Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1311 | 0 | 132 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 27.951 | 27.4946532216489 | -3.27134477734183 | 31.6786915556929 | -0.456346778351111 |
2 | 29.781 | 28.6959423051780 | -1.02208218022269 | 31.8881398750447 | -1.08505769482197 |
3 | 32.914 | 32.7993235422317 | 0.931088263371945 | 32.0975881943964 | -0.114676457768322 |
4 | 33.488 | 33.3153544345412 | 1.37959852932444 | 32.2810470361343 | -0.172645565458772 |
5 | 35.652 | 36.2771139109043 | 2.56238021122342 | 32.4645058778723 | 0.625113910904297 |
6 | 36.488 | 36.9511995654082 | 3.40036639354699 | 32.6244340410449 | 0.463199565408161 |
7 | 35.387 | 35.7459215677261 | 2.24371622805647 | 32.7843622042174 | 0.358921567726107 |
8 | 35.676 | 36.1086523899609 | 2.31616278254882 | 32.9271848274903 | 0.432652389960921 |
9 | 34.844 | 36.1474755713929 | 0.470516977844029 | 33.0700074507631 | 1.30347557139287 |
10 | 32.447 | 33.2110649194411 | -1.3849629549096 | 33.0678980354685 | 0.764064919441118 |
11 | 31.068 | 31.8223809466073 | -2.75216956678121 | 33.0657886201739 | 0.754380946607341 |
12 | 29.01 | 30.0797027943594 | -4.87326943009693 | 32.8135666357375 | 1.06970279435944 |
13 | 29.812 | 30.3340001260407 | -3.27134477734183 | 32.5613446513011 | 0.522000126040716 |
14 | 30.951 | 30.8083878376383 | -1.02208218022269 | 32.1156943425844 | -0.142612162361740 |
15 | 32.974 | 33.3468677027603 | 0.931088263371945 | 31.6700440338678 | 0.372867702760299 |
16 | 32.936 | 33.4154702378051 | 1.37959852932444 | 31.0769312328705 | 0.479470237805074 |
17 | 34.012 | 34.9778013569034 | 2.56238021122342 | 30.4838184318732 | 0.965801356903356 |
18 | 32.946 | 32.6165712105756 | 3.40036639354699 | 29.8750623958774 | -0.329428789424409 |
19 | 31.948 | 32.3859774120619 | 2.24371622805647 | 29.2663063598816 | 0.437977412061919 |
20 | 30.599 | 30.1752926052688 | 2.31616278254882 | 28.7065446121824 | -0.423707394731206 |
21 | 27.691 | 26.7647001576728 | 0.470516977844029 | 28.1467828644832 | -0.9262998423272 |
22 | 25.073 | 23.9101253916822 | -1.3849629549096 | 27.6208375632274 | -1.16287460831778 |
23 | 23.406 | 22.4692773048096 | -2.75216956678121 | 27.0948922619716 | -0.936722695190387 |
24 | 22.248 | 22.7831813956968 | -4.87326943009693 | 26.5860880344001 | 0.535181395696839 |
25 | 22.896 | 22.9860609705132 | -3.27134477734183 | 26.0772838068286 | 0.090060970513239 |
26 | 25.317 | 26.0323730504758 | -1.02208218022269 | 25.6237091297469 | 0.715373050475815 |
27 | 26.558 | 27.0147772839629 | 0.931088263371945 | 25.1701344526652 | 0.456777283962886 |
28 | 26.471 | 26.7699504421061 | 1.37959852932444 | 24.7924510285694 | 0.298950442106115 |
29 | 27.543 | 28.1088521843029 | 2.56238021122342 | 24.4147676044737 | 0.565852184302862 |
30 | 26.198 | 24.8463042392444 | 3.40036639354699 | 24.1493293672086 | -1.35169576075560 |
31 | 24.725 | 23.3223926420000 | 2.24371622805647 | 23.8838911299435 | -1.40260735799997 |
32 | 25.005 | 23.9636457214876 | 2.31616278254882 | 23.7301914959636 | -1.04135427851245 |
