Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.2955 |
R-squared | 0.0873 |
RMSE | 26037.693 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 211868 | 199626.275 | 12241.725 |
2 | 229527 | 199626.275 | 29900.725 |
3 | 229139 | 199626.275 | 29512.725 |
4 | 198563 | 199626.275 | -1063.27499999999 |
5 | 195722 | 199626.275 | -3904.27499999999 |
6 | 202196 | 199626.275 | 2569.72500000001 |
7 | 205816 | 199626.275 | 6189.725 |
8 | 212588 | 199626.275 | 12961.725 |
9 | 214320 | 199626.275 | 14693.725 |
10 | 220375 | 199626.275 | 20748.725 |
11 | 204442 | 199626.275 | 4815.72500000001 |
12 | 206903 | 199626.275 | 7276.725 |
13 | 214126 | 199626.275 | 14499.725 |
14 | 226899 | 199626.275 | 27272.725 |
15 | 223532 | 199626.275 | 23905.725 |
16 | 195309 | 199626.275 | -4317.27499999999 |
17 | 186005 | 199626.275 | -13621.275 |
18 | 188906 | 199626.275 | -10720.275 |
19 | 191563 | 199626.275 | -8063.275 |
20 | 189226 | 199626.275 | -10400.275 |
21 | 186413 | 199626.275 | -13213.275 |
22 | 178037 | 199626.275 | -21589.275 |
23 | 166827 | 199626.275 | -32799.275 |
24 | 169362 | 168012.666666667 | 1349.33333333334 |
25 | 174330 | 168012.666666667 | 6317.33333333334 |
26 | 187069 | 168012.666666667 | 19056.3333333333 |
27 | 186530 | 168012.666666667 | 18517.3333333333 |
28 | 158114 | 168012.666666667 | -9898.66666666666 |
29 | 151001 | 168012.666666667 | -17011.6666666667 |
30 | 159612 | 168012.666666667 | -8400.66666666666 |
31 | 161914 | 168012.666666667 | -6098.66666666666 |
32 | 164182 | 168012.666666667 | -3830.66666666666 |
33 | 169701 | 199626.275 | -29925.275 |
34 | 171297 | 199626.275 | -28329.275 |
35 | 166444 | 199626.275 | -33182.275 |
36 | 173476 | 199626.275 | -26150.275 |
37 | 182516 | 199626.275 | -17110.275 |
38 | 202388 | 199626.275 | 2761.72500000001 |
39 | 202300 | 199626.275 | 2673.72500000001 |
40 | 168053 | 199626.275 | -31573.275 |
41 | 167302 | 199626.275 | -32324.275 |
42 | 172608 | 199626.275 | -27018.275 |
43 | 178106 | 199626.275 | -21520.275 |
44 | 185686 | 199626.275 | -13940.275 |
45 | 194581 | 199626.275 | -5045.27499999999 |
46 | 194596 | 199626.275 | -5030.27499999999 |
47 | 197922 | 199626.275 | -1704.27499999999 |
48 | 208795 | 199626.275 | 9168.725 |
49 | 230580 | 199626.275 | 30953.725 |
50 | 240636 | 199626.275 | 41009.725 |
51 | 240048 | 199626.275 | 40421.725 |
52 | 211457 | 199626.275 | 11830.725 |
53 | 211142 | 199626.275 | 11515.725 |
54 | 214771 | 199626.275 | 15144.725 |
55 | 212610 | 199626.275 | 12983.725 |
56 | 219313 | 199626.275 | 19686.725 |
57 | 219277 | 199626.275 | 19650.725 |
58 | 231805 | 199626.275 | 32178.725 |
59 | 229245 | 199626.275 | 29618.725 |
60 | 241114 | 199626.275 | 41487.725 |
61 | 248624 | 199626.275 | 48997.725 |
62 | 265845 | 199626.275 | 66218.725 |
