Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	27.951	27.951	0	0	0
2	29.781	29.682281109847	0.0948360585160012	0.0987188901529694	0.518364563652692
3	32.914	32.7685950363941	0.109952582939911	0.145404963605929	1.49315548015417
4	33.488	33.382266858252	0.111910552954803	0.105733141747964	0.251395246675409
5	35.652	35.508962651678	0.120063341195856	0.143037348322013	1.00552305294813
6	36.488	36.3642114737043	0.123031782141866	0.123788526295684	0.366907814039052
7	35.387	35.2867968412059	0.118204968070505	0.100203158794136	-0.599100089596232
8	35.676	35.5504028313556	0.118787256491037	0.125597168644418	0.0725639038726732
9	34.844	34.7410706469133	0.115085234399878	0.102929353086717	-0.46318410982435
10	32.447	32.3688836942632	0.10520358067585	0.0781163057367885	-1.24127990564956
11	31.068	30.9769908230682	0.09927932063533	0.0910091769318152	-0.74712427645299
12	29.01	28.9394979948531	0.090857085496405	0.0705020051469073	-1.06634555674936
13	29.812	30.2262412552208	0.0405278302552807	-0.414241255220835	0.718694520082875
14	30.951	30.9182908148114	0.0560284204303759	0.0327091851885818	0.277683164829393
15	32.974	32.8357809135129	0.0620252641005967	0.138219086487088	0.927961227345693
16	32.936	32.9164997454234	0.0620574460224428	0.0195002545766478	0.00931968735363885
17	34.012	33.9168251208452	0.0638411461068913	0.0951748791548492	0.467767371475215
18	32.946	32.9013885067358	0.0617680106362301	0.0446114932641551	-0.538066481662104
19	31.948	31.9282358708214	0.0597849004397678	0.0197641291786356	-0.515951786143689
20	30.599	30.5594756045106	0.0570531941824638	0.0395243954893861	-0.712189014564385
21	27.691	27.68590839872	0.0514606368346587	0.00509160128004148	-1.46103283830045
22	25.073	25.0836818184833	0.0463973732317297	-0.0106818184833299	-1.32297207574768
23	23.406	23.3614683258374	0.0428946106649028	0.0445316741626302	-0.88179380265044
24	22.248	22.251988051373	0.0411954024912845	-0.00398805137295444	-0.574327773773983
25	22.896	23.1202128919701	0.0254455071084178	-0.224212891970127	0.451693759319038
26	25.317	25.278940027268	0.057147863486214	0.0380599727320193	0.97164551336651
27	26.558	26.3997915434878	0.0602235143825032	0.158208456512214	0.529920853254009
28	26.471	26.4942170419496	0.0602620943279462	-0.0232170419495564	0.0170465742187046
29	27.543	27.4050668281532	0.0613461044952772	0.137933171846752	0.423927746788685
30	26.198	26.194513629949	0.0596688320864539	0.00348637005104242	-0.633906444947747
31	24.725	24.7336615781193	0.0576656174502978	-0.0086615781192883	-0.757817892548488
32	25.005	24.8952464199967	0.0578022405174061	0.109753580003271	0.0517926299403132
33	23.462	23.4544416228313	0.0558356284908029	0.00755837716875017	-0.746894287533493
34	20.78	20.8254384476662	0.0522786131586113	-0.0454384476662017	-1.3381196983024
35	19.815	19.7358661900443	0.0506394529927024	0.0791338099557167	-0.56917058946496
36	19.761	19.7570501231131	0.0506235928511755	0.0039498768869447	-0.0146735814276154
37	21.454	21.6891022959696	0.0282395335751107	-0.23510229596963	0.993203408723862
38	23.899	23.843338338754	0.0506743679610123	0.0556616612459906	0.99693885906984
39	24.939	24.7732740734182	0.0531522485625907	0.165725926581773	0.437761608624555
40	23.58	23.7114562520328	0.0521465695141701	-0.131456252032815	-0.555651384854303
41	24.562	24.3664949620859	0.0527347025308098	0.195505037914115	0.300437613106027
42	24.696	24.6470789061903	0.0529722061299865	0.0489210938097251	0.113543101621214
43	23.785	23.8575707948087	0.0520905480747668	-0.0725707948086722	-0.419829898870615
44	23.812	23.6839642716999	0.0518550514238167	0.128035728300071	-0.112470644577997