33 | 23.462 | 22.8769911601722 | 0.470516977844029 | 23.5764918619838 | -0.585008839827779 |
34 | 20.78 | 19.4794245779142 | -1.3849629549096 | 23.4655383769954 | -1.30057542208585 |
35 | 19.815 | 19.0275846747741 | -2.75216956678121 | 23.3545848920071 | -0.787415325225925 |
36 | 19.761 | 21.1450298408636 | -4.87326943009693 | 23.2502395892333 | 1.3840298408636 |
37 | 21.454 | 23.0334504908823 | -3.27134477734183 | 23.1458942864595 | 1.57945049088231 |
38 | 23.899 | 25.7910502594933 | -1.02208218022269 | 23.0290319207294 | 1.89205025949333 |
39 | 24.939 | 26.0347421816289 | 0.931088263371945 | 22.9121695549992 | 1.09574218162885 |
40 | 23.58 | 23.0186404156713 | 1.37959852932444 | 22.7617610550043 | -0.561359584328734 |
41 | 24.562 | 23.9502672337672 | 2.56238021122342 | 22.6113525550094 | -0.611732766232805 |
42 | 24.696 | 23.4806365751735 | 3.40036639354699 | 22.5109970312796 | -1.21536342482655 |
43 | 23.785 | 22.9156422643938 | 2.24371622805647 | 22.4106415075497 | -0.869357735606211 |
44 | 23.812 | 22.80952586238 | 2.31616278254882 | 22.4983113550712 | -1.00247413761998 |
45 | 21.917 | 20.7775018195634 | 0.470516977844029 | 22.5859812025926 | -1.13949818043662 |
46 | 19.713 | 17.9205008549678 | -1.3849629549096 | 22.8904620999418 | -1.79249914503223 |
47 | 19.282 | 18.1212265694901 | -2.75216956678121 | 23.1949429972911 | -1.16077343050987 |
48 | 18.788 | 18.8031488447357 | -4.87326943009693 | 23.6461205853612 | 0.0151488447357266 |
49 | 21.453 | 22.0800466039105 | -3.27134477734183 | 24.0972981734313 | 0.627046603910507 |
50 | 24.482 | 25.409095947951 | -1.02208218022269 | 24.5769862322717 | 0.927095947951013 |
51 | 27.474 | 28.960237445516 | 0.931088263371945 | 25.0566742911120 | 1.48623744551601 |
52 | 27.264 | 27.7196180414967 | 1.37959852932444 | 25.4287834291789 | 0.455618041496681 |
53 | 27.349 | 26.3347272215309 | 2.56238021122342 | 25.8008925672457 | -1.01427277846913 |
54 | 30.632 | 31.8989652794983 | 3.40036639354699 | 25.9646683269547 | 1.26696527949828 |
55 | 29.429 | 30.4858396852798 | 2.24371622805647 | 26.1284440866638 | 1.05683968527978 |
56 | 30.084 | 31.6652589966722 | 2.31616278254882 | 26.1865782207790 | 1.58125899667215 |
57 | 26.29 | 25.8647706672617 | 0.470516977844029 | 26.2447123548943 | -0.425229332738343 |
58 | 24.379 | 23.7528861924726 | -1.3849629549096 | 26.390076762437 | -0.626113807527421 |
59 | 23.335 | 22.8867283968015 | -2.75216956678121 | 26.5354411699797 | -0.448271603198517 |
60 | 21.346 | 20.7216154493907 | -4.87326943009693 | 26.8436539807062 | -0.624384550609271 |
61 | 21.106 | 18.3314779859092 | -3.27134477734183 | 27.1518667914327 | -2.77452201409085 |
62 | 24.514 | 22.4435456741271 | -1.02208218022269 | 27.6065365060956 | -2.0704543258729 |
63 | 28.353 | 27.7137055158695 | 0.931088263371945 | 28.0612062207585 | -0.639294484130456 |
64 | 30.805 | 31.5970376748876 | 1.37959852932444 | 28.6333637957880 | 0.79203767488761 |
65 | 31.348 | 30.9280984179592 | 2.56238021122342 | 29.2055213708174 | -0.419901582040808 |
