Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
43363-------
44365-------
45474-------
46373-------
47403-------
48384-------
49364-------
50361-------
51419-------
52352-------
53363-------
54410-------
55361-------
56383373.4301300.3905446.46960.39870.63060.58950.6306
57342397.5502324.0174471.08290.06930.65090.02080.835
58369391.889318.3563465.42170.27090.90820.69270.7948
59361365.081291.5482438.61370.45670.45840.15610.5433
60317368.7248295.1938442.25590.0840.58160.34190.5816
61386362.4628289.0584435.86710.26480.88760.48360.5156
62318358.6774285.2731432.08170.13870.23280.47530.4753
63407388.9383315.534462.34260.31480.97090.21110.7722
64393373.9457300.5413447.350.30550.18870.72110.6352
65404378.827305.4227452.23130.25070.35260.66370.683
66498397.3078323.9035470.71220.00360.42910.36730.8338
67438371.4848298.0805444.88910.03794e-040.61020.6102


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.09980.02560.002191.58367.6322.7626
570.0944-0.13970.01163085.8197257.151616.0359
580.0957-0.05840.0049523.907543.6596.6075
590.1028-0.01129e-0416.65421.38781.1781
600.1017-0.14030.01172675.4601222.95514.9317
610.10330.06490.0054554.001446.16686.7946
620.1044-0.11340.00951654.6525137.887711.7426
630.09630.04640.0039326.225527.18555.214
640.10020.0510.0042363.068130.25575.5005
650.09890.06640.0055633.678652.80667.2668
660.09430.25340.021110138.912844.909329.0673
670.10080.17910.01494424.2738368.689519.2013