Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.187589033110375


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13103.44103.804468482906-0.364468482906020
14103.32103.334692599068-0.0146925990675868
15103.3103.314275932401-0.0142759324009347
16103.26103.275942599068-0.0159425990675999
17103.14103.156359265734-0.0163592657342662
18103.11103.127192599068-0.0171925990675845
19102.91103.096359265734-0.186359265734282
20103.23103.2055259324010.0244740675990585
21103.23103.2034425990680.0265574009324183
22103.14103.155109265734-0.0151092657342673
23102.91102.8621925990680.0478074009323848
24102.42102.463442599068-0.0434425990675891
25102.1102.326775932401-0.226775932400912
26102.07101.9946925990680.0753074009324166
27102.06102.064275932401-0.00427593240092961
28101.98102.035942599068-0.0559425990676061
29101.83101.876359265734-0.0463592657342673
30101.75101.817192599068-0.0671925990675817
31101.56101.736359265734-0.176359265734277
32101.66101.855525932401-0.195525932400955
33101.65101.6334425990680.0165574009324274
34101.61101.5751092657340.0348907342657299
35101.52101.3321925990680.187807400932385
36101.31101.0734425990680.236557400932412
37101.19101.216775932401-0.0267759324009091
38101.11101.0846925990680.0253074009324195
39101.1101.104275932401-0.00427593240094382
40101.07101.075942599068-0.00594259906760897
41100.98100.9663592657340.0136407342657492
42100.93100.967192599068-0.0371925990675805
43100.92100.9163592657340.00364073426571565
44101.02101.215525932401-0.195525932400955
45101.01100.9934425990680.0165574009324274
46100.97100.9351092657340.0348907342657299
47100.89100.6921925990680.197807400932390
48100.62100.4434425990680.176557400932410
49100.53100.5267759324010.00322406759909200
50100.48100.4246925990680.0553074009324206
51100.48100.4742759324010.0057240675990613
52100.47100.4559425990680.0140574009323871
53100.52100.3663592657340.153640734265736
54100.49100.507192599068-0.0171925990675845
55100.47100.476359265734-0.00635926573427525
56100.44100.765525932401-0.32552593240095


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
57100.413442599068100.174772453750100.652112744386
58100.338551864802100.001021308360100.676082421244
59100.06074446386999.6473556459288100.47413328181
6099.61418706293799.136846772301100.091527353573
6199.52096299533898.9872803262072100.054645664469
6299.415655594405598.8310355215405100.000275667271
6399.409931526806598.7784696769194100.041393376694
6499.38587412587498.7108130129895100.060935238759
6599.282233391608398.566222955654499.9982438275623
6699.26942599067698.5146847219877100.024167259364
6799.255785256410298.4642059357308100.047364577090
6899.551311188811198.72453355293100.378088824692