66 | 34.556 | 35.8490791161464 | 3.40036639354699 | 29.8625544903066 | 1.29307911614643 |
67 | 33.855 | 34.9466961621477 | 2.24371622805647 | 30.5195876097958 | 1.09169616214775 |
68 | 34.787 | 35.9800856152719 | 2.31616278254882 | 31.2777516021793 | 1.19308561527188 |
69 | 32.529 | 32.5515674275932 | 0.470516977844029 | 32.0359155945628 | 0.0225674275931524 |
70 | 29.998 | 28.5567230175878 | -1.3849629549096 | 32.8242399373218 | -1.44127698241221 |
71 | 29.257 | 27.6536052867004 | -2.75216956678121 | 33.6125642800808 | -1.60339471329958 |
72 | 28.155 | 26.7604542934808 | -4.87326943009693 | 34.4228151366162 | -1.39454570651922 |
73 | 30.466 | 28.9702787841903 | -3.27134477734183 | 35.2330659931515 | -1.49572121580968 |
74 | 35.704 | 36.4424389445552 | -1.02208218022269 | 35.9876432356675 | 0.73843894455522 |
75 | 39.327 | 40.9806912584446 | 0.931088263371945 | 36.7422204781834 | 1.65369125844462 |
76 | 39.351 | 39.9800657261394 | 1.37959852932444 | 37.3423357445362 | 0.629065726139366 |
77 | 42.234 | 43.9631687778876 | 2.56238021122342 | 37.9424510108890 | 1.72916877788763 |
78 | 43.63 | 45.540723062682 | 3.40036639354699 | 38.318910543771 | 1.91072306268200 |
79 | 43.722 | 46.5049136952905 | 2.24371622805647 | 38.6953700766531 | 2.78291369529045 |
80 | 43.121 | 45.0145337200102 | 2.31616278254882 | 38.911303497441 | 1.89353372001017 |
81 | 37.985 | 36.372246103927 | 0.470516977844029 | 39.1272369182290 | -1.61275389607298 |
82 | 37.135 | 36.3888340994395 | -1.3849629549096 | 39.2661288554701 | -0.746165900560456 |
83 | 34.646 | 32.6391487740700 | -2.75216956678121 | 39.4050207927112 | -2.00685122592996 |
84 | 33.026 | 31.3910212571088 | -4.87326943009693 | 39.5342481729881 | -1.63497874289121 |
85 | 35.087 | 33.7818692240767 | -3.27134477734183 | 39.6634755532651 | -1.30513077592328 |
86 | 38.846 | 38.7887403842079 | -1.02208218022269 | 39.9253417960148 | -0.0572596157921268 |
87 | 42.013 | 42.9077036978635 | 0.931088263371945 | 40.1872080387645 | 0.894703697863534 |
88 | 43.908 | 45.7796910794553 | 1.37959852932444 | 40.6567103912202 | 1.87169107945535 |
89 | 42.868 | 42.0474070451007 | 2.56238021122342 | 41.1262127436759 | -0.820592954899332 |
90 | 44.423 | 43.8123509129309 | 3.40036639354699 | 41.6332826935221 | -0.610649087069064 |
91 | 44.167 | 43.9499311285753 | 2.24371622805647 | 42.1403526433682 | -0.217068871424701 |
92 | 43.636 | 42.3735669527793 | 2.31616278254882 | 42.5822702646719 | -1.26243304722073 |
93 | 44.382 | 45.2692951361804 | 0.470516977844029 | 43.0241878859756 | 0.887295136180363 |
94 | 42.142 | 42.2462986938028 | -1.3849629549096 | 43.4226642611068 | 0.104298693802775 |
95 | 43.452 | 45.8350289305432 | -2.75216956678121 | 43.8211406362380 | 2.38302893054316 |
96 | 36.912 | 34.5428439622502 | -4.87326943009693 | 44.1544254678467 | -2.36915603774977 |
97 | 42.413 | 43.6096344778865 | -3.27134477734183 | 44.4877102994553 | 1.19663447788650 |
98 | 45.344 | 46.9661997224578 | -1.02208218022269 | 44.7438824577649 | 1.62219972245782 |
