| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1825 | 0.1449 | 0.4408 | -0.2261 | 0.1477 | -0.3886 | -0.9989 |
| (p-val) | (0.5131 ) | (0.3968 ) | (0.0019 ) | (0.4602 ) | (0.4414 ) | (0.0841 ) | (0.0142 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1944 | 0.43 | -0.3827 | 0.1547 | -0.4145 | -1.0002 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1631 ) | (0.0028 ) | (0.0077 ) | (0.4004 ) | (0.052 ) | (0.0149 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1841 | 0.4225 | -0.3956 | 0 | -0.4578 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1863 ) | (0.003 ) | (0.0058 ) | (NA ) | (0.0164 ) | (0.1607 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.409 | -0.3548 | 0 | -0.4846 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0049 ) | (0.007 ) | (NA ) | (0.0088 ) | (0.1222 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4404 | -0.2953 | 0 | -0.3833 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0039 ) | (0.0218 ) | (NA ) | (0.0476 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -49.7893339813624 |
| -115.855857347157 |
| 358.642252325575 |
| -1280.23404859543 |
| 1269.7990218444 |
| -482.344439925045 |
| 535.432156472485 |
| -653.350665670356 |
| -150.255607623481 |
| 809.700340422624 |
| -454.25759298969 |
| -944.643265379427 |
| 315.20994572738 |
| -4.19622349469063 |
| 122.766997172271 |
| 0.263819130037385 |
| 7.82728106033063 |
| 309.789819115024 |
| 550.179633243721 |
| -154.686633687727 |
| -905.855795506139 |
| 855.608436659643 |
| -873.24999022707 |
| -190.895544647361 |
| 123.512252726179 |
| 579.148230586512 |
| -1330.15873241708 |
| 1493.42083518269 |
| -471.236978042281 |
| 375.446281752056 |
| 84.7030430928148 |
| -1448.7429878622 |
| 556.696970316013 |
| -994.720490616971 |
| -2762.85125636168 |
| -1223.45771147529 |
| -1064.55765279704 |
| 821.83469984857 |
| -437.67345344376 |
| 375.180756215468 |
| -396.843780362746 |
| 837.847042453338 |
| 864.953789085965 |
| 493.563033484152 |
| -378.994495101279 |
| 280.453936285203 |
| 754.180578928203 |
| 1349.24340665111 |
| -212.749295852145 |
