.78590796972404 |
66 | 29 | 25.2547823344618 | 3.74521766553817 |
67 | 31 | 19.1745493076841 | 11.8254506923159 |
68 | 19 | 22.7371420026792 | -3.73714200267915 |
69 | 9 | 20.5228503523552 | -11.5228503523552 |
70 | 20 | 23.165844530253 | -3.16584453025297 |
71 | 28 | 17.6387009549484 | 10.3612990450516 |
72 | 19 | 18.9691326958046 | 0.0308673041953589 |
73 | 30 | 23.1569098783456 | 6.84309012165443 |
74 | 29 | 26.3986336894692 | 2.60136631053079 |
75 | 26 | 20.781525774277 | 5.21847422572304 |
76 | 23 | 19.603251835258 | 3.39674816474204 |
77 | 13 | 22.4113223317462 | -9.4113223317462 |
78 | 21 | 22.6838831926369 | -1.68388319263693 |
79 | 19 | 22.8221555555052 | -3.8221555555052 |
80 | 28 | 22.3263087789201 | 5.67369122107986 |
81 | 23 | 26.3225547885506 | -3.32255478855057 |
82 | 18 | 14.8395651103675 | 3.16043488963246 |
83 | 21 | 20.5899946013665 | 0.410005398633535 |
84 | 20 | 21.688205774621 | -1.68820577462102 |
85 | 23 | 20.8754739790104 | 2.12452602098959 |
86 | 21 | 19.9558754619131 | 1.04412453808686 |
87 | 21 | 21.6921896394668 | -0.692189639466823 |
88 | 15 | 24.3669385601484 | -9.36693856014838 |
89 | 28 | 27.5729237636424 | 0.427076236357593 |
90 | 19 | 17.5093632439875 | 1.4906367560125 |
91 | 26 | 21.0186971289403 | 4.98130287105972 |
92 | 10 | 14.3437183337825 | -4.34371833378249 |
93 | 16 | 17.4422189949763 | -1.44221899497627 |
94 | 22 | 19.8797965609945 | 2.1202034390055 |
95 | 19 | 20.2284363228039 | -1.22843632280388 |
96 | 31 | 27.9788062003398 | 3.02119379966019 |
97 | 31 | 25.2154089633886 | 5.78459103661139 |
98 | 29 | 24.1575380834231 | 4.84246191657693 |
99 | 19 | 17.2950119802006 | 1.70498801979941 |
100 | 22 | 18.4871713581886 | 3.5128286418114 |
101 | 23 | 22.1169083021948 | 0.883091697805162 |
102 | 15 | 15.8885013384257 | -0.888501338425677 |
103 | 20 | 19.6703960842692 | 0.329603915730803 |
104 | 18 | 19.4560448204823 | -1.45604482048229 |
105 | 23 | 23.5323535958772 | -0.532353595877158 |
106 | 25 | 19.759393501941 | 5.24060649805895 |
107 | 21 | 16.522620477879 | 4.477379522121 |
108 | 24 | 19.1123558457345 | 4.88764415426549 |
109 | 25 | 25.0682019486129 | -0.0682019486129373 |
110 | 17 | 19.0630809005381 | -2.06308090053809 |
111 | 13 | 14.2904595237403 | -1.29045952374027 |
112 | 28 | 18.6214598562111 | 9.37854014378894 |
113 | 21 | 21.5499334117528 | -0.54993341175275 |
114 | 25 | 26.9159845333127 | -1.91598453331267 |
115 | 9 | 22.795351599783 | -13.795351599783 |
116 | 16 | 17.3572054421502 | -1.35720544215022 |
117 | 19 | 19.303887018645 | -0.303887018645008 |
118 | 17 | 19.5361075862467 | -2.53610758624673 |
119 | 25 | 24.2286661972801 | 0.771333802719888 |
120 | 20 | 14.7902901651711 | 5.20970983482888 |
121 | 29 | 22.044813266122 | 6.955186733878 |
122 | 14 | 18.2817547463091 | -4.28175474630909 |
123 | 22 | 26.742322664217 | -4.74232266421699 |
124 | 15 | 17.218933079282 | -2.21893307928195 |
125 | 19 | 26.3493587442728 | -7.34935874427279 |
126 | 20 | 20.9336835761142 | -0.933683576114239 |
127 | 15 | 17.4954778050185 | -2.49547780501849 |
128 | 20 | 22.6078042917183 | -2.60780429171829 |
129 | 18 | 20.5810599494591 | -2.58105994945906 |
130 | 33 | 26.0410592757524 | 6.95894072424757 |
131 | 22 | 23.8671079187175 | -1.86710791871753 |
132 | 16 | 16.5986993787976 | -0.59869937879764 |
133 | 17 | 19.2456774215412 | -2.24567742154118 |
134 | 16 | 15.2633168508798 | 0.736683149120239 |
135 | 21 | 17.3710908811192 | 3.62890911888077 |
136 | 26 | 26.1082035247637 | -0.108203524763664 |
137 | 18 | 20.5228503523552 | -2.52285035235523 |
138 | 18 | 22.1258429541022 | -4.12584295410224 |
