Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	18.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	18.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	19.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	20.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	21.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	21.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	21.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	21.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	21.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	21.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	22.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	22.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	22.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	23.2	22.5236	21.9262	23.1211	0.0132	0.5309	1	0.5309
50	23.6	22.5409	21.3902	23.6915	0.0356	0.1308	1	0.5277
51	23.8	22.7516	21.0128	24.4903	0.1186	0.1694	0.9971	0.6116
52	23.9	22.9995	20.7936	25.2055	0.2118	0.2385	0.9543	0.6714
53	23.8	23.2749	20.6768	25.873	0.346	0.3186	0.8968	0.7206
54	23.5	23.4902	20.5465	26.4339	0.4974	0.4183	0.9074	0.7451
55	23.3	23.6661	20.3654	26.9669	0.4139	0.5393	0.9008	0.7557
56	23.2	23.8117	20.1169	27.5065	0.3728	0.607	0.8687	0.7567
57	23.5	23.9652	19.8293	28.1011	0.4128	0.6416	0.8361	0.7563
58	23.5	24.1357	19.5261	28.7453	0.3935	0.6065	0.7948	0.7566
59	23.5	24.3257	19.2256	29.4257	0.3755	0.6245	0.7464	0.7585
60	23.3	24.5219	18.9258	30.118	0.3343	0.6398	0.7606	0.7606

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0135	0.03	0	0.4575	0	0
50	0.026	0.047	0.0385	1.1218	0.7896	0.8886
51	0.039	0.0461	0.041	1.0992	0.8928	0.9449
52	0.0489	0.0392	0.0406	0.8109	0.8723	0.934
53	0.057	0.0226	0.037	0.2757	0.753	0.8678
54	0.0639	4e-04	0.0309	1e-04	0.6275	0.7922
55	0.0712	-0.0155	0.0287	0.1341	0.557	0.7463
56	0.0792	-0.0257	0.0283	0.3742	0.5342	0.7309
57	0.0881	-0.0194	0.0273	0.2164	0.4989	0.7063
58	0.0974	-0.0263	0.0272	0.4041	0.4894	0.6996
59	0.107	-0.0339	0.0278	0.6817	0.5069	0.712
60	0.1164	-0.0498	0.0297	1.493	0.5891	0.7675