Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	139	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	114	93.982	33.7847	154.1793	0.2573	0.0963	0.448	0.0963
50	125	123.7793	63.2137	184.3449	0.4842	0.6242	0.5742	0.3704
51	181	140.5798	75.7845	205.3751	0.1107	0.6813	0.5191	0.5789
52	142	137.6187	72.8083	202.4292	0.4473	0.0948	0.4713	0.5436
53	143	111.9645	45.7094	178.2196	0.1793	0.1871	0.4878	0.2572
54	187	150.2702	84.0069	216.5335	0.1386	0.5851	0.515	0.6848
55	137	79.4049	12.944	145.8658	0.0447	8e-04	0.5048	0.0537
56	62	46.4884	-19.9756	112.9523	0.3237	0.0038	0.494	0.0049
57	239	165.7379	99.2	232.2758	0.0155	0.9989	0.4969	0.8251
58	157	180.278	113.74	246.8161	0.2465	0.0418	0.5033	0.9136
59	139	122.1016	55.554	188.6493	0.3093	0.152	0.5012	0.363
60	187	133.891	67.343	200.439	0.0589	0.4402	0.4987	0.4987
61	99	93.9166	3.7019	184.1314	0.456	0.0216	0.3313	0.1919
62	146	123.8399	33.3784	214.3015	0.3156	0.7048	0.49	0.4129
63	175	140.6049	47.1971	234.0126	0.2352	0.4549	0.1983	0.5551
64	148	137.5957	44.1765	231.015	0.4136	0.2163	0.4632	0.5301
65	130	111.9484	17.4974	206.3993	0.354	0.2272	0.2597	0.3236
66	183	150.2834	55.8267	244.7401	0.2486	0.6631	0.2231	0.6323
67	115	79.411	-15.1873	174.0093	0.2304	0.0159	0.1164	0.129
68	80	46.4836	-48.117	141.0842	0.2437	0.0779	0.3739	0.0349
69	223	165.734	71.0802	260.3878	0.1178	0.9621	0.0646	0.7444
70	131	180.2809	85.627	274.9348	0.1538	0.1882	0.6851	0.8311
71	201	122.1031	27.4423	216.7639	0.0512	0.4269	0.3632	0.4027
72	157	133.89	39.229	228.5511	0.3161	0.0823	0.1357	0.4991

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.3268	0.213	0	400.7199	0	0
50	0.2496	0.0099	0.1114	1.49	201.105	14.1811
51	0.2352	0.2875	0.1701	1633.7924	678.6674	26.0512
52	0.2403	0.0318	0.1356	19.1955	513.7995	22.6671
53	0.3019	0.2772	0.1639	963.203	603.6802	24.5699
54	0.225	0.2444	0.1773	1349.0773	727.913	26.9799
55	0.427	0.7253	0.2556	3317.1995	1097.8111	33.1332
56	0.7294	0.3337	0.2654	240.6106	990.661	31.4748
57	0.2048	0.442	0.285	5367.3302	1476.9576	38.4312
58	0.1883	-0.1291	0.2694	541.8669	1383.4485	37.1947
59	0.2781	0.1384	0.2575	285.5552	1283.6401	35.8279
60	0.2536	0.3967	0.2691	2820.5655	1411.7172	37.5728
61	0.4901	0.0541	0.2526	25.8406	1305.1113	36.1263
62	0.3727	0.1789	0.2473	491.068	1246.9653	35.3124
63	0.3389	0.2446	0.2471	1183.0239	1242.7026	35.252
64	0.3464	0.0756	0.2364	108.2488	1171.7992	34.2316
65	0.4305	0.1612	0.232	325.8613	1122.0382	33.4968
66	0.3207	0.2177	0.2312	1070.3781	1119.1681	33.454
67	0.6078	0.4482	0.2426	1266.5789	1126.9266	33.5697
68	1.0383	0.721	0.2665	1123.3507	1126.7478	33.5671
69	0.2914	0.3455	0.2703	3279.3949	1229.2548	35.0607
70	0.2679	-0.2734	0.2704	2428.605	1283.7707	35.8297
71	0.3955	0.6461	0.2868	6224.7224	1498.5947	38.7117
72	0.3607	0.1726	0.282	534.0713	1458.4062	38.1891