45	21.917	21.910214886053	0.0499523013951063	0.00678511394702009	-0.90974472862603
46	19.713	19.7907966165496	0.0476253728288559	-0.077796616549616	-1.08108458022788
47	19.282	19.1833406410902	0.046854303036211	0.0986593589097938	-0.32650092809884
48	18.788	18.8408619782455	0.0468552139724681	-0.0528619782454603	-0.1939219954033
49	21.453	21.5991636503791	0.0242209248123714	-0.146163650379066	1.40611857358187
50	24.482	24.3888578920464	0.0463344642493442	0.0931421079535775	1.31842027469617
51	27.474	27.1664273447731	0.0539632703964259	0.307572655226881	1.35897162614812
52	27.264	27.4464935979	0.0541498382622076	-0.182493597899998	0.112675309366731
53	27.349	27.1923434686388	0.0539023409279964	0.156656531361172	-0.153623517918958
54	30.632	30.3985078553994	0.056690757332931	0.23349214460057	1.5707344197462
55	29.429	29.5933220746862	0.0559177139468276	-0.164322074686194	-0.429463234798237
56	30.084	29.885197855552	0.0561286028410186	0.198802144447981	0.117575118197976
57	26.29	26.3719106180939	0.0529310805982058	-0.0819106180938777	-1.7786011389199
58	24.379	24.4705125070327	0.0510852708739122	-0.0915125070326936	-0.973871080469464
59	23.335	23.2127926591849	0.0497679399386729	0.122207340815055	-0.652278390104376
60	21.346	21.5455832473609	0.0503698813768597	-0.199583247360907	-0.855229828192912
61	21.106	21.5444711768993	0.0506893104016439	-0.4384711768993	-0.0264065547536465
62	24.514	24.4193591285901	0.0684916903407457	0.0946408714098603	1.3607917211556
63	28.353	27.8823714241617	0.0778667532750946	0.470628575838323	1.68802897542128
64	30.805	30.8191240414457	0.0802121627466569	-0.0141240414457008	1.42467142186608
65	31.348	31.339911928509	0.0805184710095138	0.00808807149104982	0.219527012160836
66	34.556	34.1381471492783	0.0826412546723227	0.417852850721718	1.35414341822993
67	33.855	34.0895728267751	0.0825358535931282	-0.234572826775071	-0.0653801379497324
68	34.787	34.4163465186249	0.082731622355919	0.370653481375113	0.121695121109218
69	32.529	32.6131529529242	0.0812052351878342	-0.0841529529242429	-0.93969732191401
70	29.998	30.1250095174228	0.0789659428722756	-0.127009517422761	-1.28031821482307
71	29.257	29.037099393196	0.0779526998209324	0.219900606803973	-0.581502740620568
72	28.155	28.349485873092	0.078394958084893	-0.19448587309201	-0.381377727137245
73	30.466	30.9667426518345	0.0662885994978607	-0.500742651834469	1.29269141245509
74	35.704	35.5665557049464	0.0894390053317469	0.137444295053597	2.20043530746425
75	39.327	38.8512083839585	0.098101199816456	0.475791616041495	1.58812501251722
76	39.351	39.3726007834208	0.0984613733985634	-0.0216007834207781	0.210938155779727
77	42.234	42.2065345432353	0.100179040282199	0.0274654567646527	1.3629840342087
78	43.63	43.1822795349986	0.100797809466341	0.447720465001424	0.436251043518297
79	43.722	43.9607476147082	0.101298305103429	-0.238747614708237	0.337648539526512
80	43.121	42.7543690727016	0.100329841514624	0.366630927298384	-0.651548915561373
81	37.985	38.1824455175572	0.096797162397065	-0.197445517557186	-2.327983679072
82	37.135	37.1768450891918	0.095888889804103	-0.0418450891917963	-0.549326214262921
83	34.646	34.4528119219027	0.0937862704321035	0.193188078097325	-1.40517726019916
84	33.026	33.3372136263358	0.0946579421822696	-0.311213626335754	-0.602571760195273
85	35.087	35.7688255882774	0.0859101999511022	-0.68182558827741	1.18370312442093
86	38.846	38.7388974336809	0.0980909884947427	0.107102566319119	1.40726556926566
87	42.013	41.4195972392707	0.104911691022747	0.593402760729337	1.28312046150423
