Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[37])
25	4443.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	4502.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	4356.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	4591.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	4696.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	4621.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	4562.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	4202.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	4296.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	4435.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	4105.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	4116.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	3844.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	3720.98	3805.3086	3527.9284	4082.6888	0.2756	0.3909	0	0.3909
39	3674.4	3799.6685	3378.2132	4221.1238	0.2801	0.6428	0.0048	0.4174
40	3857.62	3798.8566	3267.8294	4329.8839	0.4141	0.677	0.0017	0.4331
41	3801.06	3798.7398	3176.7344	4420.7451	0.4971	0.4264	0.0023	0.4427
42	3504.37	3798.7229	3097.3896	4500.0563	0.2054	0.4974	0.0107	0.4491
43	3032.6	3798.7205	3026.1551	4571.286	0.026	0.7724	0.0263	0.4538
44	3047.03	3798.7202	2960.9565	4636.4838	0.0393	0.9635	0.1724	0.4574
45	2962.34	3798.7201	2900.4781	4696.9621	0.034	0.9495	0.1387	0.4602
46	2197.82	3798.7201	2843.8225	4753.6177	5e-04	0.957	0.0957	0.4626
47	2014.45	3798.7201	2790.3451	4807.0952	3e-04	0.9991	0.2757	0.4646
48	1862.83	3798.7201	2739.5643	4857.8759	2e-04	0.9995	0.2781	0.4663
49	1905.41	3798.7201	2691.1092	4906.331	4e-04	0.9997	0.4677	0.4677

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
38	0.0372	-0.0222	0.0018	7111.317	592.6097	24.3436
39	0.0566	-0.033	0.0027	15692.2021	1307.6835	36.1619
40	0.0713	0.0155	0.0013	3453.1331	287.7611	16.9635
41	0.0835	6e-04	1e-04	5.3835	0.4486	0.6698
42	0.0942	-0.0775	0.0065	86643.6542	7220.3045	84.9724
43	0.1038	-0.2017	0.0168	586940.651	48911.7209	221.1599
44	0.1125	-0.1979	0.0165	565038.1136	47086.5095	216.9943
45	0.1206	-0.2202	0.0183	699531.7069	58294.3089	241.4421
46	0.1283	-0.4214	0.0351	2562881.1746	213573.4312	462.1401
47	0.1354	-0.4697	0.0391	3183619.8355	265301.653	515.0744
48	0.1423	-0.5096	0.0425	3747670.5283	312305.8774	558.8433
49	0.1488	-0.4984	0.0415	3584623.1827	298718.5986	546.5516