Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	6.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	12.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	14.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	16.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	18.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	15.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	11.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	9.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2.9	5.0487	1.3067	8.7908	0.1302	0.0074	0.8806	0.0074
46	0.1	6.1611	2.3139	10.0082	0.001	0.9517	0.9973	0.0357
47	2.5	6.5421	2.6049	10.4792	0.0221	0.9993	0.9285	0.058
48	6.7	7.2983	3.2058	11.3908	0.3872	0.9892	0.6128	0.125
49	10.3	11.5471	7.3941	15.7002	0.2781	0.9889	0.3265	0.8083
50	11.2	15.9261	11.7338	20.1184	0.0136	0.9957	0.7622	0.9982
51	17.4	16.8041	12.58	21.0281	0.3911	0.9953	0.5561	0.9995
52	20.5	18.1585	13.9152	22.4019	0.1397	0.637	0.4013	1
53	17	18.0278	13.7718	22.2838	0.318	0.1275	0.2637	0.9999
54	14.2	14.5177	10.2528	18.7825	0.442	0.127	0.2778	0.9866
55	10.6	10.7511	6.4805	15.0218	0.4724	0.0567	0.4006	0.6852
56	6.1	7.5058	3.2312	11.7803	0.2596	0.078	0.1572	0.1572

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.3782	-0.4256	0	4.6171	0	0
46	0.3186	-0.9838	0.7047	36.7364	20.6767	4.5472
47	0.3071	-0.6179	0.6757	16.3382	19.2306	4.3853
48	0.2861	-0.082	0.5273	0.358	14.5124	3.8095
49	0.1835	-0.108	0.4434	1.5553	11.921	3.4527
50	0.1343	-0.2968	0.419	22.3361	13.6568	3.6955
51	0.1283	0.0355	0.3642	0.3551	11.7566	3.4288
52	0.1192	0.1289	0.3348	5.4824	10.9723	3.3125
53	0.1204	-0.057	0.3039	1.0564	9.8706	3.1417
54	0.1499	-0.0219	0.2757	0.1009	8.8936	2.9822
55	0.2027	-0.0141	0.2519	0.0228	8.0872	2.8438
56	0.2906	-0.1873	0.2466	1.9762	7.5779	2.7528