| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0501 | 0.2798 | 0.4414 | 0.1413 | -0.5927 | -0.3863 |
| (p-val) | (0.8774 ) | (0.046 ) | (0.0041 ) | (0.7072 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0044 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.2933 | 0.4554 | 0.1955 | -0.5881 | -0.3814 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0071 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.1114 ) | (0 ) | (0.004 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3056 | 0.4687 | 0 | -0.6299 | -0.3876 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0059 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0033 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.723996350113362 |
| 12.9424764155243 |
| 27.8241646952945 |
| 90.374647107757 |
| 11.407015291425 |
| -30.2127944563953 |
| -6.90883672336902 |
| -70.7024310572301 |
| 7.76745673339821 |
| 31.9296237382902 |
| 25.806413623434 |
| 75.3207786600398 |
| -82.1102090473612 |
| 52.0239228362043 |
| -73.7256506302505 |
| 9.40420546139514 |
| -39.4483939111209 |
| 97.0701281940287 |
| 77.805538232381 |
| -40.5625052967904 |
| -25.2996595664464 |
| -22.2153205192392 |
| -21.910564969263 |
| -49.9748877203216 |
| 30.293102265631 |
| 104.437935689292 |
| 22.8488157199765 |
| -105.975297902978 |
| -78.695738044252 |
| 72.621722993612 |
| -32.7761990743293 |
| -40.8760922923202 |
| -20.2031951181028 |
| -65.5866826705496 |
| 48.9955962797402 |
| 73.9238329362003 |
| 1.22194904125402 |
| -60.4563622500535 |
| -35.6108801181619 |
| 0.368504663993392 |
| 51.9898121176574 |
| -49.5220607467263 |
| -26.0017630464834 |
| 5.30434731447576 |
| 40.7507609950457 |
| 26.9628735840587 |
| 137.689103340743 |
| -40.2991033744752 |
| -61.5686559077241 |
| -44.707589441286 |
| -13.0346271557886 |
| 0.267332995884773 |
| 89.4175332330697 |
| -55.3045184237719 |
| 130.961006829878 |
| 84.7087210600688 |
| -24.1953675664108 |
| 34.191452305417 |
| -0.816080082559218 |
| 34.368617154363 |
| 120.211759268738 |
| 1.59436946661056 |
| 39.1855083661454 |
| 178.210166615641 |
| 23.0136196926131 |
| -88.2140716378291 |
| -60.6914131865564 |
| 17.0121791714684 |
| -19.8641630302794 |
| 114.264217359939 |
| -22.4196244840904 |
| 147.742233121882 |
| -76.4813107523883 |
