ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1sar1sar2
Estimates ( 1 )0.72521e-040.2361-0.8384-0.3706-0.2594
(p-val)(8e-04 )(0.9995 )(0.1456 )(1e-04 )(0.022 )(0.1107 )
Estimates ( 2 )0.725200.2362-0.8383-0.3705-0.2593
(p-val)(4e-04 )(NA )(0.0777 )(1e-04 )(0.021 )(0.0946 )
Estimates ( 3 )0.68700.2359-0.7935-0.26530
(p-val)(3e-04 )(NA )(0.0402 )(0 )(0.0594 )(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )0.593800.2428-0.707900
(p-val)(0.0026 )(NA )(0.0276 )(2e-04 )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 8 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 9 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 10 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 11 )NANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
0.0909998588820264
43.5787930660284
11.2006130069829
-13.2051118434295
30.2313766192893
14.7098510868088
20.3912360360791
-3.50034554121897
-13.6624311685008
-41.1358951249049
0.220285574063098
-44.5605526623378
30.8811000553234
25.2073045532978
29.6210542493291
-33.0149104676157
-4.69200162935041
82.3041288751046
15.2027917585268
-34.3814128968816
-40.0791201710101
-19.0749309965171
26.3749458316541
15.6356362700244
29.7395301798864
-52.4081138410542
-12.4721669927778
9.43121246025743
24.9324395861761
-78.5405607806784
1.76463594303790
21.6292704265512
4.88633996297614
22.4188619381278
41.9416922146414
17.8772075223655
-4.31180427732443
-7.42177322593325
-4.75256736242724
44.7152063708996
8.7665936326615
1.61315752198190
29.4389145772749
63.0294982245844
15.5246359276259
69.4737872333093
-27.6103476589233
2.81721172866006
21.5076715120835
-24.8593857182825
6.13392687052854
-17.5112955745466
-8.35794823519578
-21.5536236725636
-8.7715620325827
-19.2928112093271
12.4047707606600
-3.32716026916911
-35.4905877294056
55.215152956675
-18.6139618047272