Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[144])
143	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
144	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
145	8.3	8.3256	8.1093	8.5419	0.4083	0.8725	0.8725	0.8725
146	8.4	8.3863	8.0013	8.7713	0.4722	0.6697	0.6697	0.8285
147	8.4	8.4048	7.8679	8.9416	0.493	0.507	0.507	0.7726
148	8.4	8.4038	7.7681	9.0396	0.4953	0.5047	0.5047	0.7351
149	8.5	8.4198	7.7135	9.126	0.4119	0.5219	0.5219	0.7291
150	8.5	8.4606	7.6901	9.2311	0.4601	0.4601	0.4601	0.7463
151	8.6	8.5147	7.6672	9.3622	0.4218	0.5136	0.5136	0.7666
152	8.6	8.5628	7.6199	9.5056	0.4691	0.4691	0.4691	0.7746
153	8.5	8.5943	7.5458	9.6428	0.43	0.4957	0.4957	0.7695
154	8.5	8.6119	7.4601	9.7638	0.4245	0.5755	0.5755	0.7583

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
145	0.0133	-0.0031	0	7e-04	0	0
146	0.0234	0.0016	0.0024	2e-04	4e-04	0.0205
147	0.0326	-6e-04	0.0018	0	3e-04	0.017
148	0.0386	-5e-04	0.0014	0	2e-04	0.0148
149	0.0428	0.0095	0.0031	0.0064	0.0015	0.0382
150	0.0465	0.0047	0.0033	0.0016	0.0015	0.0384
151	0.0508	0.01	0.0043	0.0073	0.0023	0.048
152	0.0562	0.0043	0.0043	0.0014	0.0022	0.0468
153	0.0622	-0.011	0.005	0.0089	0.0029	0.0542
154	0.0682	-0.013	0.0058	0.0125	0.0039	0.0624