Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	36.912	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	42.413	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	45.344	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	44.873	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	47.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	49.554	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	47.369	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	45.998	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	48.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	48.441	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	44.928	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	40.454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	38.661	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	37.246	41.4928	37.881	45.1047	0.0106	0.9378	0.3088	0.9378
74	36.843	45.0007	39.9066	50.0948	8e-04	0.9986	0.4475	0.9926
75	36.424	47.0894	40.8562	53.3227	4e-04	0.9994	0.7571	0.996
76	37.594	48.3782	41.1839	55.5725	0.0017	0.9994	0.5935	0.9959
77	38.144	49.3794	41.3382	57.4207	0.0031	0.998	0.483	0.9955
78	38.737	50.1466	41.3395	58.9538	0.0056	0.9962	0.7318	0.9947
79	34.56	49.4063	39.8947	58.9179	0.0011	0.986	0.7588	0.9866
80	36.08	49.9863	39.819	60.1537	0.0037	0.9985	0.6391	0.9855
81	33.508	48.4554	37.6722	59.2387	0.0033	0.9878	0.501	0.9625
82	35.462	46.0957	34.7299	57.4616	0.0333	0.985	0.5798	0.9001
83	33.374	44.4695	32.5495	56.3896	0.034	0.9307	0.7455	0.8302
84	32.11	41.9114	29.4618	54.3609	0.0614	0.9105	0.6956	0.6956

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0444	-0.1024	0	18.0354	0	0
74	0.0578	-0.1813	0.1418	66.5482	42.2918	6.5032
75	0.0675	-0.2265	0.17	113.7516	66.1117	8.1309
76	0.0759	-0.2229	0.1833	116.2992	78.6586	8.869
77	0.0831	-0.2275	0.1921	126.2353	88.1739	9.3901
78	0.0896	-0.2275	0.198	130.1796	95.1749	9.7558
79	0.0982	-0.3005	0.2127	220.4123	113.0659	10.6332
80	0.1038	-0.2782	0.2208	193.3865	123.106	11.0953
81	0.1135	-0.3085	0.2306	223.4261	134.2527	11.5867
82	0.1258	-0.2307	0.2306	113.0765	132.1351	11.495
83	0.1368	-0.2495	0.2323	123.1107	131.3147	11.4593
84	0.1516	-0.2339	0.2324	96.067	128.3774	11.3304