139 | 17 | 19.0362769448159 | -2.03627694481587 |
140 | 22 | 25.1353461976242 | -3.13534619762417 |
141 | 30 | 24.7867064358148 | 5.2132935641852 |
142 | 30 | 27.0099327380461 | 2.99006726195388 |
143 | 24 | 28.288072591076 | -4.28807259107597 |
144 | 21 | 22.7639459584014 | -1.76394595840137 |
145 | 21 | 24.853850684826 | -3.85385068482603 |
146 | 29 | 27.3043467675975 | 1.69565323240253 |
147 | 31 | 22.0408294012762 | 8.9591705987238 |
148 | 20 | 18.9691326958046 | 1.03086730419536 |
149 | 16 | 13.670225823256 | 2.32977417674405 |
150 | 22 | 18.8980045819476 | 3.1019954180524 |
151 | 20 | 21.0540866351677 | -1.0540866351677 |
152 | 28 | 26.4697618033263 | 1.53023819667375 |
153 | 38 | 24.9782376087253 | 13.0217623912747 |
154 | 22 | 17.4332843430689 | 4.56671565693114 |
155 | 20 | 24.7066436700504 | -4.70664367005035 |
156 | 17 | 17.4332843430689 | -0.433284343068862 |
157 | 28 | 24.9249787986831 | 3.07502120131693 |
158 | 22 | 23.8760425706249 | -1.87604257062493 |
159 | 31 | 25.9216231389148 | 5.07837686108523 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
7 | 0.249445492688399 | 0.498890985376797 | 0.750554507311601 |
8 | 0.248913537819918 | 0.497827075639836 | 0.751086462180082 |
9 | 0.195565458081761 | 0.391130916163522 | 0.80443454191824 |
10 | 0.113753732219148 | 0.227507464438297 | 0.886246267780852 |
11 | 0.118519866007289 | 0.237039732014579 | 0.88148013399271 |
12 | 0.578651702824571 | 0.842696594350858 | 0.421348297175429 |
13 | 0.532839615249157 | 0.934320769501686 | 0.467160384750843 |
14 | 0.460227508752618 | 0.920455017505236 | 0.539772491247382 |
15 | 0.471119169252794 | 0.942238338505588 | 0.528880830747206 |
16 | 0.409940110766888 | 0.819880221533776 | 0.590059889233112 |
17 | 0.336090936522085 | 0.67218187304417 | 0.663909063477915 |
18 | 0.298221545805888 | 0.596443091611776 | 0.701778454194112 |
19 | 0.254880941316553 | 0.509761882633107 | 0.745119058683447 |
20 | 0.366182239431312 | 0.732364478862623 | 0.633817760568688 |
21 | 0.334171734597087 | 0.668343469194175 | 0.665828265402913 |
22 | 0.452374492572973 | 0.904748985145947 | 0.547625507427027 |
23 | 0.393506702453209 | 0.787013404906418 | 0.606493297546791 |
24 | 0.568074641436503 | 0.863850717126993 | 0.431925358563497 |
25 | 0.507918880838688 | 0.984162238322623 | 0.492081119161312 |
26 | 0.469407327700054 | 0.938814655400108 | 0.530592672299946 |
27 | 0.419391782294758 | 0.838783564589516 | 0.580608217705242 |
28 | 0.370698819890991 | 0.741397639781983 | 0.629301180109008 |
29 | 0.322186416733026 | 0.644372833466051 | 0.677813583266974 |
30 | 0.270495416766811 | 0.540990833533623 | 0.729504583233189 |
31 | 0.272651216478215 | 0.54530243295643 | 0.727348783521785 |
32 | 0.317181813843737 | 0.634363627687474 | 0.682818186156263 |
33 | 0.316205083169298 | 0.632410166338596 | 0.683794916830702 |
34 | 0.312298460302082 | 0.624596920604165 | 0.687701539697918 |
35 | 0.300460281515826 | 0.600920563031652 | 0.699539718484174 |
36 | 0.28011332867869 | 0.56022665735738 | 0.71988667132131 |
37 | 0.460740735006478 | 0.921481470012957 | 0.539259264993522 |
38 | 0.679963717874554 | 0.640072564250892 | 0.320036282125446 |
39 | 0.681192626182062 | 0.637614747635875 | 0.318807373817938 |
40 | 0.63258095657867 | 0.734838086842659 | 0.367419043421329 |
41 | 0.58814983693556 | 0.82370032612888 | 0.41185016306444 |
42 | 0.535795038303561 | 0.928409923392878 | 0.464204961696439 |
43 | 0.49116089750327 | 0.98232179500654 | 0.50883910249673 |
44 | 0.459647675518113 | 0.919295351036227 | 0.540352324481887 |
