Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	298	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	360	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	336	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	325	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	301	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	426	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	265	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	210	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	429	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	440	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	431	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	442	381.2712	320.4172	442.1251	0.0252	0.0546	0.7534	0.0546
98	422	370.2816	309.2164	431.3467	0.0485	0.0107	0.8644	0.0257
99	544	423.9163	360.854	486.9786	1e-04	0.5237	0.9989	0.4129
100	420	354.9797	286.721	423.2385	0.031	0	0.1375	0.0145
101	396	340.8945	272.5884	409.2006	0.0569	0.0116	0.8738	0.0049
102	482	418.2759	348.5889	487.9629	0.0365	0.7345	0.414	0.3602
103	261	243.6597	173.2173	314.1021	0.3147	0	0.2763	0
104	211	205.1849	134.6772	275.6927	0.4358	0.0604	0.4468	0
105	448	415.5782	344.5624	486.594	0.1854	1	0.3555	0.3352
106	468	395.2896	324.206	466.3731	0.0225	0.0731	0.1088	0.1624
107	464	353.1638	282.0352	424.2925	0.0011	8e-04	0.4579	0.016
108	425	356.5675	285.3052	427.8297	0.0299	0.0016	0.0203	0.0203

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0814	0.1593	0	3687.9917	0	0
98	0.0841	0.1397	0.1495	2674.7973	3181.3945	56.4039
99	0.0759	0.2833	0.1941	14420.0936	6927.6275	83.2324
100	0.0981	0.1832	0.1913	4227.6344	6252.6292	79.0736
101	0.1022	0.1616	0.1854	3036.6138	5609.4261	74.8961
102	0.085	0.1523	0.1799	4060.7634	5351.3157	73.1527
103	0.1475	0.0712	0.1644	300.6857	4629.7971	68.0426
104	0.1753	0.0283	0.1474	33.815	4055.2994	63.6812
105	0.0872	0.078	0.1397	1051.1719	3721.5074	61.0042
106	0.0917	0.1839	0.1441	5286.8074	3878.0374	62.2739
107	0.1028	0.3138	0.1595	12284.6547	4642.2753	68.1342
108	0.102	0.1919	0.1622	4683.0097	4645.6699	68.1592