Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[72])
60629-------
61685-------
62617-------
63715-------
64715-------
65629-------
66916-------
67531-------
68357-------
69917-------
70828-------
71708-------
72858-------
73775777.2061661.9781892.43410.4850.08470.94160.0847
74785700.8281583.0221818.63420.08070.10860.91840.0045
751006717.1721596.8552837.48900.13460.51410.0109
76789668.409547.7338789.08430.025100.22460.001
77734688.2212567.3939809.04850.22890.0510.83160.0029
78906839.2661718.4055960.12680.13960.95610.10670.3806
79532469.3506348.4791590.22210.154800.15870
80387345.2949224.4206466.16910.24940.00120.42470
81991817.2479696.3728938.12290.002410.05290.2544
82841765.0576644.1823885.93290.10911e-040.15370.0659
83892686.9204566.045807.79574e-040.00620.36620.0028
84782771.9565651.0811892.83180.43530.02580.08150.0815


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
730.0756-0.002804.86700
740.08580.12010.06157084.90333544.885259.5389
750.08560.40270.175283421.554430170.4416173.6964
760.09210.18040.176514542.180426263.3763162.0598
770.08960.06650.15452095.697121429.8405146.3893
780.07350.07950.1424453.408118600.4351136.3834
790.13140.13350.14083924.948916503.937128.4676
800.17860.12080.13831739.315814658.3594121.0717
810.07550.21260.146630189.807816384.0759128.0003
820.08060.09930.14185767.251915322.3935123.7837
830.08980.29850.156142057.649217752.8713133.2399
840.07990.0130.1442100.872716281.8714127.6004