88	43.908	43.956077437479	0.107091895120264	-0.0480774374790342	1.21170681378504
89	42.868	42.9849327101363	0.106458094773305	-0.116932710136253	-0.537240201026684
90	44.423	43.9814863775345	0.107036867467762	0.441513622465455	0.443481781781687
91	44.167	44.3725532900134	0.10723289809149	-0.205553290013397	0.141514399893063
92	43.636	43.1265454366718	0.106287928964334	0.5094545633282	-0.674236453892417
93	44.382	44.4553746312069	0.107170932694524	-0.0733746312069482	0.609132880796467
94	42.142	42.1731089867422	0.105290048520726	-0.0311089867422152	-1.19065738002841
95	43.452	43.0756493332483	0.105795448597636	0.376350666751687	0.397241840098123
96	36.912	37.6492801686604	0.11024165150891	-0.737280168660415	-2.75684534303407
97	42.413	42.9071660304828	0.0948976260799886	-0.494166030482826	2.5974510182777
98	45.344	45.2817643678203	0.102996161049937	0.062235632179731	1.11667087720184
99	44.873	44.5166241686691	0.100776980329637	0.356375831330919	-0.431183888515992
100	47.51	47.3387358209928	0.103352280400973	0.171264179007211	1.35607150987643
101	49.554	49.6253529676683	0.104589745144392	-0.0713529676682605	1.08782753901485
102	47.369	47.1439659946756	0.103022033928854	0.225034005324362	-1.28842211810628
103	45.998	46.1782949920723	0.102325386515533	-0.180294992072318	-0.532453728807364
104	48.14	47.620416553665	0.103220105085927	0.519583446334947	0.667527806965795
105	48.441	48.373430420001	0.103674853234862	0.067569579999054	0.323759240271622
106	44.928	45.2325615782222	0.101227260901004	-0.304561578222195	-1.61675388520215
107	40.454	40.0114636245423	0.0983924669917763	0.442536375457702	-2.65173095359341
108	38.661	39.6026547363296	0.0988202776637635	-0.941654736329599	-0.25279138949226
109	37.246	37.9778484695249	0.102952532251004	-0.731848469524935	-0.86725216118386
110	36.843	36.747907519259	0.098911349919139	0.095092480741027	-0.654819903327935
111	36.424	36.2338444465202	0.0974023940775287	0.190155553479785	-0.304383715163824
112	37.594	37.4893568446904	0.09855331808338	0.104643155309554	0.577077004618419
113	38.144	38.0581466552093	0.098816286854047	0.085853344790697	0.23429936587532
114	38.737	38.4396776035899	0.098977935974731	0.297322396410068	0.140856960817298
115	34.56	35.0551072477973	0.0968166721082219	-0.495107247797342	-1.73558239239217
116	36.08	35.5900151816737	0.0970992413197338	0.48998481832627	0.218268385291336
117	33.508	33.438399361223	0.0955615983272436	0.069600638776962	-1.12042062354352
118	35.462	35.3514469552597	0.0968745682160113	0.110553044740315	0.905646895073373
119	33.374	33.0799955217435	0.0958279099609008	0.294004478256498	-1.17988727367723
120	32.11	32.9531586295061	0.0960177339827477	-0.84315862950613	-0.110990305592535
121	35.533	35.9287525195475	0.0904264368125662	-0.395752519547451	1.44573950220552
122	35.532	35.4357404751158	0.0888970567963246	0.0962595248841726	-0.287280108026436
123	37.903	37.6586767372394	0.093936992613787	0.244323262760579	1.05954528704126
124	36.763	36.790520623728	0.0929404822125309	-0.0275206237279602	-0.479378506139735
125	40.399	40.1561955509529	0.0947764185989582	0.242804449047077	1.63067610487277
126	44.164	43.5089887060069	0.096552228270283	0.655011293993074	1.62323412905553
127	44.496	44.9893783158999	0.0973743951541975	-0.493378315899908	0.689452801972381
128	43.11	42.6751349623194	0.0958616434515005	0.434865037680559	-1.20152276271583
129	43.88	43.8455611493993	0.0965826336421074	0.0344388506006841	0.535402301943424
130	43.93	43.6898132956133	0.0964084907593665	0.240186704386738	-0.125734131948606
131	44.327	43.9867366754996	0.0964810711281457	0.340263324500412	0.099889741767247