Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[61])
4925.71-------
5025.92-------
5125.93-------
5226-------
5326.02-------
5426.08-------
5526.17-------
5626.18-------
5726.21-------
5826.28-------
5926.34-------
6026.17-------
6126.38-------
6226.3626.471826.048626.8950.30230.66460.99470.6646
6326.2726.399725.738527.0610.35030.54690.91810.5233
6426.2626.456325.661227.25140.31420.6770.86970.5746
6526.4926.411925.47627.34780.4350.62480.79410.5266
6626.9926.446825.407127.48640.15290.46750.75540.5501
6727.1426.419425.272227.56660.10910.16480.6650.5268
6827.126.440925.20527.67670.14790.13380.66050.5385
6927.0126.42425.098427.74960.19310.15880.62420.5259
7026.9326.437325.032827.84170.24580.21210.58690.5318
7126.9726.426924.943927.90980.23640.2530.54570.5247
7226.3526.43524.880427.98960.45730.250.63090.5277
7326.9326.428624.803328.05390.27270.53780.52340.5234


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
620.0082-0.004200.012500
630.0128-0.00490.00460.01680.01470.1211
640.0153-0.00740.00550.03850.02260.1504
650.01810.0030.00490.00610.01850.136
660.02010.02050.0080.29510.07380.2717
670.02220.02730.01120.51930.14810.3848
680.02380.02490.01320.43440.1890.4347
690.02560.02220.01430.34340.20830.4564
700.02710.01860.01480.24280.21210.4606
710.02860.02060.01540.2950.22040.4695
720.03-0.00320.01430.00720.2010.4484
730.03140.0190.01470.25140.20520.453