Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9.963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10.158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9.225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10.474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9.757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10.281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10.444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10.695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10.786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9.832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9.747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10.411	10.3477	9.7903	10.965	0.4204	0.9718	0.7265	0.9718
86	9.511	9.4283	8.9497	9.9552	0.3792	1e-04	0.7753	0.1179
87	10.402	10.5548	9.9644	11.2114	0.3241	0.9991	0.5953	0.9921
88	9.701	9.9469	9.4093	10.5424	0.2092	0.0671	0.734	0.7447
89	10.54	10.5007	9.9033	11.1662	0.4539	0.9907	0.5125	0.9868
90	10.112	10.2802	9.6992	10.927	0.3051	0.2155	0.499	0.9469
91	10.915	10.6636	10.0383	11.3627	0.2404	0.939	0.7309	0.9949
92	11.183	10.7331	10.0951	11.4476	0.1086	0.3089	0.6008	0.9966
93	10.384	10.58	9.9527	11.2822	0.2922	0.0462	0.3741	0.99
94	10.834	10.712	10.0658	11.4369	0.3707	0.8124	0.4207	0.9955
95	9.886	9.8352	9.2748	10.4596	0.4366	9e-04	0.504	0.609
96	10.216	9.9749	9.3963	10.621	0.2322	0.6063	0.7553	0.7553

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0304	0.0061	0	0.004	0	0
86	0.0285	0.0088	0.0074	0.0068	0.0054	0.0736
87	0.0317	-0.0145	0.0098	0.0234	0.0114	0.1068
88	0.0305	-0.0247	0.0135	0.0604	0.0237	0.1538
89	0.0323	0.0037	0.0116	0.0015	0.0192	0.1387
90	0.0321	-0.0164	0.0124	0.0283	0.0207	0.144
91	0.0334	0.0236	0.014	0.0632	0.0268	0.1637
92	0.034	0.0419	0.0175	0.2024	0.0488	0.2208
93	0.0339	-0.0185	0.0176	0.0384	0.0476	0.2182
94	0.0345	0.0114	0.017	0.0149	0.0443	0.2106
95	0.0324	0.0052	0.0159	0.0026	0.0405	0.2013
96	0.033	0.0242	0.0166	0.0581	0.042	0.205