| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Trend | 25 | 1 | 3 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 1038 | 1047.25308898752 | 64.707688883149 | 964.039222129333 | 9.25308898751814 |
| 2 | 934 | 976.730174708071 | -72.1574524069796 | 963.427277698908 | 42.7301747080714 |
| 3 | 988 | 991.114445925043 | 22.0702208064731 | 962.815333268484 | 3.11444592504336 |
| 4 | 870 | 855.764671488434 | -77.9680603264932 | 962.203388838059 | -14.2353285115656 |
| 5 | 854 | 822.834606651786 | -76.3940462852162 | 961.55943963343 | -31.165393348214 |
| 6 | 834 | 811.002461782162 | -103.917952210964 | 960.915490428801 | -22.9975382178376 |
| 7 | 872 | 837.47723979627 | -53.7487810204431 | 960.271541224173 | -34.5227602037297 |
| 8 | 954 | 990.989417830787 | -42.3563127856579 | 959.366894954871 | 36.9894178307869 |
| 9 | 870 | 804.557712169087 | -23.0199608546557 | 958.46224868557 | -65.4422878309133 |
| 10 | 1238 | 1304.07368885219 | 214.368708731541 | 957.557602416267 | 66.0736888521923 |
| 11 | 1082 | 1097.42734940098 | 109.748193528962 | 956.824457070058 | 15.4273494009803 |
| 12 | 1053 | 1103.57689552158 | 46.331792754568 | 956.091311723848 | 50.5768955215839 |
| 13 | 934 | 847.441537603957 | 65.2002960184042 | 955.358166377639 | -86.558462396043 |
| 14 | 787 | 688.34614226978 | -66.6034159115078 | 952.257273641727 | -98.6538577302196 |
| 15 | 1081 | 1200.90670283678 | 11.9369162574081 | 949.156380905816 | 119.906702836776 |
| 16 | 908 | 954.737523225179 | -84.7930113950834 | 946.055488169904 | 46.737523225179 |
| 17 | 995 | 1133.21573852982 | -87.7471284622162 | 944.531389932395 | 138.215738529821 |
| 18 | 825 | 812.826156407136 | -105.833448102022 | 943.007291694886 | -12.1738435928644 |
| 19 | 822 | 753.642518197847 | -51.1257116552236 | 941.483193457377 | -68.3574818021532 |
| 20 | 856 | 810.351017681616 | -42.4045069995284 | 944.053489317913 | -45.6489823183842 |
| 21 | 887 | 840.273593545218 | -12.8973787236666 | 946.623785178448 | -46.7264064547818 |
| 22 | 1094 | 1020.43692208564 | 218.368996875377 | 949.194081038984 | -73.5630779143611 |
| 23 | 990 | 905.601902564848 | 119.605242711981 | 954.79285472317 | -84.3980974351517 |
| 24 | 936 | 855.98665091519 | 55.6217206774537 | 960.391628407357 | -80.0133490848107 |
| 25 | 1097 | 1167.51945019339 | 60.4901477150676 | 965.990402091543 | 70.519450193389 |
| 26 | 918 | 917.104785086843 | -55.1391513463279 | 974.034366259485 | -0.895214913157133 |
| 27 | 926 | 879.017457952376 | -9.0957883798033 | 982.078330427427 | -46.9825420476237 |
| 28 | 907 | 925.857219736293 | -101.979514331662 | 990.122294595369 | 18.8572197362928 |
| 29 | 899 | 903.776547079 | -110.162723634454 | 1004.38617655545 | 4.77654707900047 |
| 30 | 971 | 1034.86569901149 | -111.515757527024 | 1018.65005851554 | 63.8656990114871 |
| 31 | 1087 | 1187.96196952376 | -46.87590999938 | 1032.91394047562 | 100.961969523758 |
| 32 | 1000 | 992.120490816448 | -46.3664151341763 | 1054.24592431773 | -7.87950918355205 |
| 33 | 1071 | 1052.86301280933 | 13.5590790308391 | 1075.57790815984 | -18.1369871906743 |
| 34 | 1190 | 1063.06099336022 | 220.029114637842 | 1096.90989200194 | -126.939006639784 |
| 35 | 1116 | 970.29433804276 | 137.642031897751 | 1124.06363005949 | -145.705661957241 |
| 36 | 1070 | 869.842946445146 | 118.939685437818 | 1151.21736811704 | -200.157053554854 |
| 37 | 1314 | 1424.46798784454 | 25.1609059808768 | 1178.37110617458 | 110.467987844539 |
| 38 | 1068 | 903.475353228097 | 17.8649391779011 | 1214.65970759400 | -164.524646771903 |
| 39 | 1185 | 1166.58715489789 | -47.5354639113122 | 1250.94830901342 | -18.4128451021074 |
| 40 | 1215 | 1306.66895616705 | -163.905866599885 | 1287.23691043284 | 91.6689561670476 |
| 41 | 1145 | 1131.09793082367 | -168.503391540194 | 1327.40546071652 | -13.9020691763285 |
| 42 | 1251 | 1274.20704256757 | -139.781053567780 | 1367.57401100021 | 23.2070425675724 |
| 43 | 1363 | 1375.85959608781 | -57.6021573717008 | 1407.74256128389 | 12.859596087809 |
| 44 | 1368 | 1326.35760762263 | -27.3175065697746 | 1436.95989894714 | -41.642392377365 |
| 45 | 1535 | 1552.51528267021 | 51.3074807193994 | 1466.17723661039 | 17.5152826702129 |
| 46 | 1853 | 1964.6120336583 | 245.993392068066 | 1495.39457427364 | 111.612033658299 |
| 47 | 1866 | 2045.97489449676 | 169.193783967088 | 1516.83132153615 | 179.974894496760 |
| 48 | 2023 | 2363.99272101815 | 143.739210183185 | 1538.26806879867 | 340.992721018148 |
| 49 | 1373 | 1172.64896558872 | 13.6462183500993 | 1559.70481606118 | -200.351034411282 |
| 50 | 1968 | 2320.65664273674 | 33.0559814268651 | 1582.28737583640 | 352.656642736738 |
| 51 | 1424 | 1308.63255777776 | -65.5024933893735 | 1604.86993561161 | -115.367442222237 |
| 52 | 1160 | 877.826843709907 | -185.279339096731 | 1627.45249538682 | -282.173156290093 |
| 53 | 1243 | 1030.05691891226 | -192.091227416451 | 1648.03430850419 | -212.943081087744 |
| 54 | 1375 | 1232.53328161228 | -151.149403233844 | 1668.61612162157 | -142.466718387722 |
| 55 | 1539 | 1451.53200402531 | -62.7299387642474 | 1689.19793473894 | -87.4679959746884 |
| 56 | 1773 | 1861.83695608635 | -24.9277042659407 | 1709.09074817959 | 88.8369560863507 |
| 57 | 1906 | 2021.24558359371 | 61.7708547860487 | 1728.98356162024 | 115.245583593707 |
| 58 | 2076 | 2148.26899026611 | 254.854634672988 | 1748.8763750609 | 72.2689902661141 |
| 59 | 2004 | 2056.71685236325 | 182.097495239380 | 1769.18565239737 | 52.7168523632542 |
