Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 591 | 0 | 60 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1038 | 1049.90181044474 | 18.5822782767380 | 1007.51591127852 | 11.9018104447370 |
2 | 934 | 877.840663829668 | -9.75089599791843 | 999.91023216825 | -56.1593361703322 |
3 | 988 | 1019.77908573299 | -36.0836387909675 | 992.304553057976 | 31.7790857329915 |
4 | 870 | 911.808447115832 | -157.069828518108 | 985.261381402275 | 41.8084471158325 |
5 | 854 | 883.837906887489 | -154.056116634063 | 978.218209746574 | 29.8379068874891 |
6 | 834 | 837.292577730278 | -141.418452767651 | 972.125875037373 | 3.29257773027814 |
7 | 872 | 845.347237442496 | -67.3807777706665 | 966.03354032817 | -26.6527625575043 |
8 | 954 | 971.828934207828 | -24.5655726533436 | 960.736638445516 | 17.8289342078281 |
9 | 870 | 756.310492321885 | 28.2497711152548 | 955.43973656286 | -113.689507678115 |
10 | 1238 | 1268.67207264956 | 253.050264480702 | 954.277662869738 | 30.6720726495604 |
11 | 1082 | 1048.03358014752 | 162.850830675867 | 953.115589176615 | -33.9664198524825 |
12 | 1053 | 1021.26444323776 | 127.592263689576 | 957.143293072666 | -31.7355567622428 |
13 | 934 | 888.246724754544 | 18.5822782767380 | 961.170996968718 | -45.7532752454558 |
14 | 787 | 623.035852420883 | -9.75089599791843 | 960.715043577036 | -163.964147579117 |
15 | 1081 | 1237.82454860561 | -36.0836387909675 | 960.259090185354 | 156.824548605613 |
16 | 908 | 1018.23938155767 | -157.069828518108 | 954.830446960433 | 110.239381557675 |
17 | 995 | 1194.65431289855 | -154.056116634063 | 949.401803735511 | 199.654312898552 |
18 | 825 | 847.123955080673 | -141.418452767651 | 944.294497686978 | 22.1239550806731 |
19 | 822 | 772.193586132223 | -67.3807777706665 | 939.187191638444 | -49.8064138677772 |
20 | 856 | 801.500603494358 | -24.5655726533436 | 935.064969158985 | -54.4993965056418 |
21 | 887 | 814.807482205218 | 28.2497711152548 | 930.942746679527 | -72.192517794782 |
22 | 1094 | 1005.26738986077 | 253.050264480702 | 929.682345658524 | -88.7326101392257 |
23 | 990 | 888.727224686612 | 162.850830675867 | 928.42194463752 | -101.272775313388 |
24 | 936 | 805.402279608208 | 127.592263689576 | 939.005456702215 | -130.597720391792 |
25 | 1097 | 1225.82875295635 | 18.5822782767380 | 949.58896876691 | 128.828752956353 |
26 | 918 | 877.948590627105 | -9.75089599791843 | 967.802305370813 | -40.0514093728949 |
27 | 926 | 902.06799681625 | -36.0836387909675 | 986.015641974717 | -23.9320031837497 |
28 | 907 | 971.273482781034 | -157.069828518108 | 999.796345737074 | 64.2734827810339 |
29 | 899 | 938.479067134633 | -154.056116634063 | 1013.57704949943 | 39.4790671346329 |
30 | 971 | 1059.30603971967 | -141.418452767651 | 1024.11241304798 | 88.306039719672 |
31 | 1087 | 1206.73300117414 | -67.3807777706665 | 1034.64777659653 | 119.733001174140 |
32 | 1000 | 977.434121083515 | -24.5655726533436 | 1047.13145156983 | -22.5658789164847 |
33 | 1071 | 1054.13510234162 | 28.2497711152548 | 1059.61512654313 | -16.8648976583847 |
34 | 1190 | 1048.51422206814 | 253.050264480702 | 1078.43551345116 | -141.485777931865 |
35 | 1116 | 971.893268964936 | 162.850830675867 | 1097.25590035920 | -144.106731035064 |
36 | 1070 | 889.361052063019 | 127.592263689576 | 1123.04668424740 | -180.638947936981 |
37 | 1314 | 1460.58025358765 | 18.5822782767380 | 1148.83746813561 | 146.580253587649 |
38 | 1068 | 959.543816839044 | -9.75089599791843 | 1186.20707915887 | -108.456183160956 |
39 | 1185 | 1182.50694860883 | -36.0836387909675 | 1223.57669018214 | -2.49305139116905 |
40 | 1215 | 1312.49714760927 | -157.069828518108 | 1274.57268090884 | 97.4971476092699 |
41 | 1145 | 1118.48744499852 | -154.056116634063 | 1325.56867163554 | -26.5125550014759 |
42 | 1251 | 1265.13963890486 | -141.418452767651 | 1378.27881386279 | 14.1396389048568 |
43 | 1363 | 1362.39182168062 | -67.3807777706665 | 1430.98895609005 | -0.60817831938175 |
44 | 1368 | 1289.67662688255 | -24.5655726533436 | 1470.88894577079 | -78.32337311745 |
45 | 1535 | 1530.96129343321 | 28.2497711152548 | 1510.78893545154 | -4.03870656679396 |
46 | 1853 | 1922.71292352979 | 253.050264480702 | 1530.23681198951 | 69.7129235297889 |
47 | 1866 | 2019.46448079665 | 162.850830675867 | 1549.68468852748 | 153.464480796653 |
48 | 2023 | 2358.58153840987 | 127.592263689576 | 1559.82619790056 | 335.581538409866 |
49 | 1373 | 1157.45001444963 | 18.5822782767380 | 1569.96770727364 | -215.549985550374 |
50 | 1968 | 2359.3522486222 | -9.75089599791843 | 1586.39864737572 | 391.352248622199 |
51 | 1424 | 1281.25405131316 | -36.0836387909675 | 1602.82958747780 | -142.745948686836 |
52 | 1160 | 853.257764849069 | -157.069828518108 | 1623.81206366904 | -306.742235150931 |
53 | 1243 | 995.261576773788 | -154.056116634063 | 1644.79453986028 | -247.738423226212 |
54 | 1375 | 1227.52152900045 | -141.418452767651 | 1663.8969237672 | -147.478470999548 |
55 | 1539 | 1462.38147009654 | -67.3807777706665 | 1682.99930767412 | -76.6185299034555 |
56 | 1773 | 1866.70231895615 | -24.5655726533436 | 1703.86325369720 | 93.7023189561473 |
57 | 1906 | 2059.02302916447 | 28.2497711152548 | 1724.72719972027 | 153.023029164474 |
58 | 2076 | 2149.81619918698 | 253.050264480702 | 1749.13353633232 | 73.8161991869765 |
59 | 2004 | 2071.60929637976 | 162.850830675867 | 1773.53987294437 | 67.6092963797598 |