Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[96])
84298-------
85360-------
86336-------
87325-------
88393-------
89301-------
90426-------
91265-------
92210-------
93429-------
94440-------
95357-------
96431-------
97442375.3009312.3009438.30090.0190.04160.6830.0416
98422383.3344320.316446.35290.11460.0340.92950.0691
99544414.0326349.3271478.73800.40460.99650.3036
100420375.6885309.9366441.44030.093300.30290.0496
101396353.5391286.6715420.40680.10660.02570.93820.0116
102482431.0651363.1485498.98170.07080.84420.55810.5007
103261267.6781198.7479336.60830.424700.53040
104211223.8003153.8961293.70450.35980.14850.65060
105448437.7943366.953508.63560.388810.59610.5746
106468420.9177349.1744492.66090.09920.22970.30110.3915
107464376.4037303.7955449.01180.0090.00670.69980.0703
108425382.6926309.248456.13720.12940.0150.09870.0987


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
970.08560.177704448.771700
980.08390.10090.13931495.02542971.898554.5151
990.07970.31390.197516891.5387611.778487.2455
1000.08930.11790.17761963.51286199.71278.7382
1010.09650.12010.16611802.92765320.355172.9408
1020.08040.11820.15812594.36454866.023369.7569
1030.1314-0.02490.139144.59714177.248164.6316
1040.1594-0.05720.1289163.84763675.573160.6265
1050.08260.02330.1171104.1573278.749157.2604
1060.0870.11190.11662216.74583172.548756.3254
1070.09840.23270.12727673.11963581.691559.8472
1080.09790.11060.12581789.91493432.376858.5865