45 | 0.42593343494374 | 0.85186686988748 | 0.57406656505626 |
46 | 0.469359709850048 | 0.938719419700096 | 0.530640290149952 |
47 | 0.436973124355942 | 0.873946248711884 | 0.563026875644058 |
48 | 0.430458485544768 | 0.860916971089536 | 0.569541514455232 |
49 | 0.491832743134936 | 0.983665486269872 | 0.508167256865064 |
50 | 0.454815777365918 | 0.909631554731836 | 0.545184222634082 |
51 | 0.411062616291425 | 0.82212523258285 | 0.588937383708575 |
52 | 0.365757486411424 | 0.731514972822848 | 0.634242513588576 |
53 | 0.321104654808723 | 0.642209309617445 | 0.678895345191277 |
54 | 0.280618842971023 | 0.561237685942045 | 0.719381157028977 |
55 | 0.2414533933519 | 0.482906786703801 | 0.7585466066481 |
56 | 0.20963617560906 | 0.41927235121812 | 0.79036382439094 |
57 | 0.177078360762939 | 0.354156721525878 | 0.822921639237061 |
58 | 0.153187177643339 | 0.306374355286679 | 0.84681282235666 |
59 | 0.148991735543892 | 0.297983471087785 | 0.851008264456108 |
60 | 0.175875019295915 | 0.351750038591829 | 0.824124980704085 |
61 | 0.172289890840493 | 0.344579781680987 | 0.827710109159506 |
62 | 0.143775096731864 | 0.287550193463727 | 0.856224903268136 |
63 | 0.137299008428432 | 0.274598016856865 | 0.862700991571568 |
64 | 0.170779249289487 | 0.341558498578974 | 0.829220750710513 |
65 | 0.224470009713255 | 0.448940019426509 | 0.775529990286745 |
66 | 0.213090891370544 | 0.426181782741087 | 0.786909108629457 |
67 | 0.479584340934018 | 0.959168681868035 | 0.520415659065982 |
68 | 0.463721458448322 | 0.927442916896644 | 0.536278541551678 |
69 | 0.694174143130542 | 0.611651713738916 | 0.305825856869458 |
70 | 0.672877461643777 | 0.654245076712445 | 0.327122538356223 |
71 | 0.832523867821863 | 0.334952264356273 | 0.167476132178137 |
72 | 0.802610485150496 | 0.394779029699008 | 0.197389514849504 |
73 | 0.838570178043654 | 0.322859643912692 | 0.161429821956346 |
74 | 0.818534543145451 | 0.362930913709097 | 0.181465456854549 |
75 | 0.828182204631837 | 0.343635590736325 | 0.171817795368163 |
76 | 0.815743390044065 | 0.36851321991187 | 0.184256609955935 |
77 | 0.899440385173265 | 0.201119229653469 | 0.100559614826735 |
78 | 0.8808521260568 | 0.238295747886401 | 0.1191478739432 |
79 | 0.874722897277273 | 0.250554205445454 | 0.125277102722727 |
80 | 0.887184360590313 | 0.225631278819374 | 0.112815639409687 |
81 | 0.877255873156658 | 0.245488253686684 | 0.122744126843342 |
82 | 0.865580616953166 | 0.268838766093669 | 0.134419383046834 |
83 | 0.839701178558465 | 0.32059764288307 | 0.160298821441535 |
84 | 0.814403687548952 | 0.371192624902096 | 0.185596312451048 |
85 | 0.790682153885253 | 0.418635692229494 | 0.209317846114747 |
86 | 0.757936068412936 | 0.484127863174128 | 0.242063931587064 |
87 | 0.721776608954689 | 0.556446782090622 | 0.278223391045311 |
88 | 0.841531730219913 | 0.316936539560174 | 0.158468269780087 |
89 | 0.812142607955377 | 0.375714784089245 | 0.187857392044623 |
90 | 0.782948548363337 | 0.434102903273325 | 0.217051451636663 |
91 | 0.787823891503364 | 0.424352216993272 | 0.212176108496636 |
92 | 0.786331351423752 | 0.427337297152497 | 0.213668648576248 |
93 | 0.758595078268757 | 0.482809843462487 | 0.241404921731243 |
94 | 0.727236373512461 | 0.545527252975078 | 0.272763626487539 |
95 | 0.689752699927862 | 0.620494600144276 | 0.310247300072138 |
96 | 0.668755977206709 | 0.662488045586582 | 0.331244022793291 |
97 | 0.69004951586869 | 0.619900968262621 | 0.309950484131311 |
98 | 0.698247993241249 | 0.603504013517502 | 0.301752006758751 |
99 | 0.66027054676135 | 0.679458906477301 | 0.339729453238651 |
