| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1148 | -0.2384 | -0.3698 | 0.084 | -0.5509 | -0.7651 |
| (p-val) | (0.6983 ) | (0.1779 ) | (0.2101 ) | (0.7008 ) | (4e-04 ) | (0.2627 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.0978 | -0.2297 | -0.3843 | 0 | -0.5719 | -0.6167 |
| (p-val) | (0.7406 ) | (0.1945 ) | (0.1921 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0542 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1933 | -0.4668 | 0 | -0.5745 | -0.6193 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1899 ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0515 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.5395 | 0 | -0.5401 | -0.5631 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0527 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.4814 | 0 | -0.536 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -21.4445313070925 |
| -539.598932328164 |
| 429.506140796510 |
| -430.208517585448 |
| 791.637079845744 |
| -713.776996715475 |
| -116.390482406816 |
| 310.457108151316 |
| -229.239547990004 |
| 1335.62294122961 |
| 585.649943059032 |
| -1334.73998449730 |
| 1382.01658067596 |
| 440.644114024936 |
| 1845.32022447350 |
| 349.158876394036 |
| 52.5453235082263 |
| -126.288082942522 |
| -44.9806711461234 |
| -416.124815403603 |
| -47.5347848448536 |
| -264.779822300269 |
| -932.802982346788 |
| -1028.01582704642 |
| -806.625912362047 |
| -747.776686020327 |
| -1155.26168409689 |
| 1163.62363179944 |
| -279.913871501059 |
| -662.13575605824 |
| 38.550113896041 |
| -458.900316608095 |
| 1169.95721001121 |
| 312.817761567003 |
| -1145.49829590322 |
| -34.2530644464398 |
| -462.01309965224 |
| -215.928579540986 |
| 944.69334202189 |
| -210.327101636255 |
| 256.276092635669 |
| 535.257421797085 |
| 880.914743962914 |
| -567.719052971641 |
| -75.7582844737755 |
| -44.7549039909018 |
| 312.228812944130 |
| 189.084903889607 |
| -665.744020165596 |
| 1569.75568046566 |
| -263.323412095653 |
| -2899.87774461736 |
| -762.340079495837 |
| 1117.93134623622 |
| 557.681384601822 |
| -325.590717355431 |
| 249.116931485911 |
| -703.486902297092 |
| -1148.596505346 |