99 | 44.873 | 43.8148571205536 | 0.931088263371945 | 45.0000546160744 | -1.05814287944637 |
100 | 47.51 | 48.5097477462982 | 1.37959852932444 | 45.1306537243773 | 0.999747746298219 |
101 | 49.554 | 51.2843669560963 | 2.56238021122342 | 45.2612528326803 | 1.73036695609632 |
102 | 47.369 | 46.1959912751579 | 3.40036639354699 | 45.1416423312952 | -1.17300872484215 |
103 | 45.998 | 44.7302519420335 | 2.24371622805647 | 45.0220318299101 | -1.26774805796653 |
104 | 48.14 | 49.4516934514088 | 2.31616278254882 | 44.5121437660424 | 1.31169345140876 |
105 | 48.441 | 52.4092273199812 | 0.470516977844029 | 44.0022557021748 | 3.96822731998120 |
106 | 44.928 | 48.0364114763526 | -1.3849629549096 | 43.204551478557 | 3.10841147635263 |
107 | 40.454 | 41.2533223118420 | -2.75216956678121 | 42.4068472549392 | 0.799322311842047 |
108 | 38.661 | 40.7729085772384 | -4.87326943009693 | 41.4223608528585 | 2.11190857723838 |
109 | 37.246 | 37.3254703265639 | -3.27134477734183 | 40.4378744507779 | 0.0794703265639143 |
110 | 36.843 | 35.3435059891765 | -1.02208218022269 | 39.3645761910462 | -1.49949401082351 |
111 | 36.424 | 33.6256338053135 | 0.931088263371945 | 38.2912779313145 | -2.79836619468646 |
112 | 37.594 | 36.4074694988072 | 1.37959852932444 | 37.4009319718683 | -1.18653050119277 |
113 | 38.144 | 37.2150337763544 | 2.56238021122342 | 36.5105860124222 | -0.928966223645574 |
114 | 38.737 | 37.9909639663133 | 3.40036639354699 | 36.0826696401397 | -0.746036033686714 |
115 | 34.56 | 31.2215305040862 | 2.24371622805647 | 35.6547532678573 | -3.33846949591377 |
116 | 36.08 | 34.2439707622908 | 2.31616278254882 | 35.5998664551604 | -1.83602923770917 |
117 | 33.508 | 31.0005033796926 | 0.470516977844029 | 35.5449796424634 | -2.50749662030742 |
118 | 35.462 | 36.5896601974299 | -1.3849629549096 | 35.7193027574797 | 1.12766019742993 |
119 | 33.374 | 33.6065436942853 | -2.75216956678121 | 35.893625872496 | 0.232543694285248 |
120 | 32.11 | 32.7682007177203 | -4.87326943009693 | 36.3250687123767 | 0.658200717720263 |
121 | 35.533 | 37.5808332250845 | -3.27134477734183 | 36.7565115522574 | 2.04783322508447 |
122 | 35.532 | 34.6319432327838 | -1.02208218022269 | 37.4541389474389 | -0.900056767216192 |
123 | 37.903 | 36.7231453940076 | 0.931088263371945 | 38.1517663426204 | -1.17985460599235 |
124 | 36.763 | 33.1574733745145 | 1.37959852932444 | 38.988928096161 | -3.60552662548546 |
125 | 40.399 | 38.4095299390750 | 2.56238021122342 | 39.8260898497016 | -1.98947006092504 |
126 | 44.164 | 44.2558665153299 | 3.40036639354699 | 40.6717670911231 | 0.0918665153298974 |
127 | 44.496 | 45.2308394393989 | 2.24371622805647 | 41.5174443325446 | 0.734839439398925 |
128 | 43.11 | 41.5132488073339 | 2.31616278254882 | 42.3905884101173 | -1.59675119266612 |
129 | 43.88 | 44.025750534466 | 0.470516977844029 | 43.26373248769 | 0.145750534465989 |
130 | 43.93 | 45.069215629344 | -1.3849629549096 | 44.1757473255656 | 1.13921562934398 |
131 | 44.327 | 46.3184074033399 | -2.75216956678121 | 45.0877621634413 | 1.99140740333994 |