100 | 0.639767466236746 | 0.720465067526507 | 0.360232533763254 |
101 | 0.595690390711235 | 0.80861921857753 | 0.404309609288765 |
102 | 0.552434104940603 | 0.895131790118794 | 0.447565895059397 |
103 | 0.50432361741225 | 0.9913527651755 | 0.49567638258775 |
104 | 0.460467209553848 | 0.920934419107697 | 0.539532790446152 |
105 | 0.412968142201529 | 0.825936284403059 | 0.587031857798471 |
106 | 0.417902129487051 | 0.835804258974102 | 0.582097870512949 |
107 | 0.410727213813859 | 0.821454427627717 | 0.589272786186141 |
108 | 0.419426705736974 | 0.838853411473948 | 0.580573294263026 |
109 | 0.371588597837157 | 0.743177195674314 | 0.628411402162843 |
110 | 0.338799433630477 | 0.677598867260954 | 0.661200566369523 |
111 | 0.298884729203604 | 0.597769458407209 | 0.701115270796396 |
112 | 0.484017902103863 | 0.968035804207727 | 0.515982097896137 |
113 | 0.435500862567474 | 0.871001725134948 | 0.564499137432526 |
114 | 0.390463261071346 | 0.780926522142692 | 0.609536738928654 |
115 | 0.798904845015963 | 0.402190309968074 | 0.201095154984037 |
116 | 0.770710577994918 | 0.458578844010163 | 0.229289422005082 |
117 | 0.736044248463625 | 0.52791150307275 | 0.263955751536375 |
118 | 0.711428205701328 | 0.577143588597343 | 0.288571794298672 |
119 | 0.664550885142805 | 0.67089822971439 | 0.335449114857195 |
120 | 0.702495086681328 | 0.595009826637344 | 0.297504913318672 |
121 | 0.728384388961717 | 0.543231222076567 | 0.271615611038283 |
122 | 0.713972493312134 | 0.572055013375731 | 0.286027506687866 |
123 | 0.726995194625641 | 0.546009610748718 | 0.273004805374359 |
124 | 0.698470371957245 | 0.603059256085509 | 0.301529628042755 |
125 | 0.770682894507768 | 0.458634210984465 | 0.229317105492232 |
126 | 0.728363804661094 | 0.543272390677813 | 0.271636195338906 |
127 | 0.718488091390232 | 0.563023817219537 | 0.281511908609768 |
128 | 0.705946230567985 | 0.58810753886403 | 0.294053769432015 |
129 | 0.679968398362855 | 0.64006320327429 | 0.320031601637145 |
130 | 0.710714472888155 | 0.57857105422369 | 0.289285527111845 |
131 | 0.672387148603661 | 0.655225702792678 | 0.327612851396339 |
132 | 0.614012653480107 | 0.771974693039787 | 0.385987346519893 |
133 | 0.61403863885504 | 0.771922722289919 | 0.38596136114496 |
134 | 0.557146646738897 | 0.885706706522206 | 0.442853353261103 |
135 | 0.52288823229967 | 0.95422353540066 | 0.47711176770033 |
136 | 0.460986506841044 | 0.921973013682087 | 0.539013493158956 |
137 | 0.438102764773249 | 0.876205529546498 | 0.561897235226751 |
138 | 0.460601715219903 | 0.921203430439807 | 0.539398284780097 |
139 | 0.436634787786742 | 0.873269575573484 | 0.563365212213258 |
140 | 0.402488782063243 | 0.804977564126486 | 0.597511217936757 |
141 | 0.378580930195194 | 0.757161860390387 | 0.621419069804806 |
142 | 0.308641404210443 | 0.617282808420886 | 0.691358595789557 |
143 | 0.26705673710574 | 0.534113474211479 | 0.73294326289426 |
144 | 0.244359739124237 | 0.488719478248474 | 0.755640260875763 |
145 | 0.271627088503909 | 0.543254177007819 | 0.728372911496091 |
146 | 0.223595422381496 | 0.447190844762993 | 0.776404577618504 |
147 | 0.302908234873074 | 0.605816469746149 | 0.697091765126925 |
148 | 0.224038010971399 | 0.448076021942798 | 0.7759619890286 |
149 | 0.160661131519145 | 0.321322263038289 | 0.839338868480855 |
150 | 0.122824456955706 | 0.245648913911412 | 0.877175543044294 |
151 | 0.0765079447683091 | 0.153015889536618 | 0.92349205523169 |
152 | 0.0642757852221568 | 0.128551570444314 | 0.935724214777843 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
10% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |