Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
430.541489699-------
440.615039426-------
450.547924872-------
460.574540743-------
470.603438956-------
480.577492342-------
490.614198564-------
500.584776957-------
510.62752366-------
520.676859979-------
530.645996894-------
540.596059959-------
550.585961029-------
560.60760.5870.46960.70440.36550.5070.320.507
570.59850.5870.38760.78640.45520.41980.64960.5041
580.63870.5870.33060.84340.34640.46510.5380.5032
590.64920.5870.28420.88980.34360.3690.45770.5027


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.10210.035104e-0400
570.17330.01950.02731e-043e-040.0167
580.22280.08810.04760.00270.00110.0328
590.26320.1060.06220.00390.00180.0421