| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.3647 | -0.6488 | -0.0367 | 0.7871 | 0.7923 | 0.1758 | -0.8069 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.2327 | 0.1392 | -0.9536 | 0.731 | 0.2069 | -0.7048 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0916 ) | (0.3056 ) | (0 ) | (0.0077 ) | (0.2567 ) | (0.0489 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2286 | 0 | -1.0658 | 0.7304 | 0.2211 | -0.7405 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1083 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0072 ) | (0.2195 ) | (0.0541 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2119 | 0 | -0.9351 | 0.9924 | 0 | -0.9157 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1374 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8414 | 0.992 | 0 | -0.9192 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.299999591336684 |
| 1.21199233356701 |
| 75.4639797610251 |
| 51.8090123934091 |
| 10.3709114726381 |
| 14.9363265003291 |
| -45.8963239567809 |
| -23.8459253555833 |
| 16.6540572050692 |
| 43.615630330657 |
| -17.9998241807339 |
| 17.7626600419157 |
| -1.83686172329133 |
| 16.3095321745741 |
| 40.4310491777242 |
| -32.9020923203062 |
| 46.4546718560895 |
| 26.6029330228096 |
| 12.4559403579264 |
| 9.1501303438064 |
| 34.2648480827087 |
| 33.1275776464389 |
| -18.4830819516073 |
| -27.8262414444688 |
| -13.8016290347782 |
| -29.1274212596908 |
| -3.34492138406453 |
| -21.6583166784908 |
| -8.0666195130188 |
| 49.6964158806386 |
| 70.3882304484306 |
| 48.6210111029793 |
| -3.8015627933975 |
| 43.5545748899729 |
| -50.2014851484081 |
| -48.1722435368535 |
| 42.5657093267597 |
| 1.94747365822287 |
| -23.1998794996642 |
| 62.9958583118668 |
| 2.37745726905263 |
| 34.1152131535184 |
| -24.2307750466742 |
| -33.8432122019551 |
| 79.3323863089495 |
| -42.6725703258637 |
| 22.0249725213098 |
| 13.1358833090987 |
| -16.3519703647422 |
| -8.78447570609995 |
| 11.0253146899665 |
| -42.8971104780076 |
| -41.7646403725663 |
| 4.32617856051018 |
| -14.6407563110333 |
| -2.10438360686061 |
| -60.7865653625676 |
| -35.8640122898727 |
| 12.1397297717034 |
| -44.7357230536979 |
| 27.9840186152965 |
| -26.3959600820902 |
| 4.01516011072297 |
| 22.5198993389735 |
| 13.0143963522460 |
| 83.8828435924023 |
| 51.2747027702898 |
