Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[59])
47	8683	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7829	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	6712	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	7354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	8402	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	8377	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	9133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	8301	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	5932	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9080	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9459	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	9647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	8646	8620.9681	7321.5007	9920.4355	0.4849	0.0609	0.8839	0.0609
61	7503	8277.7892	6854.6351	9700.9434	0.143	0.306	0.9845	0.0297
62	10000	8917.4894	7344.8539	10490.1249	0.0886	0.961	0.9743	0.1816
63	10441	10331.4255	8576.3889	12086.462	0.4513	0.6444	0.9844	0.7777
64	6435	8984.6656	7112.3699	10856.9612	0.0038	0.0637	0.791	0.244
65	8102	9939.6014	7928.008	11951.1948	0.0367	0.9997	0.9361	0.6122
66	9983	10230.1235	8101.1619	12359.0851	0.41	0.975	0.8438	0.7043
67	8662	8775.4179	6532.0903	11018.7456	0.4605	0.1457	0.6607	0.2232
68	6575	7638.8389	5285.5502	9992.1275	0.1878	0.1971	0.9224	0.0472
69	9088	9451.4549	6995.8758	11907.0341	0.3859	0.9892	0.6166	0.438
70	9336	10631.9239	8075.076	13188.7718	0.1603	0.8817	0.8157	0.7749
71	9089	11313.5871	8661.4612	13965.713	0.0501	0.9281	0.891	0.891

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
60	0.0769	0.0029	0	626.5973	0	0
61	0.0877	-0.0936	0.0483	600298.3291	300462.4632	548.1446
62	0.09	0.1214	0.0726	1171829.2703	590918.0655	768.712
63	0.0867	0.0106	0.0571	12006.5771	446190.1934	667.9747
64	0.1063	-0.2838	0.1025	6500794.5635	1657111.0674	1287.2883
65	0.1033	-0.1849	0.1162	3376778.9312	1943722.3781	1394.1744
66	0.1062	-0.0242	0.103	61070.039	1674772.0439	1294.1298
67	0.1304	-0.0129	0.0918	12863.6253	1467033.4916	1211.2116
68	0.1572	-0.1393	0.0971	1131753.1399	1429780.1192	1195.7341
69	0.1326	-0.0385	0.0912	132099.4958	1300012.0568	1140.1807
70	0.1227	-0.1219	0.094	1679418.8396	1334503.5825	1155.2072
71	0.1196	-0.1966	0.1025	4948787.7595	1635693.9306	1278.9425