63 | 256446 | 199626.275 | 56819.725 |
64 | 219452 | 199626.275 | 19825.725 |
65 | 217142 | 199626.275 | 17515.725 |
66 | 221678 | 199626.275 | 22051.725 |
67 | 227184 | 199626.275 | 27557.725 |
68 | 230354 | 199626.275 | 30727.725 |
69 | 235243 | 199626.275 | 35616.725 |
70 | 237217 | 199626.275 | 37590.725 |
71 | 233575 | 199626.275 | 33948.725 |
72 | 244460 | 199626.275 | 44833.725 |
73 | 243324 | 199626.275 | 43697.725 |
74 | 260307 | 199626.275 | 60680.725 |
75 | 241476 | 199626.275 | 41849.725 |
76 | 203666 | 199626.275 | 4039.72500000001 |
77 | 200237 | 199626.275 | 610.725000000006 |
78 | 204045 | 199626.275 | 4418.72500000001 |
79 | 209465 | 199626.275 | 9838.725 |
80 | 213586 | 199626.275 | 13959.725 |
81 | 216234 | 199626.275 | 16607.725 |
82 | 213188 | 199626.275 | 13561.725 |
83 | 208679 | 199626.275 | 9052.725 |
84 | 217859 | 199626.275 | 18232.725 |
85 | 227247 | 199626.275 | 27620.725 |
86 | 243477 | 199626.275 | 43850.725 |
87 | 232571 | 199626.275 | 32944.725 |
88 | 191531 | 199626.275 | -8095.275 |
89 | 186029 | 199626.275 | -13597.275 |
90 | 189733 | 199626.275 | -9893.275 |
91 | 190420 | 199626.275 | -9206.275 |
92 | 194163 | 199626.275 | -5463.27499999999 |
93 | 198770 | 199626.275 | -856.274999999994 |
94 | 195198 | 199626.275 | -4428.27499999999 |
95 | 193111 | 199626.275 | -6515.275 |
96 | 195411 | 199626.275 | -4215.27499999999 |
97 | 202108 | 199626.275 | 2481.72500000001 |
98 | 215706 | 199626.275 | 16079.725 |
99 | 206348 | 199626.275 | 6721.725 |
100 | 166972 | 199626.275 | -32654.275 |
101 | 166070 | 199626.275 | -33556.275 |
102 | 169292 | 199626.275 | -30334.275 |
103 | 175041 | 199626.275 | -24585.275 |
104 | 177876 | 199626.275 | -21750.275 |
105 | 181140 | 199626.275 | -18486.275 |
106 | 179566 | 199626.275 | -20060.275 |
107 | 175335 | 199626.275 | -24291.275 |
108 | 184128 | 199626.275 | -15498.275 |
109 | 189917 | 199626.275 | -9709.275 |
110 | 194690 | 199626.275 | -4936.27499999999 |
111 | 179612 | 199626.275 | -20014.275 |
112 | 150605 | 199626.275 | -49021.275 |
113 | 150569 | 199626.275 | -49057.275 |
114 | 153745 | 199626.275 | -45881.275 |
115 | 155511 | 199626.275 | -44115.275 |
116 | 159044 | 199626.275 | -40582.275 |
117 | 163095 | 199626.275 | -36531.275 |
118 | 159585 | 199626.275 | -40041.275 |
119 | 158644 | 199626.275 | -40982.275 |
120 | 166618 | 199626.275 | -33008.275 |
121 | 176512 | 199626.275 | -23114.275 |
122 | 200765 | 199626.275 | 1138.72500000001 |
123 | 182698 | 199626.275 | -16928.275 |
124 | 153730 | 199626.275 | -45896.275 |
125 | 156145 | 199626.275 | -43481.275 |
126 | 161570 | 199626.275 | -38056.275 |
127 | 165688 | 199626.275 | -33938.275 |
128 | 173666 | 199626.275 | -25960.275 |
129 | 180144 | 199626.275 | -19482.275 |