Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
430.412893082-------
440.458679245-------
450.428427673-------
460.463522013-------
470.487169811-------
480.473584906-------
490.491886792-------
500.474842767-------
510.502327044-------
520.539371069-------
530.484402516-------
540.474654088-------
550.473522013-------
560.48750.47030.39670.54380.32270.46550.62130.4655
570.49330.46880.34730.59040.34630.38130.74260.4698
580.52520.46780.30110.63450.250.3820.52010.4732
590.54270.46760.26620.6690.23230.28760.42440.477


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.07980.036703e-0400
570.13230.05230.04456e-044e-040.0212
580.18180.12260.07050.00330.00140.0374
590.21970.16070.09310.00560.00250.0496