| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.1006 | -0.3088 | 0.2012 | -0.952 | -0.8866 | 0.0395 | 0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.019 ) | (0.0304 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.7337 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 1.1053 | -0.3164 | 0.2043 | -0.951 | -0.91 | 0 | 1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0149 ) | (0.0276 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.00902599448579783 |
| 0.688453209741927 |
| -0.385660397969857 |
| 0.0661490149302812 |
| 0.119012313616010 |
| -0.156636184562726 |
| -0.0590105423566699 |
| 0.0378475014186516 |
| 0.219329138140696 |
| -0.0308875254436401 |
| -0.168563146613261 |
| -0.271814370664036 |
| -0.66906441019123 |
| 0.0127062078345341 |
| 0.0420238247615285 |
| 0.0651085530991972 |
| 0.541037877939303 |
| 0.153665559948528 |
| -0.128874312670030 |
| -0.248287749574381 |
| 0.216938574910943 |
| -0.0606688718706194 |
| -0.0211661789349907 |
| -0.0571305961141148 |
| 0.293262233638868 |
| 0.581215040359274 |
| -0.229227060692983 |
| 0.265893533508593 |
| -0.09835794953942 |
| -0.218276887573211 |
| -0.667099961675624 |
| 0.0508904750895197 |
| 0.0951286287514966 |
| -0.13921517688811 |
| -0.0846788937227398 |
| 0.237222193605604 |
| 0.165165125102138 |
| -0.156997307824333 |
| -0.496184443396804 |
| -0.433019392606496 |
| 0.131934994802289 |
| -0.150591941545796 |
| 0.194522583191453 |
| 0.403540025459145 |
| 0.415265756349534 |
| -0.411088757104786 |
| 0.424267512435541 |
| -0.214047691028279 |
| -0.0332128674426201 |
| -0.242515690635102 |
| 0.35513136540499 |
| 0.162936022263887 |
| -0.580112533724186 |
| 0.184891834104866 |
| -0.124557036644563 |
| 0.120983530802885 |
| 0.0251488592577314 |
| 0.181883001319399 |
| 0.00192207953699692 |
| -0.222927097923823 |
| -0.212726933368569 |
| 0.00179932751878728 |
| 0.00554848579018879 |
| 0.0440776636466055 |
| 0.118045163140065 |
| 0.632547802492402 |
| -0.070803940699247 |
| 0.190610319208705 |
| 0.457171960468865 |
| 0.479603570057766 |
| 0.422985096098696 |
| 0.748735138816787 |
| 0.638798396364344 |
| 0.334271487502466 |
| -0.0937799362849097 |
| 1.04757365881862 |
| 0.66691850833488 |
| -2.04249150880464 |
| 1.11203610779487 |
| -0.887805884472364 |
| -0.69722167854865 |
| -0.299538469387922 |
| 0.394747309069347 |
| -0.638477565082033 |
| 0.256206764545878 |
| 0.485008816788336 |
| -0.587082222023823 |
| 0.207028322414442 |
| -0.486879072986870 |
| -0.0621247996971979 |
| -0.309268400541941 |
| 0.0484257471957649 |
| 0.70899000527037 |
| 0.438589398376702 |
| 0.612821298535121 |
| 0.0200070267413184 |
| 1.62961725148903 |
| 0.359303588104148 |
| 0.0384145784253318 |
| -1.53315803000933 |
| -0.120304235582198 |
| -0.58068307472806 |
| 0.66563741332793 |
| -1.37428457018248 |
| 0.46283369182505 |
| 0.710274683510443 |
| -0.706308946316057 |
| 0.555885948937486 |
| 0.700702232535756 |
| 2.46043342476560 |
| -1.025366776864 |
| -0.65025886516928 |
| -0.110182498844425 |
| -0.453832071557903 |
| -0.618433753087807 |
| 0.091556793820009 |
| 0.366984612340570 |
| 0.373702414193531 |
| 1.58171297054389 |
| 0.351888334813552 |
| 0.256074755866406 |
| 0.185203523252482 |
| 0.512728797926972 |
| 0.862525263012904 |
| 2.83804072663168 |
| 1.09531308577458 |
| -2.17759316582959 |
| 0.180995073827774 |
| 0.0996136712069086 |
| -0.745270103230642 |
| 0.800036447441044 |
