Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
36502-------
37516-------
38528-------
39533-------
40536-------
41537-------
42524-------
43536-------
44587-------
45597-------
46581-------
47564-------
48558-------
49575571.1217554.6222587.62120.32250.940510.9405
50580581.0686557.4949604.64230.46460.693110.9724
51575585.1995554.5373615.86170.25720.63020.99960.959
52563587.5392547.7671627.31130.11330.73170.99450.9273
53552587.682540.1509635.21310.07060.84560.98170.8895
54537574.2584519.1228629.39390.09270.78560.9630.7184
55545585.8816523.0921648.67110.1010.93650.94030.8079
56601636.5115566.6435706.37960.15960.99490.91760.9862
57604646.2968569.5907723.00290.13990.87650.89610.988
58586630.1023546.7972713.40740.14970.73040.8760.9551
59564612.9365523.3752702.49790.14210.72220.85790.8854
60549606.8276511.2482702.40690.11780.81010.84170.8417


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.01470.0068015.041600
500.0207-0.00180.00431.14198.09182.8446
510.0267-0.01740.0087104.029140.07096.3302
520.0345-0.04180.017602.1711180.595913.4386
530.0413-0.06070.02571273.2068399.118119.9779
540.049-0.06490.03221388.1861563.962823.7479
550.0547-0.06980.03761671.3077722.154926.8729
560.056-0.05580.03991261.068789.51928.0984
570.0606-0.06540.04271789.0191900.574630.0096
580.0675-0.070.04541945.01451005.018631.702
590.0746-0.07980.04862394.78411131.360933.6357
600.0804-0.09530.05253344.02641315.749736.2733